Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıBank Respublika ArenaData current as of 21 October 2026

Sabah vs Qarabağ: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sabah vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sabah play Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Bank Respublika Arena.

Current form

Sabah: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Qarabağ: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sabah scores 2.57 and concedes 0.14 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sabah 14%, Qarabağ 57%. Over 2.5: Sabah 57%, Qarabağ 43%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Qarabağ has higher xG: 2.37 vs 1.89. Sabah: 14.9 shots per match, Qarabağ: 17.7.

Match halves

Sabah: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.43. Qarabağ: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.43.

Goals by minute

Sabah: 16-30 (4 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.33)
(3.55)
(2.55)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.57Goals scored / match2
SabahQarabağ
0.14Goals conceded / match1
SabahQarabağ
61%Average possession68%
SabahQarabağ
6.29Shots on target / match7
SabahQarabağ

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.86Shots per match17.71
SabahQarabağ
6.29Shots on target7
SabahQarabağ
17.3%Shot conversion11.3%
SabahQarabağ
61%Possession68%
SabahQarabağ
1.89xG for2.37
SabahQarabağ
1.1xG against1.1
SabahQarabağ

Shooting quality

Sabah: DominantQarabağ: Dominant
SabahQarabağ
Accuracy (shots on target)42%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sabah is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Sabah · 2.2 pts / match - Qarabağ

Sabah
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
86% W14% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-0
2.71 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 80%
Qarabağ
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W29% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-0
2.43 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.32Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sabah is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

2.57 goals / match - Sabah · 2 goals / match - Qarabağ

Sabah is 614% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.14 goals / match - Sabah · 1 goals / match - Qarabağ

Sabah scoring profile: strong

Sabah scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Qarabağ scoring profile: mixed

Qarabağ scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Sabah keeps a clean sheet in 86% (6 of 7 matches).

18Goals scored (season)14
SabahQarabağ
1Goals conceded (season)7
SabahQarabağ
2.71Average goals in match3
SabahQarabağ
15Goals scored (last 5)10
SabahQarabağ
1Goals conceded (last 5)6
SabahQarabağ

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal100%
SabahQarabağ
71%2 goals57%
SabahQarabağ
57%3 goals43%
SabahQarabağ
29%4 goals0%
SabahQarabağ

How often they concede at least...

14%1 goal57%
SabahQarabağ
0%2 goals29%
SabahQarabağ
0%3 goals14%
SabahQarabağ
0%4 goals0%
SabahQarabağ

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
SabahQarabağ
0%BTTS in both halves14%
SabahQarabağ
57%Scored in both halves43%
SabahQarabağ

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
SabahQarabağ
43%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SabahQarabağ
20%BTTS - last 560%
SabahQarabağ

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
SabahQarabağ
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
SabahQarabağ
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
SabahQarabağ

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
SabahQarabağ
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
SabahQarabağ
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
SabahQarabağ

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sabah is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.14 pts / match - Sabah · 1.43 pts / match - Qarabağ

Sabah - half-time state
57% leading43% draw0% trailing
Qarabağ - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.14Points per match (1st half)1.43
SabahQarabağ
1.14Goals scored (1st half)0.57
SabahQarabağ
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
SabahQarabağ
1.14Average goals (1st half)1
SabahQarabağ
100%Clean sheet before half-time71%
SabahQarabağ
43%No goal before half-time43%
SabahQarabağ

After half-time (2nd half)

2.43Points per match (2nd half)2.14
SabahQarabağ
1.43Goals scored (2nd half)1.43
SabahQarabağ
0.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
SabahQarabağ
1.57Average goals (2nd half)2
SabahQarabağ
86%Clean sheet after half-time57%
SabahQarabağ
14%No goal after half-time14%
SabahQarabağ

Sabah - second-half results

71% W29% D0% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qarabağ - second-half results

57% W43% D0% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding245%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sabah - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.20
Goals scored / match1.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+8+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 8
Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sabah
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sabah

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.64
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.96
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
180%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
12%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

SabahLigaQarabağ
Average goals in match▲ 2.712.57▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 14%46%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 57%46%▼ 43%
Clean sheets▲ 86%32%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%65%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%78%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Sabah 2 - 1 - 0 Qarabağ. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

When do Sabah and Qarabağ play?

Sabah face Qarabağ on 25 October 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Bank Respublika Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sabah and Qarabağ?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sabah won 2, Qarabağ won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sabah vs Qarabağ?

Sabah score 2.57 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Sabah's matches and 57% of Qarabağ's.

What form are Sabah and Qarabağ in?

Over the last 5 games Sabah have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Qarabağ 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sabah vs Qarabağ?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sabah vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.