Samgurali vs Spaeri: match statistics
Samgurali vs Spaeri: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Samgurali played Spaeri in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Samgurali: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Spaeri: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Samgurali scores 1.43 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Spaeri scores 1.27 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Samgurali 63%, Spaeri 67%. Over 2.5: Samgurali 67%, Spaeri 60%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Samgurali has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.45. Samgurali: 11.6 shots per match, Spaeri: 10.9.
Match halves
Samgurali: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87. Spaeri: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Samgurali: 76-90+ (15 goals). Spaeri: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Samgurali have a clear home advantage: they have won 47% of their home matches, while Spaeri have claimed victory in just 13% of their away games. The hosts score an average of 1.53 goals per home match, compared with 0.93 for the visitors away from home; the difference in finishing is reflected in shot conversion rates of 13% and 8%, respectively. Although the quality of chances created is similar — average xG stands at 1.49 for Samgurali and 1.44 for Spaeri — the hosts are more effective at turning them into goals. Samgurali concede an average of 1.33 goals at home, compared with 1.53 conceded by Spaeri away, further strengthening the case for the hosts. In their last five matches, Samgurali have won twice, while Spaeri have not won at all. However, 40% of the visitors’ away matches have ended in a draw, so a share of the points remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 73% of Samgurali’s matches and 60% of Spaeri’s, both above the league average of 56%. The hosts score an average of 1.6 goals, while the visitors concede 1.53, which points to Samgurali finding the net. Spaeri may score just 0.93 goals per match, but its xG stands at 1.44, while Samgurali concede an average of 1.73 goals. The visitors have scored 5 goals in their last five matches and have failed to score in 33% of their games this season, so whether they find the net remains the main source of uncertainty. Even so, the hosts’ poor defensive record and both teams’ season-long BTTS rates give the edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 87% of Samgurali’s matches and 73% of Spaeri’s, providing a strong basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. The hosts average 1.6 goals scored and 1.73 conceded, while the visitors score 0.93 and concede 1.53. In their last 5 matches, Samgurali scored 9 goals, while Spaeri conceded 11, further supporting goals for the hosts. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of matches for both teams, but the lower line offers a clearer edge and remains the best pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Samgurali leading at the break: the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches, while Spaeri were trailing at that stage in 53%. Samgurali averaged 0.73 first-half goals, compared with 0.33 for Spaeri, who went into half-time without scoring in 73% of their matches. The hosts’ more potent attack over the full match—1.6 goals per game versus 0.93 for the visitors—and their last five outings, in which Samgurali won twice while Spaeri failed to win, support the case for them to hold on to their lead. However, the 1/1 pick is not a sure thing: the hosts concede an average of 1.73 goals and have won only 20% of their matches, so a draw at half-time or full-time remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Samgurali | Spaeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Samgurali is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Samgurali · 0.4 pts / match - Spaeri
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Samgurali is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.27 goals / match - Spaeri
Spaeri is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.63 goals / match - Spaeri
Samgurali scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Spaeri keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Spaeri scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Samgurali
Over / Under - Spaeri
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spaeri is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Samgurali · 1 pts / match - Spaeri
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Samgurali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spaeri - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Samgurali
Spaeri
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Samgurali | Liga | Spaeri | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 2.68 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SpaeriYellow cardSaba Maisuradze
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Samgurali 1 - 1 - 1 Spaeri. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Samgurali vs Spaeri?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Samgurali 1:0 Spaeri. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Samgurali and Spaeri?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 1, Spaeri won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Samgurali vs Spaeri?
Samgurali score 1.43 goals per game on average and Spaeri 1.27. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Samgurali's matches and 67% of Spaeri's.
What form are Samgurali and Spaeri in?
Over the last 5 games Samgurali have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Spaeri 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samgurali vs Spaeri?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


