Peru - Primera DivisiónData current as of 07 September 2026

Real Garcilaso vs Melgar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Real Garcilaso vs Melgar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Real Garcilaso play Melgar in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 12 September 2026.

Current form

Real Garcilaso: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Melgar: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Real Garcilaso scores 1.52 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Melgar scores 1.72 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Real Garcilaso 64%, Melgar 64%. Over 2.5: Real Garcilaso 60%, Melgar 60%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Melgar has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.39. Real Garcilaso: 12.9 shots per match, Melgar: 15.0.

Match halves

Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.76. Melgar: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Real Garcilaso: 0-15 (8 goals). Melgar: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.14)
(3.35)
(3.10)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Real GarcilasoMelgar
1.52Goals scored / match1.72
Real GarcilasoMelgar
1.44Goals conceded / match1.12
Real GarcilasoMelgar
57%Average possession55%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
4.68Shots on target / match4.88
Real GarcilasoMelgar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.92Shots per match14.96
Real GarcilasoMelgar
4.68Shots on target4.88
Real GarcilasoMelgar
11.8%Shot conversion11.5%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
57%Possession55%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
1.39xG for1.57
Real GarcilasoMelgar
1.54xG against1.43
Real GarcilasoMelgar

Shooting quality

Real Garcilaso: BalancedMelgar: Dominant
Real GarcilasoMelgar
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Real Garcilaso is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.4 pts / match - Melgar

Real Garcilaso
LWLWW
Season result split
52% W12% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-3-9
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-2-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Melgar
LWDLW
Season result split
48% W24% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-7
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Melgar is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.72 goals / match - Melgar

Melgar is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.44 goals / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.12 goals / match - Melgar

Real Garcilaso scoring profile: very strong

Real Garcilaso scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).

Melgar scoring profile: very strong

Melgar scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).

38Goals scored (season)43
Real GarcilasoMelgar
36Goals conceded (season)28
Real GarcilasoMelgar
2.96Average goals in match2.84
Real GarcilasoMelgar
8Goals scored (last 5)9
Real GarcilasoMelgar
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Real GarcilasoMelgar

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal84%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
44%2 goals52%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
16%3 goals28%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
8%4 goals8%
Real GarcilasoMelgar

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal72%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
28%2 goals20%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
12%3 goals16%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
8%4 goals4%
Real GarcilasoMelgar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time24%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
32%Scored in both halves32%
Real GarcilasoMelgar

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
60%BTTS - last 540%
Real GarcilasoMelgar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Real GarcilasoMelgar

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Real GarcilasoMelgar

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Melgar is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.68 pts / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.84 pts / match - Melgar

Real Garcilaso - half-time state
40% leading48% draw12% trailing
Melgar - half-time state
48% leading40% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.68Points per match (1st half)1.84
Real GarcilasoMelgar
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Real GarcilasoMelgar
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Real GarcilasoMelgar
1.28Average goals (1st half)1.24
Real GarcilasoMelgar
64%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
44%No goal before half-time32%
Real GarcilasoMelgar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.4
Real GarcilasoMelgar
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
Real GarcilasoMelgar
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
Real GarcilasoMelgar
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Real GarcilasoMelgar
40%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Real GarcilasoMelgar
40%No goal after half-time52%
Real GarcilasoMelgar

Real Garcilaso - second-half results

36% W32% R32% P
42
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Melgar - second-half results

40% W20% R40% P
46
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Garcilaso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Melgar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Real Garcilaso
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
7
6
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
8
46-60
6
7
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Melgar
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
3
16-30
11
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Real Garcilaso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Melgar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Real GarcilasoLigaMelgar
Average goals in match 2.962.78 2.84
Both teams scored 64%58% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%53% 60%
Clean sheets 20%24% 28%
Goal before half-time 68%68% 76%
Goal after half-time 88%79% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+60%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defence advantage
+31%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Real Garcilaso 2 - 0 - 1 Melgar. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Melgar
1 : 3
Real Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
0 : 2
Asociación Civil Real Atlético Garcilaso
Asociación Civil Real Atlético Garcilaso
0 : 1
FBC Melgar

FAQ

When do Real Garcilaso and Melgar play?

Real Garcilaso face Melgar on 12 September 2026 in Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Real Garcilaso and Melgar?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Real Garcilaso won 2, Melgar won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Garcilaso vs Melgar?

Real Garcilaso score 1.52 goals per game on average and Melgar 1.72. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Real Garcilaso's matches and 64% of Melgar's.

What form are Real Garcilaso and Melgar in?

Over the last 5 games Real Garcilaso have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Melgar 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Garcilaso vs Melgar?

The statistical background for Real Garcilaso vs Melgar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.