Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: match statistics
Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pumas UNAM played Cruz Azul in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 25 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico de Universitario. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Pumas UNAM: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Cruz Azul: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pumas UNAM scores 1.65 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Cruz Azul scores 1.77 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pumas UNAM 63%, Cruz Azul 70%. Over 2.5: Pumas UNAM 48%, Cruz Azul 53%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Cruz Azul has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.28. Pumas UNAM: 11.7 shots per match, Cruz Azul: 17.0.
Match halves
Pumas UNAM: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75. Cruz Azul: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Pumas UNAM: 31-45+ (15 goals). Cruz Azul: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Visitors Cruz Azul appear to be the favorites: this season they have 23 wins versus Pumas' 16 and have scored 76 goals while conceding 47, whereas Pumas have 66 scored and 52 conceded. In the last 5 matches Cruz Azul recorded 3 wins and 2 draws (PPG 2.2), while Pumas have only 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (PPG 1.2), which clearly shows the visitors' form advantage. In chance creation Cruz on the road average 5.62 SOT and have xG 1.65, while Pumas at home average 4.32 SOT and xG 1.43, so the visitors have superior quality and quantity of opportunities. However, Pumas convert more frequently at home (14% shot conversion versus Cruz 11%) and keep more clean sheets (32% vs 19%), which limits the scale of a home defeat. Considering the advantage in xG, SOT and recent form, I tip an away win (2), with a significant risk of a draw given Cruz's 48% draw rate on the road.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season BTTS rates are 64% for Pumas and 76% for Cruz Azul, vs a league average of 59%, indicating matches involving these teams often finish Goal/Goal. Pumas average 1.91 goals per match with xG 2.03, registering 19 shots with 6.32 on target, while Cruz Azul average 1.62 goals and xG 1.65 with 15 shots and 5.62 on target — both sides generate chances. Defensively, Pumas concede 1.00 goal on average (52 conceded this season) and Cruz 1.19 (47 conceded), and Cruz’s low clean sheet expected rate of 19% (vs 36% for Pumas) increases the likelihood Cruz will concede. In the last 5 matches Pumas show only 40% BTTS vs Cruz’s 60%, which slightly weakens the home signal, but seasonal goal totals of 66 and 76 and xG 2.03 vs 1.65 still strongly support BTTS. Based on this I recommend BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome, assessed at 70% vs 30% against No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams show high goal-scoring potential: Pumas average 1.91 goals per match, Cruz Azul 1.62, while xG are 2.03 and 1.65 respectively, giving a combined xG of 3.68. Season shares of matches over 1.5 goals are 77% (Pumas) and 90% (Cruz Azul), while over 2.5 are 59% and 48%, so exceeding 1.5 is very likely and >2.5 moderately likely. Additionally, both sides have high BTTS rates: 64% for the home team and 76% for the away team, and total season goals scored are 66 (Pumas) and 76 (Cruz Azul) with goals conceded 52 and 47, suggesting open contests. In the last 5 matches Cruz Azul has an average xG of 1.65 and scored 8 goals, Pumas has xG 0.83 and scored 7 goals, so the away form is notable for the goals forecast. Based on this I recommend an Over 1.5 (take the 'over' on the 1.5 line) with an estimated probability of ~92%; for comparison I assign Over 2.5 ~72% and Over 3.5 ~45%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is the most likely: Pumas led at the break in 36% of matches while a draw occurred in 55% of their games; average first-half goals are 0.86 for Pumas and 0.67 for Cruz Azul. Over the full match the home side has a clear edge — Pumas win 64% of home games and average 2.18 points per match with an xG of 2.03 versus the visitors’ xG of 1.65, which increases the chance of a post-break victory. In second halves Pumas average 1.82 points and win 45% of these periods, while Cruz Azul average 1.62 points and win 38% of second halves, so the hosts are more likely to turn the result around after the break. Although Cruz Azul have 60% wins in their last five matches versus Pumas’ 20%, the seasonal metrics (xG 2.03 vs 1.65, points per match 2.18 vs 1.76) favor Pumas. Therefore my strongest signal is a Half-Time draw and a home win (X/1) with an estimated probability of about 33%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pumas UNAM | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cruz Azul is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Pumas UNAM · 2.2 pts / match - Cruz Azul
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruz Azul is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Pumas UNAM · 1.77 goals / match - Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Pumas UNAM · 1.09 goals / match - Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM scores in 88% of matches (35 of 40 matches), while Cruz Azul keeps a clean sheet in 28% (12 of 43 matches).
Cruz Azul scores in 91% of matches (39 of 43 matches), while Pumas UNAM keeps a clean sheet in 30% (12 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pumas UNAM
Over / Under - Cruz Azul
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pumas UNAM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cruz Azul - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Pumas UNAM | Liga | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.95 | 2.90 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Pumas UNAM 1 - 2 - 0 Cruz Azul. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?
The Liga MX match finished Pumas UNAM 1:2 Cruz Azul. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Pumas UNAM won 1, Cruz Azul won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?
Pumas UNAM score 1.65 goals per game on average and Cruz Azul 1.77. The Liga MX average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Pumas UNAM's matches and 70% of Cruz Azul's.
What form are Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul in?
Over the last 5 games Pumas UNAM have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Cruz Azul 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.