Rēzekne / BJSS vs Tukums II: match statistics
Rēzekne / BJSS vs Tukums II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rēzekne / BJSS played Tukums II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Rēzekne / BJSS: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Tukums II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rēzekne / BJSS scores 0.57 and concedes 3.29 goals per match. Tukums II scores 1.33 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rēzekne / BJSS 43%, Tukums II 83%. Over 2.5: Rēzekne / BJSS 71%, Tukums II 83%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums II has higher xG: 1.42 vs 0.63. Rēzekne / BJSS: 3.0 shots per match, Tukums II: 9.7.
Match halves
Rēzekne / BJSS: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43. Tukums II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Rēzekne / BJSS: 46-60 (2 goals). Tukums II: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.35 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rēzekne/BJSS have yet to win this season (0-1-6), scoring 4 and conceding 23, which at home translates to an average of 1.00 goals scored and 3.33 conceded per match. Tukums II sit on 1-1-4, 8 scored and 14 conceded; their away averages are 1.5 goals scored and 3.00 conceded, and they earn on average 0.8 points per match in the last 5 fixtures versus the hosts’ 0.2, so they are superior in attack and recent form (1.5 vs 1.0 goals). Visitors also post a higher xG (1.24) than the home side at home (1.02), have better shooting efficiency (19% vs 17%) and have not had an away clean sheet (0% matches without a goal vs 33% for the hosts), indicating better quality of chances and conversion. Both teams are defensively vulnerable: the hosts conceded 17 goals in their last 5 matches, the visitors 11, and the total goals per match average is 4.33 for the hosts and 4.5 for the visitors, suggesting an open, high-scoring game. Considering Tukums II’s advantage in xG, higher away goal average (1.5 vs 1.0) and their consistent scoring on the road, I assign 55% probability to the visitors, 25% to a draw and 20% to Rēzekne/BJSS.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is very strong: at home the team has BTTS at 75%, the away team 100%, versus a league average of 56%. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 60% of the home team’s games and 80% of the away team’s games; the home team scored 4 and conceded 17 in those 5 matches (avg. 0.8 scored and 3.4 conceded), while the away team scored 7 and conceded 11 (1.4 and 2.2). xG and shot metrics confirm both sides: the home team has xG 1.51 against opponents' xG 1.43, whereas the away team has xG 1.24 against opponents' xG 1.99; additionally the home side averages 6.0 shots on target vs 3.5 for the away team, but the away team posts a higher finishing rate 19% vs 12%. Season-long figures highlight defensive issues: the home team have conceded 23 goals this season (2.0 per match), the away team 14 goals (3.0 per match) and both have 0% clean sheets, while over 2.5 stands at 75% and 100%, further supporting goals from both sides. Therefore my top pick is BTTS (Yes) with an estimated confidence of 86% versus 14% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a season over 1.5 rate of 100% (Rēzekne / BJSS 100%, Tukums II 100%), which historically means virtually every match finished with at least 2 goals; therefore I assess over 1.5 at 96%. xG analysis shows: home attack xG 1.51, away attack xG 1.24, while xG against is 1.99 for the home side and 1.43 for the visitors; averaging these pairs yields expected goals of 1.47 for the home team and 1.62 for the away team, totaling 3.09 expected goals. Additionally, the home side concedes on average 2.0 goals this season (23 conceded), and the visitors 3.0 (14 conceded), and the percentage of matches in which both teams scored is 75% (home) and 100% (away), which strongly supports the over 2.5 scenario (I rate it 80%). In the last 5 matches the home team averaged 0.61 xG and conceded 3.03 xG (on average 3.4 goals conceded), while the visitors generated 1.59 xG and conceded 1.65 xG (about 5.6 goals conceded combined per match), which raises the probability of exceeding 3.5 goals to around 68%. In summary, the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is over 1.5 (I choose over 1.5), while over 2.5 also appears to be a value bet given xG=3.09 and high seasonal over 2.5 rates (75%/100%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest half-time signal is the visitors’ advantage: the away team led at the break in 50% of matches, while hosts led only in 25% and were losing at half-time in 75%. Half-time goal averages confirm this, with 0.5 goals for the hosts versus 1.5 for the visitors, suggesting a typical 0:1 half-time score. However, over the full match the hosts have higher xG (1.51 vs 1.24) and register more shots on target (6.0 vs 3.5), and they concede fewer goals across the season (2.0 vs 3.0), which increases the likelihood of the visitors relinquishing their lead after the break. Additionally, the hosts score many late goals (3 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 0 for the visitors), and both teams score in 75% of the hosts’ matches and 100% of the visitors’ matches respectively. For these reasons I select the scenario of the visitors leading at half-time and a draw after 90 minutes (HT/FT 2/X) as the most probable.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rēzekne / BJSS | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 67% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tukums II is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Rēzekne / BJSS · 0.8 pts / match - Tukums II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums II is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
0.57 goals / match - Rēzekne / BJSS · 1.33 goals / match - Tukums II
Tukums II is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
3.29 goals / match - Rēzekne / BJSS · 2.33 goals / match - Tukums II
Rēzekne / BJSS scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Tukums II scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Rēzekne / BJSS keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rēzekne / BJSS
Over / Under - Tukums II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tukums II is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.43 pts / match - Rēzekne / BJSS · 1 pts / match - Tukums II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rēzekne / BJSS - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tukums II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rēzekne / BJSS
Tukums II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rēzekne / BJSS | Liga | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.86 | 3.35 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Tukums IIGoalKristaps Karlis Uzis
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rēzekne / BJSS 1 - 1 - 0 Tukums II. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rēzekne / BJSS vs Tukums II?
The 1. Liga match finished Rēzekne / BJSS 1:4 Tukums II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rēzekne / BJSS and Tukums II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rēzekne / BJSS won 1, Tukums II won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rēzekne / BJSS vs Tukums II?
Rēzekne / BJSS score 0.57 goals per game on average and Tukums II 1.33. The 1. Liga average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rēzekne / BJSS's matches and 83% of Tukums II's.
What form are Rēzekne / BJSS and Tukums II in?
Over the last 5 games Rēzekne / BJSS have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Tukums II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rēzekne / BJSS vs Tukums II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rēzekne / BJSS vs Tukums II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.