Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rīgas FS played FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadions Arkādija grass. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Rīgas FS: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. FS Jelgava: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rīgas FS scores 2.37 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. FS Jelgava scores 1.03 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rīgas FS 47%, FS Jelgava 42%. Over 2.5: Rīgas FS 57%, FS Jelgava 39%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.34. Rīgas FS: 16.3 shots per match, FS Jelgava: 11.2.
Match halves
Rīgas FS: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.30. FS Jelgava: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Rīgas FS: 76-90+ (16 goals). FS Jelgava: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 5-1-1. Average goals 2.43, BTTS 29%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
League leaders Rīgas FS have won 23 of their 30 league matches, while seventh-placed FS Jelgava have recorded 8 wins in 31 games. At home, the hosts score an average of 3 goals and concede 0.86 per match, while Jelgava score 1.27 goals and concede 1.6 away from home. Rīgas FS’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances they create: their home xG is 1.93, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.45, while their opponents average 1.81 xG. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 43% of home matches, whereas Jelgava fail to score in 40% of their away games. Both teams have recorded two wins in their last five matches, so recent form does not favor either side decisively. However, overall season performance and the home record point to Rīgas FS.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is that the home side have failed to score in 56% of their matches, with a season average of just 0.81 goals. The visitors have scored more often, averaging 1.27 goals, but they have also failed to find the net in 40% of their games. So far, both teams have scored in 31% of the home side’s matches and 53% of the visitors’ matches, which does not provide a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. The last five matches look more promising for both attacks—averaging 1.6 and 1.4 goals, with BTTS in 60% and 40% of those games, respectively—so the preference for BTTS - No is only slight. BTTS - No means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals, a result seen in 81% of Rīgas FS matches and 60% of FS Jelgava matches. The hosts average 0.81 goals scored, while the visitors average 1.27, although both teams concede 1.56 and 1.60 goals per match, respectively. Over their last five matches, each team conceded an average of 1.0 goal, while their average total goals were 2.6 and 2.4. The projected total of 2.52 goals allows for a two- or three-goal outcome, giving Under 3.5 goals a clearer edge than the more evenly balanced 2.5-goal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as both teams went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Jelgava did not lead at the break on any occasion during that period. Across the season, the visitors have scored more goals than the hosts, averaging 1.27 compared with 0.81 per match. However, in their last 5 outings, Rīgas FS have raised their average to 1.6 goals, compared with Jelgava’s 1.4. This improvement narrows the visitors’ advantage, while Jelgava have also drawn as many as 40% of their matches this season. After the break, it is difficult to identify a clear favourite to come out on top: in their last 5 matches, both teams averaged 1.0 second-half goals. Therefore, a draw at half-time and full-time is the single most likely scenario, although Jelgava’s superior scoring record over the season leaves a real possibility of a late win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Rīgas FS · 1.4 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 130% better for: goals scored per match.
2.37 goals / match - Rīgas FS · 1.03 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS is 116% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Rīgas FS · 1.58 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS scores in 93% of matches (28 of 30 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
FS Jelgava scores in 52% of matches (16 of 31 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 50% (15 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Rīgas FS · 1.16 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 54% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Rīgas FS 5 - 1 - 1 FS Jelgava. Average goals 2.43, both teams scored in 29% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished Rīgas FS 4:2 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS and FS Jelgava?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS won 5, FS Jelgava won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
Rīgas FS score 2.37 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.03. The Virsliga average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Rīgas FS's matches and 42% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are Rīgas FS and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and FS Jelgava 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
The statistical background for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.