Red Star vs Nancy: match statistics
Red Star vs Nancy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Red Star played Nancy in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 2 November 2026. Venue: Stade de Paris. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Red Star: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nancy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Red Star scores 1.30 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Nancy scores 1.20 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Red Star 60%, Nancy 30%. Over 2.5: Red Star 50%, Nancy 30%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Red Star has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.58. Red Star: 14.4 shots per match, Nancy: 14.5.
Match halves
Red Star: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. Nancy: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Red Star: 0-15 (3 goals). Nancy: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nancy sit 3rd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while sixth-placed Red Star have recorded 3 wins over the same period. Away from home, the visitors win 60% of their matches and score an average of 1.4 goals, whereas the hosts have won only 25% of their home games and average 0.5 goals. Red Star do create higher-value chances in terms of xG (1.65 compared with Nancy’s away xG of 1.41), but their home shot conversion rate is just 4%, against 11% for the visitors. The defences are comparable in terms of the quality of chances they concede, with average xG against of 1.01 and 1.06 respectively, but Nancy concede an average of 1 goal away from home, compared with 1.25 for Red Star at home. Greater finishing efficiency and stronger away form favour Nancy, although the hosts’ xG advantage gives them a chance to pick up points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In Red Star’s home matches, both teams scored in only 20% of cases, and the team kept a clean sheet in 60% of games. Away from home, Nancy has seen both teams score in 40% of matches and failed to score in 40%, strengthening the case for at least one team to draw a blank. Red Star concede an average of 0.6 goals at home, while Nancy score an average of 1.4 away goals, so ruling out a goal from the visitors would not be justified. Recent form also raises the risk of BTTS - No: in their last five matches, both teams had BTTS in 60% of games and scored an average of 1.6 and 1.8 goals respectively. Despite this attacking improvement, the results in the relevant home and away conditions provide the stronger signal, so BTTS - No has a slight edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line was not breached in any of Red Star’s last 5 home matches or in 4 of Nancy’s 5 away games. Red Star average 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Nancy average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded away, supporting a projection of around 2.4 goals in the match. Recent form calls for caution with the lower line, however: in the last 5 matches, 60% of each team’s games finished with at least 3 goals. In addition, average xG over this period stood at 1.67 for Red Star and 1.88 for Nancy, making Under 3.5 goals a stronger pick than Under 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: both teams went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Red Star averaged just 0.2 goals in first halves, compared with Nancy’s 0.4. The data after the break favor the home side more strongly: they won the second half in 4 of 5 home matches and conceded an average of just 0.2 goals, whereas Nancy conceded 0.6 on the road. Red Star also create more chances, averaging 1.74 xG compared with Nancy’s 1.41, although the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain a genuine threat. The combination of frequent half-time draws and the home side’s stronger second-half record makes a draw at half-time followed by a Red Star win the strongest single HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Red Star | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nancy is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Red Star · 2.4 pts / match - Nancy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Red Star · 1.2 goals / match - Nancy
Nancy is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Red Star · 0.8 goals / match - Nancy
Red Star scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Nancy keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
Nancy scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Red Star keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Red Star
Over / Under - Nancy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Red Star is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Red Star · 1.2 pts / match - Nancy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Red Star - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nancy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Red Star
Nancy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Red Star | Liga | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Red Star 2 - 0 - 0 Nancy. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Red Star vs Nancy?
The Ligue 2 match finished Red Star 1:4 Nancy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Red Star and Nancy?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Red Star won 2, Nancy won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Red Star vs Nancy?
Red Star score 1.30 goals per game on average and Nancy 1.20. The Ligue 2 average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Red Star's matches and 30% of Nancy's.
What form are Red Star and Nancy in?
Over the last 5 games Red Star have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nancy 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Red Star vs Nancy?
The statistical background for Red Star vs Nancy — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.