RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: match statistics
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RB Leipzig played Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Red Bull Arena. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
RB Leipzig: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Hamburger SV: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
RB Leipzig scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Hamburger SV scores 0.00 and concedes 3.50. League average: 3.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RB Leipzig 50%, Hamburger SV 0%. Over 2.5: RB Leipzig 100%, Hamburger SV 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 80%.
xG, shots and style
RB Leipzig has higher xG: 2.43 vs 0.90. RB Leipzig: 22.0 shots per match, Hamburger SV: 8.0.
Match halves
RB Leipzig: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50. Hamburger SV: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
RB Leipzig: 16-30 (1 goals). Hamburger SV: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.84 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 80%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RB Leipzig have a clear home advantage: they won their only home match to date, scoring 3 goals and conceding none. The hosts create a high volume of chances, averaging 25 shots, including 11 on target, while their average xG stands at 2.62 compared with 1.55 xG conceded to opponents. Hamburger SV have lost both away matches, failed to score in either, and concede an average of 2.21 xG to their opponents. Away from home, the visitors generate just 0.97 xG, average 3 shots on target and concede 2 goals per match, pointing to difficulties in containing Leipzig’s attack. Although Hamburg have won 2 of their last 5 matches overall, their 7:10 goal difference during that period and poor away efficiency strongly favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - No is driven primarily by current-season data: neither team has scored yet, and the percentage of matches featuring goals for both sides stands at 0% for each team. Hamburger have been particularly ineffective in attack, failing to score despite averaging 3 shots on target and recording an xG of 0.97, while RB Leipzig have managed just 1 shot on target and an xG of 0.82. The picture has been more open across the last 5 matches, but BTTS occurred in only 40% of both teams’ games, clearly below the league average of 56%. Leipzig have recently been creating more high-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.88 compared with Hamburger’s 1.08. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that the hosts score, but at least one team fails to find the net. In betting terms, BTTS - No means that at least one team does not score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
RB Leipzig’s last five matches produced an average of 3.8 goals, with the team scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.6. Over the same period, Hamburger SV averaged 1.4 goals scored and as many as 2.0 conceded per match, which supports a high-scoring home performance. In the teams’ last five appearances, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 80% of cases. Leipzig generated an average of 1.88 xG per match, while HSV allowed opponents 1.68 xG, so the hosts should produce around 1.85 goals. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as even with a more cautious projected total of 3.10 goals, the risk of a match finishing with no more than one goal remains clearly limited.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is RB Leipzig leading at the break and holding on to the win, although the advantage is not pronounced. In their last five matches, the hosts have averaged 2.2 goals scored, while Hamburger have conceded 2.0 goals per game, creating a favorable matchup for Leipzig’s attack. Before half-time, Leipzig averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, whereas HSV scored just 0.5 goals and allowed opponents to average 1.0. The hosts were ahead at half-time in 40% of their last five appearances, and after the break they averaged 1.4 goals, compared with HSV’s 0.75. Leipzig’s defense remains vulnerable, however, having allowed an average of 1.6 goals over their last five matches, which is why draw and away-win scenarios still retain a significant share of the probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RB Leipzig is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - RB Leipzig · 3.5 goals / match - Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Hamburger SV scores in 0% of matches (0 of 2 matches), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RB Leipzig
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| RB Leipzig | Liga | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.50 | 3.84 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 92% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Hamburger SVYellow cardShafiq Bello Nandja
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): RB Leipzig 2 - 0 - 0 Hamburger SV. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
The Bundesliga match finished RB Leipzig 5:0 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 2, Hamburger SV won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
RB Leipzig score 2.00 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 0.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 80% of games. Both teams score in 50% of RB Leipzig's matches and 0% of Hamburger SV's.
What form are RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV in?
Over the last 5 games RB Leipzig have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Hamburger SV 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


