Argentina - Primera DivisiónEstadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerónData current as of 15 October 2026

Racing Club vs Independiente: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Racing Club vs Independiente: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Racing Club play Independiente in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón.

Current form

Racing Club: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Independiente: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Racing Club scores 1.07 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Independiente scores 1.28 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Racing Club 60%, Independiente 55%. Over 2.5: Racing Club 50%, Independiente 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Independiente has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.46. Racing Club: 12.7 shots per match, Independiente: 13.0.

Match halves

Racing Club: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.53. Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Racing Club: 76-90+ (9 goals). Independiente: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 20%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.99)
(3.22)
(3.95)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Racing ClubIndependiente
1.07Goals scored / match1.28
Racing ClubIndependiente
1.2Goals conceded / match1.21
Racing ClubIndependiente
57%Average possession52%
Racing ClubIndependiente
3.8Shots on target / match3.9
Racing ClubIndependiente

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.73Shots per match13
Racing ClubIndependiente
3.8Shots on target3.9
Racing ClubIndependiente
8.4%Shot conversion9.8%
Racing ClubIndependiente
57%Possession52%
Racing ClubIndependiente
1.46xG for1.47
Racing ClubIndependiente
1.33xG against1.33
Racing ClubIndependiente

Shooting quality

Racing Club: BalancedIndependiente: Balanced
Racing ClubIndependiente
Accuracy (shots on target)30%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Independiente is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Racing Club · 2 pts / match - Independiente

Racing Club
LLWWL
Season result split
30% W27% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-13
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Independiente
WDWLW
Season result split
41% W28% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-9
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-3-5
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.07 goals / match - Racing Club · 1.28 goals / match - Independiente

Racing Club scoring profile: strong

Racing Club scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).

Independiente scoring profile: very strong

Independiente scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Racing Club keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).

32Goals scored (season)37
Racing ClubIndependiente
36Goals conceded (season)35
Racing ClubIndependiente
2.27Average goals in match2.48
Racing ClubIndependiente
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Racing ClubIndependiente
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Racing ClubIndependiente

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal83%
Racing ClubIndependiente
27%2 goals31%
Racing ClubIndependiente
7%3 goals10%
Racing ClubIndependiente
0%4 goals3%
Racing ClubIndependiente

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal69%
Racing ClubIndependiente
37%2 goals28%
Racing ClubIndependiente
10%3 goals17%
Racing ClubIndependiente
0%4 goals7%
Racing ClubIndependiente

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time28%
Racing ClubIndependiente
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Racing ClubIndependiente
13%Scored in both halves14%
Racing ClubIndependiente

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
Racing ClubIndependiente
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Racing ClubIndependiente
80%BTTS - last 560%
Racing ClubIndependiente

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Racing ClubIndependiente
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
Racing ClubIndependiente
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Racing ClubIndependiente

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Racing ClubIndependiente
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Racing ClubIndependiente
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Racing ClubIndependiente

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Independiente is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Racing Club · 1.31 pts / match - Independiente

Racing Club - half-time state
23% leading47% draw30% trailing
Independiente - half-time state
24% leading59% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.31
Racing ClubIndependiente
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.52
Racing ClubIndependiente
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Racing ClubIndependiente
1.07Average goals (1st half)1
Racing ClubIndependiente
53%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Racing ClubIndependiente
57%No goal before half-time52%
Racing ClubIndependiente

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.41
Racing ClubIndependiente
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Racing ClubIndependiente
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
Racing ClubIndependiente
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.48
Racing ClubIndependiente
47%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Racing ClubIndependiente
57%No goal after half-time52%
Racing ClubIndependiente

Racing Club - second-half results

20% W43% D37% L
35
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Independiente - second-half results

38% W28% D34% L
38
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Racing Club - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Independiente - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Racing Club
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
7
7
16-30
6
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
4
2
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Independiente
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
3
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
10
7
46-60
3
7
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Racing Club

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Independiente

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Racing ClubLigaIndependiente
Average goals in match▲ 2.272.16▲ 2.48
Both teams scored▲ 60%47%▲ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%38%• 38%
Clean sheets▼ 27%33%▼ 31%
Goal before half-time▲ 70%61%▼ 59%
Goal after half-time• 73%73%▲ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
0.94
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Racing Club 1 - 2 - 2 Independiente. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 20% matches.

Independiente
1 : 0
Racing Club
Racing Club de Avellaneda
0 : 0
CA Independiente
CA Independiente
1 : 1
Racing Club de Avellaneda
Independiente
2 : 0
Racing Club
Racing Club
3 : 0
Independiente

FAQ

When do Racing Club and Independiente play?

Racing Club face Independiente on 18 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Racing Club and Independiente?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Racing Club won 1, Independiente won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Racing Club vs Independiente?

Racing Club score 1.07 goals per game on average and Independiente 1.28. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Racing Club's matches and 55% of Independiente's.

What form are Racing Club and Independiente in?

Over the last 5 games Racing Club have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Independiente 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Racing Club vs Independiente?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.