Spain - La LigaEstadio de VallecasData current as of 21 October 2026

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rayo Vallecano play Elche CF in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estadio de Vallecas.

Current form

Rayo Vallecano: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Elche CF: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rayo Vallecano scores 1.50 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Elche CF scores 1.22 and concedes 1.89. League average: 3.07 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 100%, Elche CF 67%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 63%, Elche CF 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.30. Rayo Vallecano: 14.4 shots per match, Elche CF: 11.0.

Match halves

Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63. Elche CF: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Rayo Vallecano: 46-60 (5 goals). Elche CF: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

La Liga: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.73)
(3.80)
(4.40)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Rayo VallecanoElche CF
1.5Goals scored / match1.22
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
2.13Goals conceded / match1.89
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
51%Average possession51%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
4.63Shots on target / match4.22
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.38Shots per match11
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
4.63Shots on target4.22
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
10.4%Shot conversion11.1%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
51%Possession51%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
1.53xG for1.3
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
1.74xG against1.61
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

Shooting quality

Rayo Vallecano: AttackingElche CF: Balanced
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
Accuracy (shots on target)32%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rayo Vallecano is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.2 pts / match - Elche CF

Rayo Vallecano
WLWDD
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Elche CF
DLWDD
Season result split
11% W44% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-4
0.78 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rayo Vallecano is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.22 goals / match - Elche CF

Elche CF is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.13 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.89 goals / match - Elche CF

Rayo Vallecano scoring profile: very strong

Rayo Vallecano scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Elche CF keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Elche CF scoring profile: very strong

Elche CF scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

12Goals scored (season)11
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
17Goals conceded (season)17
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
3.63Average goals in match3.11
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
8Goals scored (last 5)6
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
38%2 goals44%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
13%3 goals11%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
0%4 goals0%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal78%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
50%2 goals44%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
25%3 goals44%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
25%4 goals11%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time0%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
13%BTTS in both halves0%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
25%Scored in both halves11%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
100%BTTS - last 560%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
38%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rayo Vallecano is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.67 pts / match - Elche CF

Rayo Vallecano - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing
Elche CF - half-time state
11% leading33% draw56% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)0.67
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.22
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
1Goals conceded (1st half)1.11
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
1.88Average goals (1st half)1.33
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
50%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
38%No goal before half-time89%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.78
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)1
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.78
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
25%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF
38%No goal after half-time33%
Rayo VallecanoElche CF

Rayo Vallecano - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Elche CF - second-half results

44% W44% D11% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rayo Vallecano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.21.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Elche CF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rayo Vallecano
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
4
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Elche CF
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
0
4
31-45
1
0
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.37
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rayo Vallecano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
158%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Elche CF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
45% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
45%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).

Teams vs league

Rayo VallecanoLigaElche CF
Average goals in match▲ 3.633.07• 3.11
Both teams scored▲ 100%59%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%56%• 56%
Clean sheets▼ 0%25%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%66%• 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%82%▼ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.07
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.72
Home goals / match
1.35
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 - 1 Elche CF. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Rayo Vallecano and Elche CF play?

Rayo Vallecano face Elche CF on 24 October 2026 in La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Elche CF?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 1, Elche CF won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF?

Rayo Vallecano score 1.50 goals per game on average and Elche CF 1.22. The La Liga average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 67% of Elche CF's.

What form are Rayo Vallecano and Elche CF in?

Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Elche CF 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF?

The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.