Qarabağ vs Araz: match statistics
Qarabağ clearly outperforms Araz in terms of quality of play at their home stadium. The hosts win 58% of home matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of games, indicating a solid defense. Their advantage in possession (67% vs 52%) and significantly higher xG values (2.03 vs 1.15) confirm offensive dominance. Araz concedes an average of 1.82 goals per away match and has a negative goal difference (-2) in away games, making them susceptible to defeat. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar; however, Qarabağ's superiority in home statistics and the visitors' defensive weakness point to a home victory. The difference in class and the home advantage should secure Qarabağ three points.
Qarabağ vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qarabağ play Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 16:15. Final score: 6:0.
Current form
Qarabağ: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Araz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qarabağ scores 2.15 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Araz scores 1.36 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qarabağ 45%, Araz 58%. Over 2.5: Qarabağ 48%, Araz 58%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.24. Qarabağ: 15.5 shots per match, Araz: 9.6.
Match halves
Qarabağ: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.27. Araz: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Qarabağ: 76-90+ (20 goals). Araz: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Qarabağ clearly outperforms Araz in terms of quality of play at their home stadium. The hosts win 58% of home matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of games, indicating a solid defense. Their advantage in possession (67% vs 52%) and significantly higher xG values (2.03 vs 1.15) confirm offensive dominance. Araz concedes an average of 1.82 goals per away match and has a negative goal difference (-2) in away games, making them susceptible to defeat. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar; however, Qarabağ's superiority in home statistics and the visitors' defensive weakness point to a home victory. The difference in class and the home advantage should secure Qarabağ three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qarabağ is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.4 pts / match - Araz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
2.15 goals / match - Qarabağ · 1.36 goals / match - Araz
Qarabağ is 111% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Qarabağ · 1.73 goals / match - Araz
Qarabağ scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Araz scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Qarabağ
Over / Under — Araz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.33 pts / match - Araz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qarabağ
Araz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Araz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.58 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qarabağ 2 - 0 - 0 Araz. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Araz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 6:0 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qarabağ and Araz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 2, Araz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Araz?
Qarabağ score 2.15 goals per game on average and Araz 1.36. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Qarabağ's matches and 58% of Araz's.
What form are Qarabağ and Araz in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Araz 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Araz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.