Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo: match statistics
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano played Celta de Vigo in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Estadio de Vallecas. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Celta de Vigo: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 1.33 and concedes 2.22 goals per match. Celta de Vigo scores 1.00 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 89%, Celta de Vigo 40%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 67%, Celta de Vigo 30%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.17. Rayo Vallecano: 14.8 shots per match, Celta de Vigo: 9.7.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Celta de Vigo: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 46-60 (5 goals). Celta de Vigo: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw is the most likely outcome, as Celta have drawn all 4 of their away matches so far, scoring and conceding an average of 0.25 goals per game. Rayo have greater attacking potential at home, averaging 1.5 goals from an xG of 1.62, while the visitors score just 0.25 goals per away game from an xG of 1.11. However, breaking down Celta’s defence could prove difficult: they have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their away matches and restrict opponents to chances worth an average xG of 1.19. The hosts have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches, although Celta have scored just 5 over the same period, so their advantage in the table—7th place compared with Rayo in 16th—does not guarantee a win. The last 5 meetings have seen 2 Celta wins to Rayo’s 1, boosting the visitors’ chances, but their poor away finishing points towards a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Celta’s away scoring record: they average just 0.25 goals and failed to score in 75% of such matches. Rayo average 1.5 goals at home, but Celta have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their away matches, so a home goal is not guaranteed either. Both teams scored in 25% of Celta’s away matches, compared with 50% of Rayo’s home games. Recent form is a warning sign: both teams scored in 80% and 60% of the two sides’ five most recent matches, respectively. Even so, Celta’s poor away finishing, with an average of 2 shots on target per match, lends slightly greater support to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this total was recorded in 83% of Rayo’s home matches and 100% of Celta’s away matches. The visitors average just 0.25 goals away from home and failed to score in 75% of those matches, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. Rayo average 1.5 goals at home, but Celta concede only 0.25 away, so I expect around 1.37 goals for the hosts and 0.91 for the visitors. Caution is warranted, as Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of both teams’ last five matches; nevertheless, their records at the relevant venues more strongly support Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Celta were level at the break in 3 of their 4 away matches and in 4 of their last 5 games overall. They did not concede before half-time in any of those five matches, limiting Rayo’s chances of taking an early lead. A draw at full-time is supported by the fact that all 4 of Celta’s away matches ended level, with the visitors averaging just 0.25 goals scored and conceded per game. Rayo score an average of 1.5 goals at home, but Celta kept a clean sheet in 75% of their away matches and did not concede after the break in any of them. The small difference in the teams’ average xG, 1.22 compared with 1.11, also suggests no clear advantage, making a draw at both half-time and full-time the strongest pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celta de Vigo is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.8 pts / match - Celta de Vigo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayo Vallecano is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1 goals / match - Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo is 217% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.22 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.7 goals / match - Celta de Vigo
Rayo Vallecano scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Celta de Vigo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
Celta de Vigo scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - Celta de Vigo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celta de Vigo is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.4 pts / match - Celta de Vigo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Celta de Vigo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
Celta de Vigo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.56 | 2.98 | ▼ 1.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 89% | 57% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 - 1 Celta de Vigo. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Celta de Vigo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Celta de Vigo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 0, Celta de Vigo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.33 goals per game on average and Celta de Vigo 1.00. The La Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 89% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 40% of Celta de Vigo's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Celta de Vigo in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Celta de Vigo 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.