Rangers vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Rangers vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rangers played Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Ibrox Stadium. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Rangers: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Kilmarnock: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rangers scores 1.14 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 0.86 and concedes 2.14. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rangers 43%, Kilmarnock 43%. Over 2.5: Rangers 29%, Kilmarnock 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Rangers has higher xG: 2.20 vs 1.17. Rangers: 20.4 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 9.9.
Match halves
Rangers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Rangers: 76-90+ (3 goals). Kilmarnock: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rangers have won their last five matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 1, while Kilmarnock have recorded one win and scored 3 goals over the same period. At home, Rangers average 23.67 shots per match, compared with 10 shots for Kilmarnock away, and their xG stands at 2.55 against 1.30 for their opponents. However, Rangers score an average of just 1 goal at home, so their high volume of chances does not always translate into goals. The hosts’ defence concedes an average of 0.67 goals at home, while Kilmarnock allow opponents an xG of 1.83 on the road. Rangers’ advantage in form and chance creation points to a home win, although their limited finishing leaves the door open for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: Rangers have conceded just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2, while Kilmarnock have scored an average of 0.6 goals over that period. Across those same five games, both teams scored in 20% of Rangers’ matches and 40% of Kilmarnock’s, below the league average of 52%. The case for a home goal is supported by Rangers’ average of 1.6 goals and an xG of 2.0 in their last five matches, compared with the 1.66 xG conceded by the visitors. Although Rangers have conceded an average of 2.75 goals at home, their recent defensive form and Kilmarnock’s lower scoring efficiency make it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Rangers averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded just 0.2, while Kilmarnock averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The hosts’ attacking potential is reflected in an average xG of 2.00, but their opponents allowed chances worth 1.66 xG during this period, which does not point to an easy, high-scoring game. None of Kilmarnock’s last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals, while this happened in 40% of Rangers’ matches. With a projected total of 2.4 goals, Under 3.5 offers a greater safety margin than Under 2.5, even though the hosts could score more than once.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Rangers win: Kilmarnock were level at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches, while a half-time draw occurred twice in the teams’ last 5 matches each. The case for a home win is supported by Rangers’ current form—they have won their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.2, while the visitors have won 1 of 5 and averaged 0.6 goals. Rangers won the second half in 3 of those 5 matches, whereas Kilmarnock did not win it once, reinforcing the prospect of the match being decided after the break. However, the venue-specific results temper confidence in this pick: Rangers trailed at half-time in 3 of their 4 home matches and did not win any of them. I therefore rate a half-time draw more highly than a home lead at the break, but Rangers’ recent winning run tilts the full-time prediction in their favour.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rangers | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rangers is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Rangers · 1 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rangers is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Rangers · 0.86 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Rangers is 275% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.57 goals / match - Rangers · 2.14 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Rangers scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Kilmarnock scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rangers
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rangers is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Rangers · 1.14 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rangers
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Rangers | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Rangers 3 - 0 - 0 Kilmarnock. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Rangers 3:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rangers and Kilmarnock?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rangers won 3, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Rangers score 1.14 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 0.86. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rangers's matches and 43% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Rangers and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Rangers have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Kilmarnock 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The statistical background for Rangers vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.