Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest: match statistics
Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Tomayapo played The Strongest in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Real Tomayapo: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. The Strongest: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Tomayapo scores 0.50 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. The Strongest scores 2.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Tomayapo 50%, The Strongest 100%. Over 2.5: Real Tomayapo 50%, The Strongest 100%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
The Strongest has higher xG: 1.83 vs 0.80. Real Tomayapo: 7.5 shots per match, The Strongest: 17.0.
Match halves
Real Tomayapo: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. The Strongest: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Real Tomayapo: 61-75 (1 goals). The Strongest: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win for The Strongest (2): they sit 3rd in the table versus Real Tomayapo’s 15th and show superior figures in key metrics. The Strongest average 16 shots and 8 on target per away match, while Real average 11 shots and only 3 on target at home; shot conversion is 13% vs 9% in favor of the visitors. The visitors also have higher xG (1.76 vs 1.22 for the hosts), and Real’s average xG conceded is 2.01, indicating defensive vulnerability. In the last 5 matches Real conceded 11 goals (2.2 per game) versus 6 conceded by The Strongest (1.2 per game) and earned 0.8 points per game compared to the visitors’ 1.8, hence the probability split 60/25/15.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 100% (Real Tomayapo 100% and The Strongest 100%), and season clean sheets are 0% for both sides, strongly favoring a Goal/Goal scenario (BTTS - Yes). Supporting this are xG values: Real averages xG 1.90 versus xG against The Strongest 1.66, and The Strongest averages xG 1.76 versus xG against Real 1.56, indicating goal-scoring opportunities on both ends (1.90 vs 1.66 and 1.76 vs 1.56). In the last 5 matches Real had BTTS at 40% and conceded on average 2.2 goals, while The Strongest had 60% BTTS and conceded on average 1.2 goals, so in the short term the home side is more defensively vulnerable. Season scoring averages are 3.0 for Real and 2.0 for The Strongest, the league average is 3.28 goals per match, and both teams have 100% of games over 2.5 and 100% of matches combining Over 2.5 with BTTS, therefore I recommend BTTS - Yes as the primary pick (85% vs 15%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average attacking xG is 1.9 for Real Tomayapo and 1.76 for The Strongest; comparing these to the opponents’ defenses (average xG against: 1.66 for the away side and 1.56 for the home side) yields expected goals of 1.78 for Real and 1.66 for The Strongest, totaling 3.44 goals. Shot and conversion statistics support an offensive profile: Real averages 18 shots with a 17% conversion (18*0.17=3.06), The Strongest 16 shots with 13% (16*0.13=2.08), which rawly indicates a total of 5.14 goals, while seasonal goals-per-game are 3.0 (home) and 2.0 (away). Both teams have BTTS 100% and 8 on-target shots per match each, but the last 5 matches show lower xG (1.26 and 1.63), so I applied a moderate downward adjustment to the forecast. A Poisson model on an expected 3.44 goals gives P(Over 1.5) ≈86%, P(Over 2.5) ≈67% and P(Over 3.5) ≈45%. Based on this, I recommend an Over 2.5 bet as the best line: adjusted xG 3.44, season-long 100% Over 2.5 rate and high shot/conversion figures create a strong signal for the over.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics show a clear home lead at the break: leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 100% and scoredAVGHT_home = 1.0 with concededAVGHT_home = 0.0, which strongly indicates Real Tomayapo leading after 45 minutes. However, The Strongest provide a clear second-half signal — points_2hg_away = 3.0 and ppg_2hg_away = 3.0 and last5_ppg_2hg_overall_away = 1.6 versus 0.4 for the hosts, and additionally the hosts concede most goals in minutes 76–90 (goals_conceded_min_76_to_90_home = 2.0), which favors away turnarounds. Offensively the hosts are marginally better in xG and conversion (xG_for_avg_home = 1.9 vs xG_for_avg_away = 1.76, shot_conversion_rate 17% vs 13%), so I expect their goal before the break (GoalsHT_home = 1.0). Given these figures the most likely scenario is Real Tomayapo leading at half-time and The Strongest overturning the result after the break — HT/FT 1/2 (I estimate 40%), with 20% assigned to 1/1 and 10% to 1/X as alternatives. I allocate the remaining 30% to other outcomes due to The Strongest’s superior end-form in the last five matches (last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 60% vs home = 20%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Tomayapo | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
The Strongest is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / match - Real Tomayapo · 3 pts / match - The Strongest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
The Strongest is 400% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Real Tomayapo · 2.5 goals / match - The Strongest
The Strongest is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Real Tomayapo · 1.5 goals / match - The Strongest
Real Tomayapo scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while The Strongest keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
The Strongest scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Real Tomayapo keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Tomayapo
Over / Under - The Strongest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
The Strongest is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Real Tomayapo · 2 pts / match - The Strongest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Tomayapo - second-half results
Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
The Strongest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Real Tomayapo | Liga | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.13 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Real Tomayapo 1 - 0 - 1 The Strongest. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest?
The LFPB match finished Real Tomayapo 0:0 The Strongest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Tomayapo and The Strongest?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Real Tomayapo won 1, The Strongest won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest?
Real Tomayapo score 0.50 goals per game on average and The Strongest 2.50. The LFPB average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Real Tomayapo's matches and 100% of The Strongest's.
What form are Real Tomayapo and The Strongest in?
Over the last 5 games Real Tomayapo have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and The Strongest 2-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest?
The statistical background for Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


