RKC Waalwijk vs MVV: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
RKC Waalwijk vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RKC Waalwijk play MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 18 September 2026. Venue: Mandemakers Stadion.
Current form
RKC Waalwijk: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. MVV: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
RKC Waalwijk scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. MVV scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RKC Waalwijk 83%, MVV 67%. Over 2.5: RKC Waalwijk 50%, MVV 67%. League level: BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
RKC Waalwijk has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.27. RKC Waalwijk: 16.2 shots per match, MVV: 10.0.
Match halves
RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.50. MVV: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (6 goals). MVV: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.83 goals per match, BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RKC Waalwijk | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MVV is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 2 pts / match - MVV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RKC Waalwijk is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.5 goals / match - MVV
RKC Waalwijk is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.5 goals / match - MVV
RKC Waalwijk scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
MVV scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
Over / Under - MVV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MVV is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.67 pts / match - MVV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RKC Waalwijk
MVV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| RKC Waalwijk | Liga | MVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.33 | 3.83 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 17% | 13% | ▲ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): RKC Waalwijk 2 - 0 - 0 MVV. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do RKC Waalwijk and MVV play?
RKC Waalwijk face MVV on 18 September 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Mandemakers Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between RKC Waalwijk and MVV?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches RKC Waalwijk won 2, MVV won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before RKC Waalwijk vs MVV?
RKC Waalwijk score 2.00 goals per game on average and MVV 1.50. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 83% of RKC Waalwijk's matches and 67% of MVV's.
What form are RKC Waalwijk and MVV in?
Over the last 5 games RKC Waalwijk have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and MVV 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RKC Waalwijk vs MVV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for RKC Waalwijk vs MVV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.