Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: match statistics
Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Queen of the South played Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Queen of the South: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Cove Rangers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Queen of the South scores 1.53 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 1.16 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Queen of the South 56%, Cove Rangers 47%. Over 2.5: Queen of the South 50%, Cove Rangers 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.20. Queen of the South: 10.8 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 8.8.
Match halves
Queen of the South: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.94. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Queen of the South: 46-60 (13 goals). Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Queen of the South sit 4th in the table versus Cove Rangers in 8th, giving the hosts a statistical edge this season. At home the hosts average 12.75 shots and 5.63 on target per match, translating to 1.69 goals scored and xG 1.57, while the visitors away average just 7.88 shots, 3.81 on target, 1.38 goals and xG 1.13. Defensively the hosts concede 1.19 goals per home match (41 conceded this season, 5 in the last 5), whereas Cove concede 1.44 away (42 this season, 7 in the last 5), so the hosts’ defence appears somewhat more reliable. Cove have a higher shot conversion rate at 17% versus the hosts’ 13%, but they also fail to score in 38% of away matches compared to only 13% of the hosts’ home games without a goal, which makes them inconsistent. Considering the advantage in chance creation (12.75 vs 7.88 shots and 5.63 vs 3.81 on target), the higher xG (1.57 vs 1.13) and better average points over the last 5 matches (1.8 vs 1.6), I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Queen of the South have had BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches (5/5), while Cove Rangers in 80% (4/5), which is a strong short-term signal in favor of both teams scoring. Seasonally the home side averages 0.94 goals scored and concedes 1.19 per match, while the visitors score 1.38 and concede 1.44, meaning both teams concede on average over 1 goal per game. xG is 1.27 for the hosts versus 1.38 xG against the visitors, and 1.13 for the visitors versus 1.24 xG against the hosts, suggesting a similar level of created chances (around 1.1–1.3 xG). Additionally the hosts register 4.44 shots on target versus 3.81 for the visitors, and Cove Rangers have a higher conversion rate (17% vs 10%); both teams have only 19% clean sheets this season, so a clean sheet is unlikely. Considering the 100% and 80% BTTS in the last 5, the league BTTS rate of 51% and the league average goals of 2.65, I assess BTTS probability at 75% vs 25% and recommend the tip "BTTS - Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on the home xG 1.27 and the away xG conceded 1.38, I estimate about 1.33 goals for the home side ((1.27+1.38)/2=1.33). The visitors have xG_for 1.13 and xG_against the home side 1.24, yielding ~1.19 goals ((1.13+1.24)/2=1.19). Total expected goals ≈2.52, i.e. marginally above the 2.5 threshold. Season percentages show 56% of home matches over 1.5 and 75% of away matches over 1.5 — averaging ~66% chance for Over 1.5, which is the strongest and most stable signal. For the 2.5 line we have 38% Over for homes and 56% for aways (average ~47%), therefore Over 2.5 is only slightly less likely (≈48%) than Under, while Over 3.5 remains unlikely (~25%). Additionally, both teams have high Over 0.5 rates (88% home, 94% away) and in the last 5 matches both sides have averaged 1.6 goals each, supporting a scenario with at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast a Half-Time draw and an away win (X/2). The home side average 0.94 goals per match, the visitors 1.38; despite the homes having a higher xG (1.27 vs 1.13), Cove Rangers are far more clinical (17% conversion vs 10%), giving them an edge in finishing. At the break both teams show low figures: homes average 0.5 goals by half-time and drew in 9 of 16 matches (56%), visitors 0.47 goals by half-time and drew in 2 of 15 (13%); in the last 5 matches both sides produced 2 half-time draws each (40%), so a lead at the break for neither side is realistic. After half-time the visitors clearly dominate – they score an average 1.6 goals in the second half and 1.0 goals after the break, win second halves 40% of the time, while the homes are 1.06 and 0.44 respectively with only 25% second-half wins. Combined with the visitors’ superior efficiency and greater late goals (visitors 8 goals in 76–90' vs homes 3), the Half-Time draw and Full-Time victory for Cove Rangers appears the most justified.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Queen of the South | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Queen of the South is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.6 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Queen of the South is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Queen of the South · 1.16 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Queen of the South scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
Cove Rangers scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Queen of the South
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Queen of the South is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.13 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Queen of the South - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Queen of the South
Cove Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Queen of the South | Liga | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Queen of the South 1 - 2 - 0 Cove Rangers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
The League One match finished Queen of the South 2:0 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Queen of the South and Cove Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 1, Cove Rangers won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
Queen of the South score 1.53 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 1.16. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Queen of the South's matches and 47% of Cove Rangers's.
What form are Queen of the South and Cove Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Cove Rangers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.