Scotland - ChampionshipStark's ParkData current as of 21 October 2026

Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Raith Rovers play Inverness CT in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Stark's Park.

Current form

Raith Rovers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Inverness CT: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Raith Rovers scores 1.45 and concedes 0.64 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.27 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Raith Rovers 36%, Inverness CT 45%. Over 2.5: Raith Rovers 27%, Inverness CT 36%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.31. Raith Rovers: 9.3 shots per match, Inverness CT: 10.4.

Match halves

Raith Rovers: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.55. Inverness CT: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Raith Rovers: 0-15 (4 goals). Inverness CT: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.35)
(3.06)
(2.73)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Raith RoversInverness CT
1.45Goals scored / match1.27
Raith RoversInverness CT
0.64Goals conceded / match1
Raith RoversInverness CT
51%Average possession56%
Raith RoversInverness CT
4.45Shots on target / match5.27
Raith RoversInverness CT

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.27Shots per match10.36
Raith RoversInverness CT
4.45Shots on target5.27
Raith RoversInverness CT
15.7%Shot conversion12.3%
Raith RoversInverness CT
51%Possession56%
Raith RoversInverness CT
1.31xG for1.44
Raith RoversInverness CT
0.92xG against0.94
Raith RoversInverness CT

Shooting quality

Raith Rovers: Efficient finishingInverness CT: Balanced
Raith RoversInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)48%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 2 pts / match - Inverness CT

Raith Rovers
DLWWD
Season result split
55% W27% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-2
1.91 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Inverness CT
DWWLW
Season result split
36% W36% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-3
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Raith Rovers is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 1.27 goals / match - Inverness CT

Raith Rovers is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.64 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 1 goals / match - Inverness CT

Raith Rovers scoring profile: strong

Raith Rovers scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).

Inverness CT scoring profile: strong

Inverness CT scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).

16Goals scored (season)14
Raith RoversInverness CT
7Goals conceded (season)11
Raith RoversInverness CT
2.09Average goals in match2.27
Raith RoversInverness CT
5Goals scored (last 5)9
Raith RoversInverness CT
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Raith RoversInverness CT

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal73%
Raith RoversInverness CT
55%2 goals45%
Raith RoversInverness CT
9%3 goals9%
Raith RoversInverness CT
9%4 goals0%
Raith RoversInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal55%
Raith RoversInverness CT
9%2 goals36%
Raith RoversInverness CT
0%3 goals9%
Raith RoversInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
Raith RoversInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

39%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
Raith RoversInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Raith RoversInverness CT
45%Scored in both halves18%
Raith RoversInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Raith RoversInverness CT
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Raith RoversInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 540%
Raith RoversInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Raith RoversInverness CT
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Raith RoversInverness CT
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Raith RoversInverness CT

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
Raith RoversInverness CT
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time18%
Raith RoversInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Raith RoversInverness CT

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Raith Rovers is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 1.27 pts / match - Inverness CT

Raith Rovers - half-time state
55% leading36% draw9% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
36% leading18% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.27
Raith RoversInverness CT
0.91Goals scored (1st half)0.73
Raith RoversInverness CT
0.18Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Raith RoversInverness CT
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.36
Raith RoversInverness CT
82%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Raith RoversInverness CT
36%No goal before half-time55%
Raith RoversInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)1.55
Raith RoversInverness CT
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
Raith RoversInverness CT
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Raith RoversInverness CT
1Average goals (2nd half)0.91
Raith RoversInverness CT
64%Clean sheet after half-time73%
Raith RoversInverness CT
45%No goal after half-time55%
Raith RoversInverness CT

Raith Rovers - second-half results

36% W45% D18% L
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inverness CT - second-half results

36% W45% D18% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Raith Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal100%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Raith Rovers
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.18
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Raith Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Raith RoversLigaInverness CT
Average goals in match• 2.092.02▲ 2.27
Both teams scored▼ 36%39%▲ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 27%28%▲ 36%
Clean sheets▲ 45%35%▲ 45%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%70%▲ 82%
Goal after half-time▲ 73%61%▼ 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.17
Home goals / match
0.85
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Raith Rovers 1 - 0 - 0 Inverness CT. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Raith Rovers and Inverness CT play?

Raith Rovers face Inverness CT on 24 October 2026 in Championship at Stark's Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?

Raith Rovers score 1.45 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.27. The Championship average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Raith Rovers's matches and 45% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Raith Rovers and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Raith Rovers have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.