Rīgas FS II vs Leevon / PPK: match statistics
Rīgas FS II vs Leevon / PPK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rīgas FS II played Leevon / PPK in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Rīgas FS II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Leevon / PPK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rīgas FS II scores 0.71 and concedes 2.71 goals per match. Leevon / PPK scores 2.00 and concedes 0.86. League average: 3.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rīgas FS II 43%, Leevon / PPK 57%. Over 2.5: Rīgas FS II 71%, Leevon / PPK 57%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Leevon / PPK has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.21. Rīgas FS II: 8.3 shots per match, Leevon / PPK: 12.6.
Match halves
Rīgas FS II: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.14. Leevon / PPK: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Rīgas FS II: 0-15 (2 goals). Leevon / PPK: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.42 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leevon / PPK holds a clear statistical advantage: away they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match, while Rīgas FS II at home have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses and concede 3.25 goals per match on average. The form gap is significant — the visitors scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches and average 2.2 points per match in that period, whereas the hosts have only 1 goal and 0.2 points per match. Leevon/PPK also creates more chances: on average 15 shots with 6 on target per away match versus 8.75 shots and 4.25 on target for the hosts, and the visitors’ xG is 1.88 compared to 1.32 for the hosts, indicating higher attacking quality. Defensively the gap is large — the hosts have an average xG against of 2.36 and 0% clean sheets at home, while the visitors have xG against 1.13 and 50% clean sheets on the road. Based on these numbers and trends (differences in goals, xG, shots and points over the last 5 matches) I expect a controlled away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Rīgas FS II gives mixed signals: season BTTS rate is 67% and they average 2.33 goals per match, but in the last 5 fixtures BTTS dropped to 20% — they scored only 0.2 goals and conceded 2.2 goals on average (total 1 scored and 11 conceded), form LLLDL. Leevon / PPK are in good form: season BTTS 50%, and in the last 5 matches BTTS 60%, they average 2.0 goals (10 in 5) and concede 1.0 (5 in 5), form DDWWW. Offensive data supports the visitors’ edge: xG_for 1.88 versus 1.42 for the home side, on average 15 shots and 6 on target for the visitors compared to 9.33 and 4.33 for the hosts, indicating Leevon / PPK create more chances. The visitors’ defense looks solid (50% clean sheets on the season and an average of 0.75 goals conceded), while the hosts have conceded 19 goals this season and have defensive issues in the last 5 (2.2 conceded per match), so it’s more likely only the visitors will score. Considering the very low finishing form of the hosts in the last 5 (0.2 goals) and 50% clean sheets for the visitors, I assess BTTS at 40% for 'Yes' and 60% for 'No', therefore the best pick is 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.23 goals for Rīgas FS II and 1.64 for Leevon / PPK (total 2.87), increasing the likelihood of at least 2 goals. Long-term xG is 1.42 for the home side and 1.88 for the visitors, while xG against opponents is 1.21 (home) and 1.13 (away), so the attacking potential of one and defensive vulnerability of the other justify these values. Seasonally the home team scores 2.33 goals on average, the visitors 1.75, and the league records 3.35 goals per game; the percentage of matches over 1.5 is 67% for homes and 75% for away sides. In the short term the visitors have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 avg), while the hosts have conceded 11 goals (2.2 avg), which further boosts the probability of a higher goal count. As a result I assess Over 1.5 at ~78%, Over 2.5 at ~55% and Over 3.5 at ~32%, therefore the strongest signal from the data is a play on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Leevon/PPK are in significantly better form: in the last 5 matches they have the sequence 'ddwww' with a 60% win rate and an average of 2.0 goals scored, while Rīgas FS II show 'llldl' with a 0% win rate and an average of 0.2 goals in the last 5. At half-time the statistics also favor the visitors — over the last 5 fixtures the average goals by half-time are 1.6 for Leevon/PPK versus 0.4 for the hosts, and the total goals to the 45th minute are 8:2 in favor of the visitors. The away side creates more chances: xG 1.88 versus 1.42 for the hosts, on average 15 shots and 6 on target compared to 9.33 shots and 4.33 on target for the hosts, which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead at the break. The hosts are more efficient with fewer attempts (conversion rate 25% vs 12%) and often score late (4 goals in minutes 76–90 vs 1 for the visitors), so there is a risk of a late turnaround, but the visitors' edge in half-time goals and current form suggest the most likely outcome is a lead at the break and a win for Leevon/PPK (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS II | Leevon / PPK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leevon / PPK is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Rīgas FS II · 2.2 pts / match - Leevon / PPK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leevon / PPK is 182% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Rīgas FS II · 2 goals / match - Leevon / PPK
Leevon / PPK is 215% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.71 goals / match - Rīgas FS II · 0.86 goals / match - Leevon / PPK
Rīgas FS II scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Leevon / PPK keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Leevon / PPK scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Rīgas FS II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rīgas FS II
Over / Under - Leevon / PPK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS II is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Rīgas FS II · 1.14 pts / match - Leevon / PPK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 2.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leevon / PPK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rīgas FS II
Leevon / PPK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS II | Liga | Leevon / PPK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.43 | 3.42 | ▼ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 23% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 85% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leevon / PPKGoalGabriels Kirkils
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rīgas FS II 1 - 0 - 1 Leevon / PPK. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?
The 1. Liga match finished Rīgas FS II 1:2 Leevon / PPK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS II and Leevon / PPK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS II won 1, Leevon / PPK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?
Rīgas FS II score 0.71 goals per game on average and Leevon / PPK 2.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rīgas FS II's matches and 57% of Leevon / PPK's.
What form are Rīgas FS II and Leevon / PPK in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS II have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Leevon / PPK 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.