Rēzekne / BJSS vs Leevon / PPK: match statistics

Leevon / PPK are in significantly better form with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches (2.2 points per game), while Rēzekne / BJSS have managed only 1 draw and 4 defeats (0.2 points per game). The hosts have a disastrous goal difference of 6:18 in their last five matches, highlighting serious issues both in attack and defense. The away side boast a 100% away record this season with 1 win, averaging 2 goals scored and just 1 conceded per away match. The possession statistics (56%) and shot accuracy (25%) for Leevon / PPK further confirm their superiority. Rēzekne / BJSS are in 14th place in the table without a single win this season, making them clear underdogs in this fixture.

The league boasts a very high BTTS rate (71%) and a high average goal count (3.57), favoring a scenario with goals from both teams. Leevon/PPK has a 100% BTTS record for the season and an 80% BTTS rate in the last 5 matches. Their attack generates 2.15 xG and averages 1.6 goals recently, making their scoring look very probable. Rēzekne/BJSS averages 1.2 goals with 1.79 xG in their last 5 matches, suggesting a realistic chance to score despite poor seasonal data. Furthermore, Rēzekne/BJSS concedes a high 3.6 goals per game in their last 5 outings (18 conceded), which increases the tempo and number of scoring chances in the match. Leevon/PPK's defense is more solid (1.0 goal conceded in last 5) but allows 1.47 xG, so a single goal from the hosts remains quite likely. Overall, the form data and the league profile support BTTS more than the scenario where one side fails to score.

The match profile suggests a high-scoring affair: the league average is 3.57 goals, and the Over 2.5 rate is as high as 86%. Rēzekne in their last 5 matches concedes an average of 3.6 goals (18 conceded), with a high xG against of 2.41, which significantly boosts the away side's goal potential. Leevon/PPK generates solid chances (last 5: xG for 2.15) and is consistent in front of goal (1.6 goals/match), so they should add to the scoreline regularly. Meanwhile, the hosts, despite weaker seasonal data, in their last 5 matches score 1.2 goals and have an xG for of 1.79, which increases the likelihood of at least 2 total goals. With an expected 3.70 goals, the most confident pick is Over 1.5.

Leevon/PPK is clearly in superior form: they are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (W, D, W, D, W), averaging 2.2 points per game and conceding only 1.0 goals per match, while Rēzekne/BJSS averages a mere 0.2 points per game and concedes as many as 3.6 goals per match. First-half data indicates that the home side very frequently trails at the break (80% in L5), whereas the visitors in their L5 have not been losing at HT in a full 80% of cases (leading 40%, drawing 40%). The visitors' offensive edge is supported by metrics: they average 8 shots and 4 on target per match, along with 2.0 goals per game this season, while also boasting a more solid defense than their opponent. In the second halves, Leevon/PPK appears stable (averaging 3.0 points per second half and a 100% clean sheet rate in second halves according to season data), which favors maintaining a lead. Given such a quality disparity and the hosts' tendency to surrender initiative from the outset, the most logical scenario is for the visitors to be leading at halftime and to win the match.