Qabala vs Neftçi: match statistics
Neftçi displays significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors sit 6th in the table with a record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and only 5 losses, whereas Qabala is in 11th place with just 4 wins and a massive 15 losses. The disposition of both teams in their last five matches is particularly telling – Neftçi secured 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Qabala managed only 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). The visitors also show better attacking efficiency (an average of 1.55 goals per away game compared to the hosts' 1.00 at home) and a more solid defense (0.91 goals conceded per away match). Additionally, Neftçi holds a positive goal difference on the road (+7), while Qabala concedes more than they score at home (-6). All these factors indicate an advantage for the visitors, and Qabala's poor home form (64% loss rate) combined with Neftçi's good run (45% away win rate) suggest a realistic chance for an away victory.
Qabala vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qabala played Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Qabala: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Neftçi: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qabala scores 0.87 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Neftçi scores 1.36 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qabala 39%, Neftçi 41%. Over 2.5: Qabala 43%, Neftçi 41%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.21. Qabala: 10.3 shots per match, Neftçi: 13.3.
Match halves
Qabala: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.43. Neftçi: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Qabala: 31-45+ (5 goals). Neftçi: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi displays significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors sit 6th in the table with a record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and only 5 losses, whereas Qabala is in 11th place with just 4 wins and a massive 15 losses. The disposition of both teams in their last five matches is particularly telling – Neftçi secured 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Qabala managed only 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). The visitors also show better attacking efficiency (an average of 1.55 goals per away game compared to the hosts' 1.00 at home) and a more solid defense (0.91 goals conceded per away match). Additionally, Neftçi holds a positive goal difference on the road (+7), while Qabala concedes more than they score at home (-6). All these factors indicate an advantage for the visitors, and Qabala's poor home form (64% loss rate) combined with Neftçi's good run (45% away win rate) suggest a realistic chance for an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qabala | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftçi is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Qabala · 2 pts / match - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Qabala · 1.36 goals / match - Neftçi
Neftçi is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Qabala · 0.95 goals / match - Neftçi
Qabala scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Neftçi scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qabala
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Qabala · 1.32 pts / match - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qabala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qabala
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qabala | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.43 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 44% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 33% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qabala 0 - 0 - 2 Neftçi. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qabala vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qabala 1:3 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qabala and Neftçi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qabala won 0, Neftçi won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qabala vs Neftçi?
Qabala score 0.87 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.36. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Qabala's matches and 41% of Neftçi's.
What form are Qabala and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Qabala have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Neftçi 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qabala vs Neftçi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qabala vs Neftçi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.