Queen of the South vs Inverness CT: match statistics
Inverness CT demonstrates a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 14 season wins and excellent form (5 matches unbeaten, including 3 victories). The away side stands out with a solid defense – conceding only 0.64 goals per away match on average and keeping 64% clean sheets, which is a significant edge over the hosts who concede an average of 1 goal per match at home. Queen of the South, despite a decent league position and a 64% home win rate, shows inconsistent recent form (1.8 PPG) and a weaker defense (xGA 1.4 vs the visitors' xGA 0.91). Inverness's advantage in ball possession (54% vs 53%), superior xG metrics, and higher points-per-game efficiency (2.2 PPG in the last 5 matches) point towards an away win. The difference in defensive quality and form stability gives Inverness CT a realistic chance for another away victory.
Queen of the South vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Queen of the South played Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Queen of the South: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Inverness CT: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Queen of the South scores 1.59 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.76 and concedes 0.62. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Queen of the South 41%, Inverness CT 33%. Over 2.5: Queen of the South 50%, Inverness CT 43%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.35. Queen of the South: 10.9 shots per match, Inverness CT: 14.0.
Match halves
Queen of the South: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00. Inverness CT: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Queen of the South: 46-60 (9 goals). Inverness CT: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inverness CT demonstrates a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 14 season wins and excellent form (5 matches unbeaten, including 3 victories). The away side stands out with a solid defense – conceding only 0.64 goals per away match on average and keeping 64% clean sheets, which is a significant edge over the hosts who concede an average of 1 goal per match at home. Queen of the South, despite a decent league position and a 64% home win rate, shows inconsistent recent form (1.8 PPG) and a weaker defense (xGA 1.4 vs the visitors' xGA 0.91). Inverness's advantage in ball possession (54% vs 53%), superior xG metrics, and higher points-per-game efficiency (2.2 PPG in the last 5 matches) point towards an away win. The difference in defensive quality and form stability gives Inverness CT a realistic chance for another away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Queen of the South | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Queen of the South is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.4 pts / match - Inverness CT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Queen of the South · 1.76 goals / match - Inverness CT
Inverness CT is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Queen of the South · 0.62 goals / match - Inverness CT
Queen of the South scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 62% (13 of 21 matches).
Inverness CT scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Queen of the South
Over / Under - Inverness CT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.71 pts / match - Inverness CT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Queen of the South - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Queen of the South
Inverness CT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Queen of the South | Liga | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.77 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 42% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 32% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Queen of the South 0 - 0 - 2 Inverness CT. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Queen of the South vs Inverness CT?
The League One match finished Queen of the South 2:2 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Queen of the South and Inverness CT?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 0, Inverness CT won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Inverness CT?
Queen of the South score 1.59 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.76. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Queen of the South's matches and 33% of Inverness CT's.
What form are Queen of the South and Inverness CT in?
Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Inverness CT 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Inverness CT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.