Renate vs Giana Erminio: match statistics
Renate vs Giana Erminio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Renate played Giana Erminio in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Città di Meda. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Renate: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Giana Erminio: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Renate scores 0.75 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Giana Erminio scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Renate 63%, Giana Erminio 63%. Over 2.5: Renate 50%, Giana Erminio 38%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Giana Erminio has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.47. Renate: 12.0 shots per match, Giana Erminio: 12.9.
Match halves
Renate: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Giana Erminio: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Renate: 76-90+ (2 goals). Giana Erminio: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams remain winless after 8 matches. In their last 5 games, Renate have recorded 3 draws, while Giana Erminio have drawn 4 times, strongly pointing towards the points being shared. Their attacking returns are also almost identical: the hosts average 0.25 goals at home, and the visitors average 0.25 away; both teams have failed to score in 75% of these matches. Renate take more shots at home, 11.75 compared with their opponents’ 9.75 away, and have an xG of 1.40 to Giana’s 1.34, but this has not translated into goals. The visitors’ defence concedes an average of 0.75 goals away from home, compared with 1.00 for the hosts at home, although it allows opponents to create higher-quality chances: its average xG against is 1.92, compared with 1.48 against Renate. Given both sides’ poor finishing and Giana’s frequent away draws, which account for 50% of their matches, a draw is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Giana Erminio’s away scoring record: they average just 0.25 goals and fail to score in 75% of such matches. Renate do concede an average of 1.75 goals at home, and BTTS has landed in 100% of their home matches, so the visitors’ chances cannot be ruled out. However, Giana manage just 3 shots on target per away match and have a 3% shot conversion rate, while Renate average 5 shots on target at home. Both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, but Giana’s clear struggles to score away from home tip the balance towards the scenario in which at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Under 3.5 goals looks the strongest option: this line has held in 75% of Renate’s home matches and in all of Giana Erminio’s away matches. Across their last 5 matches, the teams averaged 2.0 and 1.8 goals respectively, with each scoring just 0.8 goals per game. The visitors’ attacking potential warrants particular caution: they average 0.25 goals away from home and have failed to score in 75% of those matches. Renate create more chances, recording 16 shots at home compared with Giana’s 9.75 shots away, so the forecast favours the hosts but projects around 2.15 goals in total. The 2.5 line is less reliable, as at least 3 goals were scored in 75% of Renate’s home matches, while none of Giana’s away matches went over this threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Renate were level at the break in 3 of the 4 matches considered and never led, while Giana Erminio failed to score in this period. Although the visitors were trailing at half-time in 3 of 4 matches, Renate’s failure to take the lead weakens the case for a 1/1 pick. Recent form supports a draw at full-time: the hosts drew 3 of their last 5 matches and the visitors 4 of their last 5, with neither side recording a win. Renate create more chances, averaging 1.86 xG compared with the visitors’ 1.34, but Giana Erminio have not conceded after the break in any of the 4 matches considered. Therefore, the scenario of a draw at half-time and at full-time is better supported by the data than a late home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Renate | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Giana Erminio is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Renate · 0.8 pts / match - Giana Erminio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Giana Erminio is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Renate · 1.25 goals / match - Giana Erminio
Renate scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Giana Erminio scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Renate
Over / Under - Giana Erminio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Renate is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Renate · 0.5 pts / match - Giana Erminio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Renate - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Giana Erminio - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Renate
Giana Erminio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Renate | Liga | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.25 | 2.32 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 32% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Renate 1 - 1 - 0 Giana Erminio. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Renate vs Giana Erminio?
The Serie C Group A match finished Renate 2:2 Giana Erminio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Renate and Giana Erminio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Renate won 1, Giana Erminio won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Renate vs Giana Erminio?
Renate score 0.75 goals per game on average and Giana Erminio 0.75. The Serie C Group A average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Renate's matches and 63% of Giana Erminio's.
What form are Renate and Giana Erminio in?
Over the last 5 games Renate have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Giana Erminio 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Renate vs Giana Erminio?
The statistical background for Renate vs Giana Erminio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


