RFC Liege vs Lommel United: match statistics
RFC Liege vs Lommel United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RFC Liege play Lommel United in First Division B (Belgium). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
RFC Liege: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Lommel United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
RFC Liege scores 1.32 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Lommel United scores 1.94 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RFC Liege 41%, Lommel United 64%. Over 2.5: RFC Liege 47%, Lommel United 64%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Lommel United has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.32. RFC Liege: 11.3 shots per match, Lommel United: 14.8.
Match halves
RFC Liege: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.44. Lommel United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
RFC Liege: 31-45+ (11 goals). Lommel United: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division B: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back a home win for RFC Liège. The hosts concede an average of 1.13 goals at home, while Lommel concede 1.63 on the road, and Liège have won 63% of home matches versus 44% away wins for Lommel, giving a defensive edge to the hosts. Lommel possess the stronger attacking output this season — 62 goals scored vs 44 for Liège, more shots on target per game (6 vs 4.81) and a slightly higher away xG (1.63 vs 1.57), with identical shot conversion of 13%. In the short term the teams are level (3 wins in the last 5 and an average of 1.8 points per game each), although Lommel have scored 10 goals in their last 5 vs 6 for Liège and conceded 6 instead of 9. Considering the superior home goal difference (+10 vs +4 for visitors) and the lower average goals conceded at their stadium (1.13), I give a slight advantage to the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RFC Liege | Lommel United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lommel United is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - RFC Liege · 2.4 pts / match - Lommel United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lommel United is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - RFC Liege · 1.94 goals / match - Lommel United
RFC Liege is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - RFC Liege · 1.36 goals / match - Lommel United
RFC Liege scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Lommel United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Lommel United scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while RFC Liege keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — RFC Liege
Over / Under — Lommel United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RFC Liege - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lommel United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RFC Liege
Lommel United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division B).
Teams vs league
| RFC Liege | Liga | Lommel United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 2.84 | ▲ 3.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): RFC Liege 2 - 0 - 1 Lommel United. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
The First Division B match finished RFC Liege 1:2 Lommel United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between RFC Liege and Lommel United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches RFC Liege won 2, Lommel United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
RFC Liege score 1.32 goals per game on average and Lommel United 1.94. The First Division B average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 41% of RFC Liege's matches and 64% of Lommel United's.
What form are RFC Liege and Lommel United in?
Over the last 5 games RFC Liege have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Lommel United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.