Peru - Primera DivisiónEstadio Inca Garcilaso de la VegaData current as of 02 September 2026

Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua: match statistics

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Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Real Garcilaso play UCV Moquegua in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Current form

Real Garcilaso: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. UCV Moquegua: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Real Garcilaso scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. UCV Moquegua scores 0.96 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.72 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Real Garcilaso 67%, UCV Moquegua 46%. Over 2.5: Real Garcilaso 63%, UCV Moquegua 54%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Real Garcilaso has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.08. Real Garcilaso: 12.3 shots per match, UCV Moquegua: 10.2.

Match halves

Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75. UCV Moquegua: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.54.

Goals by minute

Real Garcilaso: 0-15 (7 goals). UCV Moquegua: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.24)
(5.60)
(12.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.5Goals scored / match0.96
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.5Goals conceded / match1.38
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
57%Average possession40%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
4.38Shots on target / match3.29
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.33Shots per match10.17
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
4.38Shots on target3.29
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
12.2%Shot conversion9.4%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
57%Possession40%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.33xG for1.08
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.56xG against1.63
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Shooting quality

Real Garcilaso: BalancedUCV Moquegua: Balanced
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Real Garcilaso is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Real Garcilaso · 1 pts / match - UCV Moquegua

Real Garcilaso
WLWLW
Season result split
50% W13% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-3-9
1.63 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
UCV Moquegua
DLDWL
Season result split
25% W29% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-11
1.04 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Garcilaso is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Real Garcilaso · 0.96 goals / match - UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.38 goals / match - UCV Moquegua

Real Garcilaso scoring profile: very strong

Real Garcilaso scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while UCV Moquegua keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).

UCV Moquegua scoring profile: strong

UCV Moquegua scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).

36Goals scored (season)23
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
36Goals conceded (season)33
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
3Average goals in match2.33
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
10Goals scored (last 5)4
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal58%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
42%2 goals33%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
17%3 goals4%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
8%4 goals0%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal71%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
29%2 goals42%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
13%3 goals17%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
8%4 goals8%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
29%Scored in both halves21%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
80%BTTS - last 540%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Garcilaso is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.29 pts / match - UCV Moquegua

Real Garcilaso - half-time state
38% leading50% draw13% trailing
UCV Moquegua - half-time state
29% leading42% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.29
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.42
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.29Average goals (1st half)0.88
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
63%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
46%No goal before half-time63%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)0.88
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.54
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.46
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
42%No goal after half-time58%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Real Garcilaso - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

UCV Moquegua - second-half results

17% W38% R46% P
31
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Garcilaso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.6
Average goals in match1.22.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
UCV Moquegua - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Real Garcilaso
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
7
6
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
8
46-60
6
7
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

UCV Moquegua
ScoredConceded
6
0
0-15
3
4
16-30
1
7
31-45
8
8
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Real Garcilaso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

UCV Moquegua

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Real GarcilasoLigaUCV Moquegua
Average goals in match 3.002.72 2.33
Both teams scored 67%58% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%52% 54%
Clean sheets 17%25% 29%
Goal before half-time 67%67% 67%
Goal after half-time 88%79% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+58%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defence advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Real Garcilaso 1 - 0 - 0 UCV Moquegua. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Real Garcilaso and UCV Moquegua play?

Real Garcilaso face UCV Moquegua on 5 September 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua?

Real Garcilaso score 1.50 goals per game on average and UCV Moquegua 0.96. The Primera División average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Real Garcilaso's matches and 46% of UCV Moquegua's.

What form are Real Garcilaso and UCV Moquegua in?

Over the last 5 games Real Garcilaso have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and UCV Moquegua 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua?

The statistical background for Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.