Racing vs Peñarol: match statistics
Racing vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Racing played Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Parque Osvaldo Roberto. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Racing: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Peñarol: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Racing scores 1.20 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.74 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Racing 47%, Peñarol 55%. Over 2.5: Racing 30%, Peñarol 52%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.60. Racing: 12.9 shots per match, Peñarol: 13.9.
Match halves
Racing: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.63. Peñarol: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Racing: 76-90+ (10 goals). Peñarol: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol sit 1st and have recorded 4 wins and a draw in their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding 4. Racing are third, but have won just once over the same period, with a goal difference of 6:11, which favours the visitors. Peñarol win 69% of their away matches and concede an average of 0.54 goals, while Racing win 60% of their home games and concede 0.73 goals. The quality of chances created is evenly matched: Racing’s average home xG is 1.60, compared with Peñarol’s away xG of 1.57, so the visitors’ edge is not driven by a significantly higher volume of chances. The hosts’ strong defence, keeping a clean sheet in 53% of their home matches, makes the pick less certain, but Peñarol’s current form tips the forecast in their favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by both teams’ scoring records: Racing score an average of 1.94 goals per match, while Peñarol average 1.54, with xG of 1.80 and 1.57 respectively. The visitors’ chances of scoring are boosted by Racing’s recent defensive struggles, having conceded an average of 2.2 goals across their last five matches. The biggest obstacle to BTTS - Yes is Peñarol’s defence: they concede an average of just 0.54 goals and keep a clean sheet in 62% of matches. Even so, both teams scored in 80% of Peñarol’s last five matches and 60% of Racing’s, making goals at both ends slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 88% of Racing’s matches and 62% of Peñarol’s. Both teams also recorded at least 3 goals in 80% of their last five matches. Over that period, Racing conceded an average of 2.2 goals, while Peñarol scored 2.4. Their attacking potential is backed up by average xG figures of 1.80 for Racing and 1.57 for Peñarol, although the visitors have conceded just 0.54 goals per match this season. I therefore estimate a total of 2.84 goals, but prefer the lower line to Over 2.5 goals: this season, the higher line has landed in 71% of Racing’s matches, but only 31% of Peñarol’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Peñarol leading at the break and going on to win: the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Racing were trailing at half-time twice during that period. Peñarol have won 4 of their last 5 matches and have not lost any, whereas Racing have won just once and suffered 3 defeats. The gap in form is also reflected in attack: the visitors have averaged 2.4 goals per match recently, compared with 1.2 for the hosts; Racing have also conceded 2.2 goals per game, versus 0.8 for Peñarol. Over the course of the season, Peñarol have kept a clean sheet in 62% of their matches, strengthening the chances of them protecting any lead. A half-time draw remains a notable alternative, as the visitors have been level at the break in 54% of their matches, but their current form points primarily to the 2/2 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Racing | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Racing · 2.6 pts / match - Peñarol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Racing · 1.74 goals / match - Peñarol
Racing is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Racing · 0.84 goals / match - Peñarol
Racing scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
Peñarol scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Racing
Over / Under - Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Racing · 1.58 pts / match - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Racing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Racing
Peñarol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Racing | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 45% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Racing 2 - 1 - 1 Peñarol. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Racing vs Peñarol?
The Primera División match finished Racing 0:1 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Racing and Peñarol?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Racing won 2, Peñarol won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Racing vs Peñarol?
Racing score 1.20 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.74. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Racing's matches and 55% of Peñarol's.
What form are Racing and Peñarol in?
Over the last 5 games Racing have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Peñarol 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Racing vs Peñarol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.