Rīgas FS vs Tukums: match statistics
Rīgas FS vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rīgas FS played Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 25 May 2026. Venue: RTU stadions. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Rīgas FS: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Tukums: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rīgas FS scores 2.36 and concedes 0.64 goals per match. Tukums scores 2.00 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rīgas FS 29%, Tukums 93%. Over 2.5: Rīgas FS 50%, Tukums 71%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 2.09 vs 1.39. Rīgas FS: 17.7 shots per match, Tukums: 11.1.
Match halves
Rīgas FS: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.29. Tukums: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Rīgas FS: 46-60 (7 goals). Tukums: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 5-0-0. Average goals 5.20, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rīgas FS approaches the match as league leaders with a record of 12 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss this season; they have won all 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring 17 goals (3.4 per game). At home the hosts average 2.86 goals, 17.14 shots and 6.29 on target, with an xG of 2.00 and only 0.71 goals conceded, indicating both high-quality chance creation and a solid defense. Tukums have no away wins yet (0% wins), recording 67% draws and 33% losses, concede 2.00 goals on average and have a lower xG (1.39) than xG against (1.64), pointing to greater defensive issues. The visitors have nonetheless scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches overall (3.2 average), but away they produce only 11.33 shots and 4.33 on target with 46% possession versus 61% and 6.29 on target for the hosts, so the advantage should remain with the home side. Considering the higher xG (2.00 vs 1.39), better efficiency and 57% clean sheets at home versus 0% for the visitors, the highest probability favors a Rīgas FS victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis favors the 'Both Teams To Score' scenario. Seasonal BTTS rates are 88% for Rīgas FS and 100% for Tukums, versus a league average of 60%. Rīgas FS have scored 33 and conceded 9 this season (avg 2.25 GF, 1.5 GA), while Tukums have 28 GF and 24 GA (1.67 GF, 2.0 GA), indicating both sides regularly find the net. Both teams' xG are 1.39 each, xG against are 1.53 vs 1.64, and shots on target are 5.13 vs 4.33 with conversion rates of 20% vs 15%, reflecting genuine offensive potential from both teams. Contrary signals: Rīgas have only 20% BTTS in their last 5 matches and concede 0.6 GA on average in that period, but Tukums have 80% BTTS in their last 5 and 0% clean sheets this season, which strongly supports a Goal/Goal outcome. Considering dominant seasonal profiles (88% and 100% BTTS, 0% CS for Tukums) alongside xG and shot stats, I tip BTTS - Yes with an 85% probability versus 15% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Rīgas FS scores on average 2.25 goals per match this season, while Tukums averages 1.67; in the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 3.4 goals and the visitors 3.2, indicating clear offensive form from both sides. xG analysis over the last 5 matches: Rīgas FS attacking xG = 2.38 and Tukums defensive xG = 1.43 yield a projected home xG ≈1.91; likewise Tukums attacking xG = 1.77 and Rīgas FS defensive xG = 0.99 give an away xG ≈1.38, totaling ≈3.29 expected goals. Season metrics confirm a high-scoring profile: over 1.5 has occurred in 100% of matches for both teams, over 2.5 in 75% of Rīgas FS games and 67% of Tukums games, while BTTS stands at 88% (hosts) and 100% (away). Considering the season rates (75%/67% for over 2.5) and the last 5 matches (over 2.5 in 80% for both), I estimate over 2.5 at about 76%, but the strongest and most reliable signal is over 1.5 (seasonally 100%/100%). Over 3.5 is less certain: seasonally 50% for the hosts and 33% for the visitors (average ≈42%); accounting for form I assign over 3.5 roughly 45%, therefore I primarily recommend over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rīgas FS has a clear advantage in form and first halves: they won 100% of their last 5 matches and held a lead at the break in 80% of them; over the season they led at half-time in 38% of matches, averaging 1.0 goals by the break (last 5: 1.8). Tukums led at the break in only 17% of the season’s matches and shows 0% wins and 67% draws in the available statistics, suggesting the visitors are prone to share points rather than secure wins. Rīgas average 2.25 goals per match versus Tukums’s 1.67, with identical average xG of 1.39 for both teams, but Rīgas demonstrate higher finishing efficiency (20% vs 15%) and a better average of shots on target (5.13 vs 4.33), which increases the likelihood of maintaining and extending a lead. Consequently the most probable scenario is a Rīgas lead at half-time and a Rīgas full-time victory (1/1), assigned the highest probability of 34%, whereas half-time draw/full-time draw (X/X) at 10% or an away win (2/2) at 5% are assessed as considerably less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Rīgas FS · 1.6 pts / match - Tukums
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
2.36 goals / match - Rīgas FS · 2 goals / match - Tukums
Rīgas FS is 167% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.64 goals / match - Rīgas FS · 1.71 goals / match - Tukums
Rīgas FS scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
Tukums scores in 100% of matches (14 of 14 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 64% (9 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
Over / Under - Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Rīgas FS · 1.14 pts / match - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rīgas FS
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 60% | ▲ 93% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 64% | 21% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Rīgas FS 5 - 0 - 0 Tukums. Average goals 5.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished Rīgas FS 3:1 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS and Tukums?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS won 5, Tukums won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
Rīgas FS score 2.36 goals per game on average and Tukums 2.00. The Virsliga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Rīgas FS's matches and 93% of Tukums's.
What form are Rīgas FS and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Tukums 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
The statistical background for Rīgas FS vs Tukums — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.