Scotland - League OneData current as of 13 September 2026

Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics

135%(2.25)
X35%(3.20)
230%(2.90)

Queen of the South presents solid home form with 50% wins and a +7 goal difference, yet their last five matches overall yielded just 0.4 points per match. Stenhousemuir occupies a high 2nd position in the table with an impressive record of 46% away wins and 46% clean sheets, evidencing defensive stability. The hosts score an average of 1.71 goals per home match with an xG of 1.54, while the visitors concede just 0.77 goals away with an xG Against of 1.08. The recent form of both teams is balanced – Queen of the South with a streak of two draws and three losses, Stenhousemuir with 1.6 points per match in the last five games. Considering the defensive strength of the visitors and the hosts' drop in form, a draw seems the most probable outcome, though home advantage gives Queen of the South a slight edge in winning chances.

Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Queen of the South played Stenhousemuir in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Queen of the South: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Stenhousemuir: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Queen of the South scores 1.52 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Stenhousemuir scores 1.33 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Queen of the South 48%, Stenhousemuir 41%. Over 2.5: Queen of the South 52%, Stenhousemuir 37%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.15. Queen of the South: 10.9 shots per match, Stenhousemuir: 8.3.

Match halves

Queen of the South: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.96. Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Queen of the South: 46-60 (10 goals). Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Queen of the South presents solid home form with 50% wins and a +7 goal difference, yet their last five matches overall yielded just 0.4 points per match. Stenhousemuir occupies a high 2nd position in the table with an impressive record of 46% away wins and 46% clean sheets, evidencing defensive stability. The hosts score an average of 1.71 goals per home match with an xG of 1.54, while the visitors concede just 0.77 goals away with an xG Against of 1.08. The recent form of both teams is balanced – Queen of the South with a streak of two draws and three losses, Stenhousemuir with 1.6 points per match in the last five games. Considering the defensive strength of the visitors and the hosts' drop in form, a draw seems the most probable outcome, though home advantage gives Queen of the South a slight edge in winning chances.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
13Shots11
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
4Shots on target5
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
1.48xG1.36
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
3Corners8
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
52Dangerous attacks44
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
10Fouls19
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
1Cards2
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
1.52Goals scored / match1.33
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
1.33Goals conceded / match0.78
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
52%Average possession50%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
4.7Shots on target / match4.19
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.93Shots per match8.26
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
4.7Shots on target4.19
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
13.9%Shot conversion16.1%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
52%Possession50%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
1.36xG for1.15
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
1.3xG against1.15
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

Shooting quality

Queen of the South: Efficient finishingStenhousemuir: Efficient finishing
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
Accuracy (shots on target)43%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stenhousemuir is 350% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.8 pts / match - Stenhousemuir

Queen of the South
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W22% D37% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-10
1.44 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Stenhousemuir
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
48% W37% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-4
1.81 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Queen of the South is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - Queen of the South · 1.33 goals / match - Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Queen of the South · 0.78 goals / match - Stenhousemuir

Queen of the South scoring profile: strong

Queen of the South scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 48% (13 of 27 matches).

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).

41Goals scored (season)36
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
36Goals conceded (season)21
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
2.85Average goals in match2.11
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal74%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
41%2 goals37%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
22%3 goals15%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
11%4 goals7%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal52%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
41%2 goals22%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
15%3 goals4%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
7%4 goals0%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
Queen of the South - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 27 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time15%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
33%Scored in both halves26%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
80%BTTS - last 560%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stenhousemuir is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.48 pts / match - Stenhousemuir

Queen of the South - half-time state
37% leading26% draw37% trailing
Stenhousemuir - half-time state
33% leading48% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.48
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.37
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
1.15Average goals (1st half)0.96
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
56%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
56%No goal before half-time52%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per match (2nd half)1.63
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
0.96Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.41
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.15
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
37%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir
37%No goal after half-time48%
Queen of the SouthStenhousemuir

Queen of the South - second-half results

44% W19% D37% L
37
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

41% W41% D19% L
40
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Queen of the South - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Stenhousemuir - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Queen of the South
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
6
31-45
10
7
46-60
6
6
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
5
16-30
7
4
31-45
8
5
46-60
4
1
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Queen of the South

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Queen of the SouthLigaStenhousemuir
Average goals in match 2.852.59 2.11
Both teams scored 48%46% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%50% 37%
Clean sheets 30%30% 48%
Goal before half-time 81%74% 67%
Goal after half-time 96%80% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Queen of the SouthYellow cardBenjamin Lussint
  2. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Michael HewittOff: Brennan Dickenson
  3. StenhousemuirGoalNicky JamiesonAssist: Ross Taylor
  4. StenhousemuirYellow cardRoss Taylor
  5. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Kane Ritchie-HoslerOff: Ross Taylor
  6. StenhousemuirYellow cardRoss Meechan
  7. Queen of the SouthGoalKurtis GuthrieAssist: Jack Hannah
  8. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Liam SmithOff: Nicholas Clark
  9. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Niall RogersonOff: Michael Hewitt
  10. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Oliver SimpsonOff: Ewan O'Reilly

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Queen of the South 0 - 2 - 1 Stenhousemuir. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Stenhousemuir FC
2 : 0
Queen of the South FC
Queen of the South FC
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir FC
Stenhousemuir FC
0 : 0
Queen of the South FC

FAQ

What was the result of Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir?

The League One match finished Queen of the South 1:1 Stenhousemuir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Queen of the South and Stenhousemuir?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 0, Stenhousemuir won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir?

Queen of the South score 1.52 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.33. The League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Queen of the South's matches and 41% of Stenhousemuir's.

What form are Queen of the South and Stenhousemuir in?

Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir?

The statistical background for Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.