Rīgas FS vs Auda: match statistics
Rīgas FS vs Auda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rīgas FS played Auda in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 4 July 2026. Venue: RTU stadions. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rīgas FS: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Auda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rīgas FS scores 2.52 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Auda scores 1.71 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rīgas FS 43%, Auda 57%. Over 2.5: Rīgas FS 62%, Auda 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.65. Rīgas FS: 16.6 shots per match, Auda: 13.5.
Match halves
Rīgas FS: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.38. Auda: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Rīgas FS: 16-30 (11 goals). Auda: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 5-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 17%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rīgas FS has a clear home advantage: they average 3.2 goals per match at home, have an average xG of 2.01 and register 6.3 shots on target, and across the season have scored 53 goals while conceding 15. Auda away scores on average 1.45 goals per match, has xG 1.65 and only 4.64 shots on target, with a shot conversion rate of 10% versus the hosts’ 19%. Rīgas are also in better form: they scored 15 goals in the last 5 matches and won 4 of them, averaging 2.4 points per match in that period, while Auda scored 4 goals and average 1.0 point per match in their last 5. Defensively the hosts concede 0.7 goals on average at home and have 50% clean sheets, while the visitors concede 1.0 goals on average away and have 45% clean sheets; the difference in xG against (0.89 vs 1.02) also favors Rīgas. Considering the higher efficiency (19% vs 10%), better xG (2.01 vs 1.65) and the advantage in average home goals (3.2 vs 1.45), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Rīgas FS and Auda present mixed signals for BTTS. Rīgas FS has a seasonal BTTS of 60% and scores on average 2.0 goals per match; Auda has BTTS 55% and averages 1.45 goals per match, versus a league BTTS average of 56%. Both teams generate similar offensive xG (1.66 vs 1.65) and comparable shot and shots on target volumes (13.0 vs 13.91 shots; 4.9 vs 4.64 shots on target), indicating realistic goal-scoring potential on both sides. Rīgas FS is in strong attacking form: 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 avg) and conceded 4 (0.8 avg), while Auda has only 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0 avg), which reduces confidence in the away side scoring. Additionally, Auda records 45% clean sheets this season and concedes a lower average of 1.0 goals per match (vs 1.4 for the home side), which argues against BTTS. Overall, considering season-long 60%/55% BTTS, similar xG 1.66/1.65 and the home form versus the high clean-sheet rate of the visitors, I recommend BTTS - Yes with an estimated confidence 60% vs 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Rīgas FS averages 2.0 goals scored at home per match (53 goals this season) with xG 1.66, while Auda score 1.45 goals away (36 goals this season) with xG 1.65 — offensive metrics are similar. In the last 5 matches Rīgas FS averaged 3.0 goals (15 in five) with average xG 1.81, whereas Auda averaged 0.8 goals (4) with xG 1.79; this highlights strong attacking form from the home side. Historically Rīgas FS have 100% of matches over 1.5, Auda 73% (average 86.5%), and for the Over 2.5 line we have 70% for the hosts and 45% for the visitors (average 57.5%); accounting for current form and conversion I assess Over 1.5 at about 90% and Over 2.5 around 65%. Based on xG and defensive stats I project expected goals of 1.60 for the home team and 1.35 for the away team, total 2.95, which is close to the league average 2.98 and strengthens the case for Over 2.5 above 50%. Recommendation: the strongest signal is Over 1.5 due to Rīgas FS’s 100% record over 1.5 and the hosts’ impressive scoring form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect Rīgas FS to lead at the break, as the hosts led at half-time in 50% of matches this season and in 60% of their last five games, while Auda led at half-time in only 27% of matches this season and 0% of their last five. For full-time I back a home win (1/1): Rīgas FS won 80% of their last five matches, have a season goals average of 2.0 and xG of 1.66 versus Auda’s xG of 1.65, and the hosts’ shot conversion rate is 15% versus 10% for the visitors — this supports maintaining the lead. Auda do present grounds for a turnaround — their season points-per-game is 2.09 and their away win rate is 64%, plus 55% of their matches are level at half-time, so half-time draws or comebacks by the visitors are not ruled out. Additionally, the hosts are active after the break — they scored 7 goals in minutes 46–60 versus Auda’s 2 and average 1.6 second-half goals, which increases the likelihood that the home side will hold on to a lead at half-time and deliver the win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Rīgas FS · 1 pts / match - Auda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
2.52 goals / match - Rīgas FS · 1.71 goals / match - Auda
Rīgas FS is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Rīgas FS · 1.19 goals / match - Auda
Rīgas FS scores in 95% of matches (20 of 21 matches), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Auda scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
Over / Under - Auda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Rīgas FS · 1.48 pts / match - Auda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Auda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rīgas FS
Auda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS | Liga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.24 | 2.99 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Rīgas FS 5 - 0 - 1 Auda. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 17% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS vs Auda?
The Virsliga match finished Rīgas FS 1:1 Auda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS and Auda?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS won 5, Auda won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS vs Auda?
Rīgas FS score 2.52 goals per game on average and Auda 1.71. The Virsliga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rīgas FS's matches and 57% of Auda's.
What form are Rīgas FS and Auda in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Auda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS vs Auda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rīgas FS vs Auda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


