Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura: match statistics
Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raya Ghazl played El Mansura in Second Division (Egypt). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Raya Ghazl: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. El Mansura: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raya Ghazl scores 0.60 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. El Mansura scores 0.80 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raya Ghazl 40%, El Mansura 33%. Over 2.5: Raya Ghazl 40%, El Mansura 17%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
El Mansura has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.13. Raya Ghazl: 7.3 shots per match, El Mansura: 6.2.
Match halves
Raya Ghazl: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.40. El Mansura: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Raya Ghazl: 76-90+ (8 goals). El Mansura: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Mansura appear favorites due to a clear table advantage (away team 9th, home team 18th) and a superior goal record this season: 24 scored and 24 conceded versus Raya’s 18 scored and 40 conceded. Raya are in very poor form — over the last 5 matches they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring only 1 goal and conceding 10, equating to 0.2 points per match; El Mansura in the same period have 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, 3 goals and 0.8 points per match. The visitors’ defence looks more compact: El Mansura concede 0.71 goals on average away and have 57% clean sheets, while Raya at home concede 1.4 goals per match and have only 20% clean sheets; lower xG against (1.31 vs 1.59) confirms the visitors’ lower vulnerability. Offensively Raya register slightly more shots and shots on target at home (on average 8.14 shots and 3.36 on target) and have a higher conversion rate of 12% versus the visitors’ 10%, but this barely translates into results given just 1 goal in the last 5 fixtures. Based on this, I forecast an away win, with probabilities approximately 45% for El Mansura, 35% for a draw and 20% for a Raya win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS - No at 75% and BTTS - Yes at 25% because signals strongly favor a match without both teams scoring. Raya Ghazl has a seasonal BTTS 44% versus only 21% for El Mansura, while the league records 41% BTTS, indicating El Mansura significantly lowers the likelihood of both teams scoring. El Mansura keeps a clean sheet in 57% of matches and fails to score in 50% of games, whereas Raya has scored 18 and conceded 40 this season (avg 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded); in the last 5 matches Raya averages 0.2 scored and 2.0 conceded, and El Mansura averages 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. Although Raya posts higher xG (1.50) and more shots (10.64 total and 4.09 on target) than El Mansura (xG 0.95, 7.09 total and 2.82 on target), the hosts convert chances to just 0.88 goals on average, which reinforces the No Goal (BTTS - No) scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis forecasts total goals around 2.48 – home ~1.41 (home attack xG 1.50 vs xG conceded to visitors 1.31), away ~1.07 (away attack xG 0.95 vs xG conceded to hosts 1.20). A Poisson model with λ=2.48 gives probability of Over 1.5 ≈71%, Over 2.5 ≈45% and Over 3.5 ≈24%. Home side averages 10.64 shots and 4.09 on target per match vs visitors’ 7.09/2.82, and seasonal Over 1.5 rates are 56% for home and 43% for away, which supports a minimum-2-goal scenario. At the same time, low seasonal Over 2.5 rates (19% and 14%) and a high clean-sheet rate for the away team (57%) limit confidence in 3+ goals, so the strongest signal is the Over line at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: hosts were level at the break in 69% of matches, visitors in 62%, giving an average of about a 66% chance of a draw HT. A draw at Full-Time is also realistic — hosts finish level in 50% of games, visitors in 43%, and visitors keep a clean sheet in 57% of cases, while the league records 76% of matches with at least one clean sheet, which favors low-scoring outcomes. However, hosts create more chances (xG 1.5 vs 0.95, 10.64 shots vs 7.09 and 4.09 shots on target vs 2.82), so if a decision comes, the hosts are the favourite. The hosts’ low conversion rate of 8% (vs 10% for visitors) and the fact that hosts have 75% of matches with at least one goal after the break and have scored 5 goals in minutes 76–90 mean many games remain draws until the end or are decided in the second half. Therefore my primary pick is HT/FT draw/draw (X/X 34%) with significant support for the scenario draw at the break and a home turnaround after the break (X/1 22%) and for 1/1 (12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raya Ghazl | El Mansura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Mansura is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Raya Ghazl · 0.8 pts / match - El Mansura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Mansura is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Raya Ghazl · 0.8 goals / match - El Mansura
El Mansura is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Raya Ghazl · 0.8 goals / match - El Mansura
Raya Ghazl scores in 47% of matches (14 of 30 matches), while El Mansura keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).
El Mansura scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Raya Ghazl keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Raya Ghazl
Over / Under - El Mansura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Mansura is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Raya Ghazl · 1.27 pts / match - El Mansura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raya Ghazl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
El Mansura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raya Ghazl
El Mansura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Raya Ghazl | Liga | El Mansura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.93 | 1.90 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Raya Ghazl 0 - 1 - 0 El Mansura. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
The Second Division match finished Raya Ghazl 1:2 El Mansura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
Raya Ghazl score 0.60 goals per game on average and El Mansura 0.80. The Second Division average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Raya Ghazl's matches and 33% of El Mansura's.
What form are Raya Ghazl and El Mansura in?
Over the last 5 games Raya Ghazl have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and El Mansura 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.