England - ChampionshipMATRADE Loftus RoadData current as of 21 October 2026

Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Queens Park Rangers play Swansea City in Championship (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: MATRADE Loftus Road.

Current form

Queens Park Rangers: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Swansea City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Queens Park Rangers scores 1.36 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Swansea City scores 1.45 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Queens Park Rangers 64%, Swansea City 45%. Over 2.5: Queens Park Rangers 55%, Swansea City 55%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Queens Park Rangers has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.39. Queens Park Rangers: 15.1 shots per match, Swansea City: 12.1.

Match halves

Queens Park Rangers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.55. Swansea City: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Queens Park Rangers: 31-45+ (6 goals). Swansea City: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.40)
(3.36)
(2.81)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Queens Park RangersSwansea City
1.36Goals scored / match1.45
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
1.09Goals conceded / match0.73
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
49%Average possession59%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
5.18Shots on target / match4.45
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.09Shots per match12.09
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
5.18Shots on target4.45
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
9%Shot conversion12%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
49%Possession59%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
1.66xG for1.39
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
1.37xG against1.2
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

Shooting quality

Queens Park Rangers: AttackingSwansea City: Balanced
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Swansea City is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Queens Park Rangers · 2.4 pts / match - Swansea City

Queens Park Rangers
DDDWL
Season result split
36% W45% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-2
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Swansea City
WWWWL
Season result split
64% W18% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-2
2.09 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Swansea City is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Queens Park Rangers · 1.45 goals / match - Swansea City

Swansea City is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Queens Park Rangers · 0.73 goals / match - Swansea City

Queens Park Rangers scoring profile: mixed

Queens Park Rangers scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).

Swansea City scoring profile: very strong

Swansea City scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Queens Park Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

15Goals scored (season)16
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
12Goals conceded (season)8
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
2.45Average goals in match2.18
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
8Goals scored (last 5)8
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal73%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
45%2 goals55%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
18%3 goals18%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
9%4 goals0%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal55%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
18%2 goals9%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
9%3 goals9%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
0%4 goals0%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
Queens Park Rangers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 11 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time9%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
18%Scored in both halves27%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
80%BTTS - last 560%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Queens Park Rangers is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / match - Queens Park Rangers · 1.18 pts / match - Swansea City

Queens Park Rangers - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing
Swansea City - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per match (1st half)1.18
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.18
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
55%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
55%No goal before half-time64%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.91
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.18
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
1.09Average goals (2nd half)1
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
55%Clean sheet after half-time82%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City
64%No goal after half-time36%
Queens Park RangersSwansea City

Queens Park Rangers - second-half results

18% W64% D18% L
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Swansea City - second-half results

45% W55% D0% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding237%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Queens Park Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Swansea City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Queens Park Rangers
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
6
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Swansea City
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
5
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
80%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Queens Park Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

Swansea City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Queens Park RangersLigaSwansea City
Average goals in match▼ 2.452.88▼ 2.18
Both teams scored• 64%64%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 55%61%▼ 55%
Clean sheets▼ 18%21%▲ 45%
Goal before half-time▼ 73%77%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 55%79%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Queens Park Rangers 1 - 0 - 1 Swansea City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Queens Park Rangers FC
1 : 2
Swansea City AFC
Swansea City AFC
0 : 1
Queens Park Rangers FC

FAQ

When do Queens Park Rangers and Swansea City play?

Queens Park Rangers face Swansea City on 24 October 2026 in Championship at MATRADE Loftus Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Queens Park Rangers and Swansea City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Queens Park Rangers won 1, Swansea City won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?

Queens Park Rangers score 1.36 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.45. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Queens Park Rangers's matches and 45% of Swansea City's.

What form are Queens Park Rangers and Swansea City in?

Over the last 5 games Queens Park Rangers have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Swansea City 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.