Rio Ave FC vs Estrela Amadora: match statistics
Rio Ave FC vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rio Ave FC played Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 14 September 2026. Venue: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Rio Ave FC: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Estrela Amadora: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rio Ave FC scores 0.40 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Estrela Amadora scores 2.20 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rio Ave FC 0%, Estrela Amadora 100%. Over 2.5: Rio Ave FC 40%, Estrela Amadora 100%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Estrela Amadora has higher xG: 1.26 vs 0.76. Rio Ave FC: 6.6 shots per match, Estrela Amadora: 11.2.
Match halves
Rio Ave FC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20. Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.80.
Goals by minute
Rio Ave FC: 0-15 (1 goals). Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estrela Amadora remain unbeaten after 5 rounds, recording 1 win and 4 draws, while Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 5 matches. The hosts have scored just 2 goals during this period and are yet to score at home: they average only 0.5 shots on target per match and have an xG of 0.87. The visitors are considerably more dangerous away from home, averaging 2.5 goals from 5.5 shots on target and an xG of 1.47, while also remaining unbeaten in both of their away matches. Rio Ave’s defence concedes an average of 3 goals per home game, with opponents posting an xG of 1.66, which significantly increases the chances of an effective Estrela attack. A draw remains a realistic possibility given Estrela’s 4 draws in their last 5 matches, but the visitors’ superiority in chance creation and the hosts’ scoring problems point towards result 2.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Estrela Amadora has clear grounds to score: over their last 5 matches, they averaged 2.2 goals, while Rio Ave conceded 2.2 goals per game during the same period. However, the key weakness for the BTTS scenario is the hosts’ attack, as they scored just 0.4 goals per match in their five most recent games and recorded BTTS in 0% of those fixtures. Their current xG stands at only 0.76, while Estrela allows opponents an average xG of 1.55, creating a chance for a Rio Ave goal but not a strong signal. Neither side has kept a clean sheet this season, and their season BTTS rate stands at 100% for both teams; however, Rio Ave’s recent attacking struggles significantly reduce the reliability of this trend. The more likely outcome is therefore that Estrela scores, but at least one team — primarily the hosts — fails to find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 has a clear edge, as both teams have gone above this line in 100% of their matches so far this season, and neither has kept a clean sheet. Rio Ave have conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last five matches, with an xG conceded of 1.74, which favors Estrela’s clinical finishing. The visitors have scored 2.2 goals per game during this period, while their average xG stood at 1.19, and the hosts have allowed opponents an average of 1.69 xG this season. The weaker element of the prediction is Rio Ave’s attack, having scored just 2 goals in their last five outings, which is why the Over 2.5 line remains finely balanced. The safest signal is therefore Over 1.5, supported by the high number of goals conceded by both sides and a projected total of 2.60 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Estrela Amadora are showing clearly superior current attacking efficiency: they have averaged 2.2 goals over their last five matches, compared with just 0.4 for Rio Ave. The hosts were trailing at half-time in three of their last five games, with a first-half record of one goal scored and as many as six conceded. The visitors have lost none of their last five matches and average 1.8 goals after the break, compared with Rio Ave’s 0.2 in the same period. Estrela are also creating more quality chances, as reflected by an xG of 1.47 versus 1.15 and an average of 5.5 shots on target compared with the hosts’ 3.5. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT outcome of 2/2, with the visitors taking the lead at the break and maintaining it until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rio Ave FC | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estrela Amadora is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Rio Ave FC · 1.8 pts / match - Estrela Amadora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 450% better for: goals scored per match.
0.4 goals / match - Rio Ave FC · 2.2 goals / match - Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Rio Ave FC · 1.8 goals / match - Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave FC scores in 20% of matches (1 of 5 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Estrela Amadora scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Rio Ave FC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rio Ave FC
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rio Ave FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rio Ave FC
Estrela Amadora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Rio Ave FC | Liga | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 2.74 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 48% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rio Ave FC 2 - 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rio Ave FC vs Estrela Amadora?
The Liga NOS match finished Rio Ave FC 3:3 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rio Ave FC and Estrela Amadora?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rio Ave FC won 2, Estrela Amadora won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rio Ave FC vs Estrela Amadora?
Rio Ave FC score 0.40 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 2.20. The Liga NOS average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Rio Ave FC's matches and 100% of Estrela Amadora's.
What form are Rio Ave FC and Estrela Amadora in?
Over the last 5 games Rio Ave FC have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rio Ave FC vs Estrela Amadora?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rio Ave FC vs Estrela Amadora: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.