Riga vs Super Nova: match statistics
Riga vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga played Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Riga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Super Nova: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga scores 3.21 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Super Nova scores 1.21 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga 71%, Super Nova 64%. Over 2.5: Riga 93%, Super Nova 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.11. Riga: 16.6 shots per match, Super Nova: 8.4.
Match halves
Riga: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.71. Super Nova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Riga: 76-90+ (11 goals). Super Nova: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 5-0-0. Average goals 4.60, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga are clear favorites: they have 10 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss this season, sitting 2nd, while Super Nova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses (4th). The home attack is markedly stronger — Riga score 3.00 goals per home match and have 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 per match) with an average xG of 2.31, while visitors average 1.13 goals away and have 7 in the last 5 (1.4 per match) with xG 1.14. Riga generate significantly more chances: 19.83 shots and 6.33 on target per match and 65% possession, versus 8.13 shots, 3.5 on target and 44% possession for the away side, translating into higher-quality opportunities. Super Nova are relatively tight away (0.88 goals conceded on average and 38% clean sheets), but Riga at home concede only 0.75 xG against and have 0% home matches without scoring, so the hosts have the edge in creating and converting chances. Given the xG gap (2.31 vs 1.14), the shot differential (19.83 vs 8.13) and recent form over the last 5 matches (Riga 2.6 points per match vs Super Nova 1.4), the prediction is a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Riga has a season-long 100% BTTS and 0% clean sheets, and 80% BTTS in the last 5 matches, strongly indicating the hosts regularly concede. Super Nova has a season-long 38% BTTS and 38% clean sheets, but form over the last 5 matches shows BTTS up to 60% with an average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Riga averages 2.6 goals scored in the last 5 matches with xG 2.15 and concedes 1.0, while Super Nova’s recent xG is 1.06 with xG against 1.73, showing the hosts create significantly more chances. Season totals of 45 scored and 17 conceded for Riga versus 17 scored and 18 conceded for Super Nova, plus league BTTS 60% and an average 3.11 goals per match, reinforce the both-teams-to-score scenario, hence the BTTS "Yes" selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model forecasts approximately 2.91 goals in the match: 1.94 for Riga and 0.97 for Super Nova; the estimate is mainly based on the last 5 matches, where Riga has an xG of 2.15, and Super Nova’s opponents generated xG against them of 1.73. Riga have 100% of season matches with over 1.5 goals, and Super Nova 63%, which gives a very strong signal for Over 1.5 (hence the assigned 92% probability). Additionally, Riga scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 per game) and concede on average 1.0, while Super Nova have 7 goals and 5 conceded in the last 5 (1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded), confirming the home side’s offensive advantage. The season share of Riga’s matches over 2.5 is 67%, and the league average is 3.11 goals per game, so Over 2.5 is also likely but with lower confidence (74%). Therefore the best and strongest data-driven tip is to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the X/2 scenario (draw at half-time, away win) as the most likely. Super Nova have won 63% of matches this season and score an average of 1.13 goals on the road while conceding only 0.88, whereas Riga have just a 17% home win rate and concede on average 1.83 goals per home match. At half-time the visitors are often level (63% of Super Nova’s matches are drawn at the break), and Riga were losing at half-time in 50% of their home games, which supports a scenario with no clear leader after 45 minutes and a decisive turnaround after the break. Additionally, Riga allow an xG of 1.83 versus the visitors’ xG-for of 1.14, and Super Nova concede only 0.13 goals on average by half-time, suggesting the visitors have the potential to settle the match after the interval. However, Riga’s form in the last five matches (80% wins) should be factored in, which is why I have also assigned moderate probabilities to the 1/2 and 1/1 scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Riga · 1.4 pts / match - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 165% better for: goals scored per match.
3.21 goals / match - Riga · 1.21 goals / match - Super Nova
Riga is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Riga · 1.29 goals / match - Super Nova
Riga scores in 100% of matches (14 of 14 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Super Nova scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga
Over / Under - Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.07 pts / match - Riga · 1.29 pts / match - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Riga | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.43 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 93% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 77% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Riga 5 - 0 - 0 Super Nova. Average goals 4.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Riga 3:0 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga and Super Nova?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Riga won 5, Super Nova won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs Super Nova?
Riga score 3.21 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.21. The Virsliga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Riga's matches and 64% of Super Nova's.
What form are Riga and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Riga have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Super Nova 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs Super Nova?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Riga vs Super Nova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.