Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao: match statistics
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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano play Athletic Club Bilbao in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 10 October 2026. Venue: Estadio de Vallecas.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Athletic Club Bilbao: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 1.57 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Athletic Club Bilbao scores 1.17 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 100%, Athletic Club Bilbao 33%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 71%, Athletic Club Bilbao 33%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Club Bilbao has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.45. Rayo Vallecano: 13.4 shots per match, Athletic Club Bilbao: 15.7.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Athletic Club Bilbao: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 46-60 (5 goals). Athletic Club Bilbao: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Athletic Club Bilbao is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.6 pts / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayo Vallecano is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.17 goals / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Athletic Club Bilbao is 129% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.29 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1 goals / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Athletic Club Bilbao keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Athletic Club Bilbao scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - Athletic Club Bilbao
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1 pts / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Athletic Club Bilbao - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club Bilbao
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.86 | 3.03 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 - 1 Athletic Club Bilbao. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club Bilbao play?
Rayo Vallecano face Athletic Club Bilbao on 10 October 2026 in La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club Bilbao?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 0, Athletic Club Bilbao won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.57 goals per game on average and Athletic Club Bilbao 1.17. The La Liga average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 33% of Athletic Club Bilbao's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club Bilbao in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Athletic Club Bilbao 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.