Raja Casablanca vs Difaâ El Jadida: match statistics
Raja Casablanca vs Difaâ El Jadida: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raja Casablanca played Difaâ El Jadida in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Raja Casablanca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Difaâ El Jadida: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raja Casablanca scores 1.29 and concedes 0.41 goals per match. Difaâ El Jadida scores 0.88 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raja Casablanca 29%, Difaâ El Jadida 41%. Over 2.5: Raja Casablanca 18%, Difaâ El Jadida 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Raja Casablanca has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.08. Raja Casablanca: 10.6 shots per match, Difaâ El Jadida: 8.3.
Match halves
Raja Casablanca: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.71. Difaâ El Jadida: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Raja Casablanca: 76-90+ (7 goals). Difaâ El Jadida: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Raja Casablanca is the favorite in this matchup due to a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.56 goals scored and concede just 0.22, record a 78% clean sheet rate and a 67% home win rate. Offensively the hosts generate more chances: on average 11.78 shots and 4.56 on target per home match with a conversion rate of 13% and average xG of 1.47, while Difaâ El Jadida away averages 7.63 shots, 2.88 on target, xG 1.06 and 0.88 goals per match. Defensively the visitors concede on average 0.75 goals away and have xG against of 1.42, and their clean sheet percentage is 50%, which is inferior to Raja’s defensive quality. Both teams have similar form over the last 5 matches (3 wins each and an average of 2 points), but the superiority in possession (60% vs 48%) and the higher number of shots on target (4.56 vs 2.88) favor the hosts. Based on this I forecast a home win: 68% chance for Raja, 18% for a draw and 14% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing BTTS - Yes (65%) primarily due to recent form over the last 5 matches: Raja has BTTS in 60% of their last 5, Difaâ in 80%, with goal averages of 1.8 (Raja) and 1.4 (Difaâ) and goals conceded 0.8 and 1.0 respectively in those games. Season-long signals are mixed — Raja posts season BTTS of 33% and only 7 goals conceded this season (clean sheet expected tendencies), while Difaâ has season BTTS of 50% and 16 goals conceded, increasing the likelihood that the visitors will find the net. xG analysis shows similar attacking potential: xG_for 1.10 for Raja vs 1.06 for Difaâ, and xG_against around 1.44 and 1.42 suggests both teams allow opponents ~1.4 xG on average. On-target shots 3.0 vs 2.88 and conversion rates 10% vs 11% confirm that scoring opportunities will be created at both ends, and with the league BTTS average at 49% the prevailing scenario is both teams to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model projects 1.26 goals for Raja (attacking xG 1.10 vs opponent xG conceded 1.42) and 1.25 for Difaâ (attacking xG 1.06 vs opponent xG conceded 1.44), totaling 2.51 expected goals. This aggregate is above the league average of 2.17 and, under a Poisson distribution, corresponds to ~71.5% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~46% for 3+ goals (Over 2.5) and ~25% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5). Recent form supports this: in the last 5 matches Raja scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and Difaâ 7 goals (1.4 per game), with BTTS in the last 5 at 60% and 80% respectively, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Season-long Over 2.5 rates are 44% (Raja) and 38% (Difaâ), and Over 3.5 rates are 22% and 0%, so the strongest and most reliable signal from the data points to Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Raja starts strongly: in 4 of their last 5 matches they held a lead at the break (80%), averaging 1.0 first-half goals and conceding 0.0 in those games. Seasonally the hosts average 0.44 goals by half-time and concede 0.33, whereas Difaâ has only 0.13 goals by half-time and is level at the break in 88% of appearances. After the break the visitors are more dangerous — Difaâ averages 0.75 goals in second halves and has scored after half-time in 100% of their last 5 matches, while Raja averages 0.44 second-half goals. Considering the seasonal 44% home win rate versus 25% away win rate and Raja’s advantage in half-time statistics, the most likely scenario is 1/1 (Raja leading at half-time and winning). Due to the visitors’ activity after the break I also assign significant weight to the 1/X (draw after a Raja half-time lead) scenario — hence allocations of 34% for 1/1 and 24% for 1/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raja Casablanca | Difaâ El Jadida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raja Casablanca is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Raja Casablanca · 0.88 goals / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Raja Casablanca is 129% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.41 goals / match - Raja Casablanca · 0.94 goals / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Raja Casablanca scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Difaâ El Jadida keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
Difaâ El Jadida scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Raja Casablanca keeps a clean sheet in 65% (11 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Raja Casablanca
Over / Under - Difaâ El Jadida
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Raja Casablanca is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.06 pts / match - Raja Casablanca · 1.18 pts / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raja Casablanca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Difaâ El Jadida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raja Casablanca
Difaâ El Jadida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Raja Casablanca | Liga | Difaâ El Jadida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.14 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 38% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 65% | 32% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Raja Casablanca 1 - 0 - 0 Difaâ El Jadida. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raja Casablanca vs Difaâ El Jadida?
The Botola Pro match finished Raja Casablanca 1:0 Difaâ El Jadida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raja Casablanca vs Difaâ El Jadida?
Raja Casablanca score 1.29 goals per game on average and Difaâ El Jadida 0.88. The Botola Pro average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Raja Casablanca's matches and 41% of Difaâ El Jadida's.
What form are Raja Casablanca and Difaâ El Jadida in?
Over the last 5 games Raja Casablanca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Difaâ El Jadida 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raja Casablanca vs Difaâ El Jadida?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.