Riga vs Liepāja: match statistics
Riga vs Liepāja: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga played Liepāja in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 21 June 2026. Venue: Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Riga: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Liepāja: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga scores 3.11 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Liepāja scores 1.28 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga 67%, Liepāja 61%. Over 2.5: Riga 89%, Liepāja 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.46. Riga: 16.9 shots per match, Liepāja: 12.1.
Match halves
Riga: half-time lead 72%, second-half goals 1.50. Liepāja: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Riga: 31-45+ (14 goals). Liepāja: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 5-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga is the clear favorite based on the metrics: the hosts have 14 wins this season and have won all 5 of their last matches, scoring 14 goals in those five games (2.8 per match), while Liepāja have 7 wins this season and scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches (1.4 per match). Offensively Riga dominate at home: 2.78 goals per match, 5.67 shots on target and xG 2.08 with 16% shot conversion, whereas Liepāja on the road average 0.78 goals, 3.67 shots on target, xG 1.61 and only 6% conversion, plus 44% of away matches without scoring. Defensively the hosts are better as well — Riga concede 1.00 goals on average at home (xG against 0.85) and have a home goal difference of +16, while the visitors concede 1.78 goals away (xG against 1.51) and have an away goal difference of -9. Trends confirm the home advantage: Riga have a 78% home win rate and 0% home blanks, while Liepāja win only 22% of away games, lose 56% and keep a clean sheet in 11% of away matches; in the last 5 games the hosts averaged 3.0 points per match (15 points) and the visitors 1.4 points per match (7 points). Given the clear superiority in quality of chances (xG 2.08 vs 1.61), higher shot accuracy and better conversion on goals, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Riga has a seasonal BTTS rate of 78% versus Liepāja’s 44% and a 60% league average, favoring a Both Teams To Score (BTTS - Yes) scenario. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS at 60%; Riga scored 14 goals (2.8 per match) and conceded 3 (0.6), while Liepāja scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 6 (1.2), indicating both sides recently feature in goal-involved matches. Seasonally Riga averages 1.78 goals with xG 1.32 and a conversion rate of 18%, whereas Liepāja has only 0.78 goals with xG 1.61 and a 6% conversion, suggesting the home side are highly efficient while the visitors create chances and may eventually convert. Additionally, both teams have only 11% clean sheets on the season, and Liepāja concedes 1.78 goals per match on average, increasing the likelihood that both sides will score. Overall assessment: BTTS (YES) is stronger — 70% vs 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of 3.29 goals in the match: 1.94 for Riga and 1.35 for Liepāja — values derived by averaging seasonal and last-5 xG and actual goals (Riga: xG last 5 = 1.85 and 14 goals in 5 matches = 2.8 avg; Liepāja: xG last 5 = 1.59 and 7 goals in 5 matches = 1.4 avg). With an expected goals sum of 3.29, a Poisson distribution yields ≈84% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ≈64% for Over 2.5 and ≈42% for Over 3.5. Riga averages 1.78 goals per season and registers 4.44 shots on target with an 18% conversion rate, while Liepāja has 0.78 goals, 3.67 shots on target and a 6% conversion, indicating higher attacking efficiency for the home side. Additionally, Riga has had 67% of matches Over 2.5 this season and 80% Over 2.5 in the last 5, and the league averages 2.97 goals per match — all supporting the case for overs. Therefore the strongest signal is a bet on Over 1.5 (selection: Over 1.5) due to the highest probability (84%); Over 2.5 remains a reasonable but less certain alternative (64%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Riga shows a strong signal to lead at the break: the hosts were leading at halftime in 6 of 9 matches (67%) and in the last 5 fixtures they led at the break in 5 of 5 (100%), with an average halftime goals 0.89 versus 0.22 for Liepāja. Additionally, Riga is significantly more efficient in finishing chances — a shot conversion rate of 18% versus 6% for the visitors and an average of 4.44 shots on target per match vs 3.67, which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead. Although Liepāja generates higher xG (1.61 vs 1.32), this does not translate into goals and overall the hosts win 56% of matches compared to 22% for the visitors; in the last 5 matches Riga recorded 5 wins (100%). On this basis the scenario Half-Time/Full-Time home lead and home win (1/1) appears the strongest signal (46%), with lower probabilities for a draw after the hosts lead (1/X 18%) or a turnaround from draw to a home win (X/1 9%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga is 114% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Riga · 1.4 pts / match - Liepāja
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 143% better for: goals scored per match.
3.11 goals / match - Riga · 1.28 goals / match - Liepāja
Riga is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Riga · 1.39 goals / match - Liepāja
Riga scores in 100% of matches (18 of 18 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Liepāja scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga
Over / Under - Liepāja
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.28 pts / match - Riga · 1.28 pts / match - Liepāja
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 72% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga
Liepāja
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Riga | Liga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.17 | 2.96 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 89% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Riga 5 - 0 - 1 Liepāja. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga vs Liepāja?
The Virsliga match finished Riga 4:0 Liepāja. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga and Liepāja?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Riga won 5, Liepāja won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs Liepāja?
Riga score 3.11 goals per game on average and Liepāja 1.28. The Virsliga average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Riga's matches and 61% of Liepāja's.
What form are Riga and Liepāja in?
Over the last 5 games Riga have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Liepāja 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs Liepāja?
The statistical background for Riga vs Liepāja — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.