Ried vs Rapid Wien: match statistics

Rapid Wien come into this match on an excellent run of five consecutive wins, during which they scored 16 goals—an average of 3.2 per game. Ried have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches, scoring 10 goals, while their defence conceded 7. The visitors sit higher in the table, in 3rd place compared with Ried’s 6th, and opened the current season with a 1:0 win and a clean sheet. The hosts also avoided defeat in their opening league fixture, but could only draw 1:1; combined with their clearly weaker recent form compared to their opponents, this favours Rapid. The visitors’ attacking advantage—16 goals to Ried’s 10 in their last five appearances—should enable them to tip the balance in their favour.

The latest form clearly favors goals at both ends: Ried have recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Rapid Vienna have done so in 60%. During this period, the hosts averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas Rapid scored as many as 3.2 goals per match, conceding just 1.0. Their attacking potential is supported by high average xG figures: 1.87 for Ried and 2.06 for Rapid, while Ried allow opponents 1.32 xG per game. Although the league-wide BTTS rate stands at only 33%, the current effectiveness of both attacks and the fact that each team regularly concedes goals provide stronger support for a BTTS - Yes scenario. BTTS - No would mean that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically indicate a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Data from the last five matches points to a clearly attacking profile for both teams: Ried averaged 2.0 goals scored, while Rapid Wien averaged as many as 3.2. Over the same period, the hosts conceded 1.4 goals per match, compared with 1.0 for the visitors, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. The creative potential is also high, with average xG of 1.87 for Ried and 2.06 for Rapid, while the teams allowed 1.32 and 0.77 xG, respectively. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of the last five matches for each team, but for a safer line, Over 1.5 is the particularly strong signal. A projected total of 3.25 goals gives a significant edge to Over 1.5 goals, even after factoring in the lower league average of 2.0 goals from the current part of the season.

The strongest signal points to Rapid leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until full time: the visitors were ahead at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Ried. Rapid have won all five of their most recent games, scoring an average of 3.2 goals, while Ried scored 2.0 and conceded 1.4 per match. Before the break, the visitors averaged 1.6 goals and a +5 goal difference, compared with 0.8 goals and +2 for the hosts. Rapid also look more defensively stable after half-time, conceding an average of 0.4 goals compared with Ried’s 1.0, which strengthens the 2/2 option. Current-season data is based on a very small sample, so some probability remains with a draw at half-time followed by an away win.