Samgurali vs Rustavi: match statistics
Samgurali vs Rustavi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Samgurali played Rustavi in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Samgurali: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rustavi: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Samgurali scores 1.41 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Rustavi scores 1.32 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Samgurali 64%, Rustavi 45%. Over 2.5: Samgurali 64%, Rustavi 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Samgurali has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.37. Samgurali: 11.1 shots per match, Rustavi: 10.9.
Match halves
Samgurali: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91. Rustavi: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Samgurali: 76-90+ (10 goals). Rustavi: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rustavi sit top of the table and are in excellent form, having won their last 5 matches while scoring 11 goals and conceding just 1. Samgurali have also been picking up points consistently, with 3 wins in their last five games, but they conceded as many as 10 goals during that period, which clearly contrasts with the visitors’ defensive solidity. At home, the hosts create slightly more quality chances, averaging 1.46 xG compared with Rustavi’s 1.41 xG away from home, while also scoring 1.4 goals per match. However, Rustavi draw 45% of their away matches and win only 27%, making a stalemate a realistic outcome. Despite their mediocre away record, their current run of form and significantly stronger defensive record give the league leaders a slight edge to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by Rustavi’s highly solid defense: in their last 5 matches, the team conceded just 1 goal, averaging 0.2 per game, while BTTS landed in only 20% of cases. Samgurali have averaged 1.8 goals scored across their last five fixtures, but their season-long percentage of matches with both teams scoring stands at just 36%, compared with 55% for Rustavi and 56% across the league. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 64% of their league matches and concede just 0.64 goals on average, significantly limiting Rustavi’s chances of capitalizing on their strong recent return of 2.2 goals per game. Rustavi have produced 1.95 xG across their last five matches, but they will also face a Samgurali defense with a season average of just 1.17 xG conceded and a high clean-sheet rate. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Samgurali average 1.64 goals at home, while Rustavi concede just 1.00 goal per away match and have conceded only 1 goal in their last five games. The hosts boast a very solid home defensive record, averaging 0.64 goals conceded and keeping a clean sheet in 64% of matches, which limits the outlook for the visitors despite their recent average of 2.2 goals scored. The xG data points to moderate attacking potential: 1.32 for Samgurali and 1.41 for Rustavi, while the total projected goal count of 2.05 remains well below four goals. Historically, 91% of Samgurali matches and all of Rustavi’s away matches have finished under 3.5 goals. Under 3.5 is therefore the strongest pick, as both teams very rarely feature in games with four or more goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is highly plausible, as both teams were level at the break in 55% of their matches this season, while Rustavi also recorded a half-time draw in 60% of their last five games. However, current form clearly favors the visitors: they have won all five of their most recent matches, conceded just 0.2 goals per game during that run, and have not trailed at half-time on any occasion. Samgurali have a significantly stronger home record this season, with an 82% win rate and an average of 2.45 points per game, but they were behind at half-time in as many as 60% of their last five league matches, conceding an average of 1.6 goals before the break. Rustavi have kept a clean sheet after half-time in 100% of their last five matches, further supporting the scenario of a cautious first half followed by a late turnaround in favor of the visitors. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw after 45 minutes followed by a Rustavi win: X/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Samgurali | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rustavi is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Samgurali · 2.4 pts / match - Rustavi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Samgurali is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.32 goals / match - Rustavi
Rustavi is 122% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Samgurali · 0.82 goals / match - Rustavi
Samgurali scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
Rustavi scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Samgurali
Over / Under - Rustavi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Samgurali · 1.77 pts / match - Rustavi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Samgurali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Samgurali
Rustavi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Samgurali | Liga | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 68% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Samgurali 1 - 0 - 1 Rustavi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Samgurali vs Rustavi?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Samgurali 1:1 Rustavi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Samgurali and Rustavi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 1, Rustavi won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Samgurali vs Rustavi?
Samgurali score 1.41 goals per game on average and Rustavi 1.32. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Samgurali's matches and 45% of Rustavi's.
What form are Samgurali and Rustavi in?
Over the last 5 games Samgurali have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rustavi 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samgurali vs Rustavi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Samgurali vs Rustavi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.