Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Bolton Wanderers display significantly better form and league position (3rd place) compared to Rotherham United (22nd place). The visitors boast an impressive unbeaten streak in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and scored 12 goals in this period, whereas the hosts have won only once in their last 5 fixtures, conceding 4 goals and scoring a mere 2. Bolton dominates in terms of ball possession (61% vs 48%), shot accuracy (4.44 vs 3.78 shots on target per game), and xG (1.65 vs 1.34), which demonstrates a clear quality advantage. Rotherham has a poor home goal difference (-4) and loses every third home game, while Bolton, despite away struggles (44% draw rate), has recently shown a significant form improvement. The statistical superiority and disposition of Bolton Wanderers favor an away win, though their tendency to draw on the road and Rotherham's weaker home form could result in a tightly contested match.
Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rotherham United played Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Rotherham United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rotherham United scores 0.94 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.47 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rotherham United 43%, Bolton Wanderers 61%. Over 2.5: Rotherham United 51%, Bolton Wanderers 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.21. Rotherham United: 10.5 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.7.
Match halves
Rotherham United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Rotherham United: 46-60 (7 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bolton Wanderers display significantly better form and league position (3rd place) compared to Rotherham United (22nd place). The visitors boast an impressive unbeaten streak in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and scored 12 goals in this period, whereas the hosts have won only once in their last 5 fixtures, conceding 4 goals and scoring a mere 2. Bolton dominates in terms of ball possession (61% vs 48%), shot accuracy (4.44 vs 3.78 shots on target per game), and xG (1.65 vs 1.34), which demonstrates a clear quality advantage. Rotherham has a poor home goal difference (-4) and loses every third home game, while Bolton, despite away struggles (44% draw rate), has recently shown a significant form improvement. The statistical superiority and disposition of Bolton Wanderers favor an away win, though their tendency to draw on the road and Rotherham's weaker home form could result in a tightly contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rotherham United | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolton Wanderers is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.8 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.47 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Rotherham United scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rotherham United
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolton Wanderers is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.28 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rotherham United
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Rotherham United | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 51% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rotherham United 0 - 0 - 1 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Rotherham United 2:2 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers?
Rotherham United score 0.94 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.47. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rotherham United's matches and 61% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.