Georgia - Erovnuli LigaStadioni Murtaz KhurtsilavaData current as of 01 November 2026

Samgurali vs Spaeri: match statistics

Samgurali crest
Samgurali
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Spaeri crest
Spaeri

Samgurali vs Spaeri: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Samgurali played Spaeri in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Samgurali: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Spaeri: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Samgurali scores 1.43 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Spaeri scores 1.27 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Samgurali 63%, Spaeri 67%. Over 2.5: Samgurali 67%, Spaeri 60%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Samgurali has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.45. Samgurali: 11.6 shots per match, Spaeri: 10.9.

Match halves

Samgurali: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87. Spaeri: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Samgurali: 76-90+ (15 goals). Spaeri: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Erovnuli Liga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Samgurali have a clear home advantage: they have won 47% of their home matches, while Spaeri have claimed victory in just 13% of their away games. The hosts score an average of 1.53 goals per home match, compared with 0.93 for the visitors away from home; the difference in finishing is reflected in shot conversion rates of 13% and 8%, respectively. Although the quality of chances created is similar — average xG stands at 1.49 for Samgurali and 1.44 for Spaeri — the hosts are more effective at turning them into goals. Samgurali concede an average of 1.33 goals at home, compared with 1.53 conceded by Spaeri away, further strengthening the case for the hosts. In their last five matches, Samgurali have won twice, while Spaeri have not won at all. However, 40% of the visitors’ away matches have ended in a draw, so a share of the points remains a realistic possibility.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS has landed in 73% of Samgurali’s matches and 60% of Spaeri’s, both above the league average of 56%. The hosts score an average of 1.6 goals, while the visitors concede 1.53, which points to Samgurali finding the net. Spaeri may score just 0.93 goals per match, but its xG stands at 1.44, while Samgurali concede an average of 1.73 goals. The visitors have scored 5 goals in their last five matches and have failed to score in 33% of their games this season, so whether they find the net remains the main source of uncertainty. Even so, the hosts’ poor defensive record and both teams’ season-long BTTS rates give the edge to BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

At least 2 goals were scored in 87% of Samgurali’s matches and 73% of Spaeri’s, providing a strong basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. The hosts average 1.6 goals scored and 1.73 conceded, while the visitors score 0.93 and concede 1.53. In their last 5 matches, Samgurali scored 9 goals, while Spaeri conceded 11, further supporting goals for the hosts. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of matches for both teams, but the lower line offers a clearer edge and remains the best pick.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal points to Samgurali leading at the break: the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches, while Spaeri were trailing at that stage in 53%. Samgurali averaged 0.73 first-half goals, compared with 0.33 for Spaeri, who went into half-time without scoring in 73% of their matches. The hosts’ more potent attack over the full match—1.6 goals per game versus 0.93 for the visitors—and their last five outings, in which Samgurali won twice while Spaeri failed to win, support the case for them to hold on to their lead. However, the 1/1 pick is not a sure thing: the hosts concede an average of 1.73 goals and have won only 20% of their matches, so a draw at half-time or full-time remains a significant alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
SamguraliSpaeri
12Shots4
SamguraliSpaeri
1Shots on target1
SamguraliSpaeri
1.28xG0.77
SamguraliSpaeri
4Corners3
SamguraliSpaeri
63Dangerous attacks61
SamguraliSpaeri
10Fouls6
SamguraliSpaeri
2Cards3
SamguraliSpaeri

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.43Goals scored / match1.27
SamguraliSpaeri
1.83Goals conceded / match1.63
SamguraliSpaeri
49%Average possession51%
SamguraliSpaeri
4.53Shots on target / match4.4
SamguraliSpaeri

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.57Shots per match10.87
SamguraliSpaeri
4.53Shots on target4.4
SamguraliSpaeri
12.4%Shot conversion11.7%
SamguraliSpaeri
49%Possession51%
SamguraliSpaeri
1.48xG for1.45
SamguraliSpaeri
1.49xG against1.54
SamguraliSpaeri

Shooting quality

Samgurali: BalancedSpaeri: Balanced
SamguraliSpaeri
Accuracy (shots on target)39%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Samgurali is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Samgurali · 0.4 pts / match - Spaeri

Samgurali
LLWWL
Season result split
37% W17% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-14
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Spaeri
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W40% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-12-13
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Samgurali is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.27 goals / match - Spaeri

Spaeri is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.83 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.63 goals / match - Spaeri

Samgurali scoring profile: very strong

Samgurali scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Spaeri keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

Spaeri scoring profile: very strong

Spaeri scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).

43Goals scored (season)38
SamguraliSpaeri
55Goals conceded (season)49
SamguraliSpaeri
3.27Average goals in match2.9
SamguraliSpaeri
9Goals scored (last 5)5
SamguraliSpaeri
9Goals conceded (last 5)11
SamguraliSpaeri

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal73%
SamguraliSpaeri
43%2 goals30%
SamguraliSpaeri
20%3 goals20%
SamguraliSpaeri
3%4 goals3%
SamguraliSpaeri

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal80%
SamguraliSpaeri
50%2 goals47%
SamguraliSpaeri
33%3 goals27%
SamguraliSpaeri
13%4 goals10%
SamguraliSpaeri

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time23%
SamguraliSpaeri
7%BTTS in both halves3%
SamguraliSpaeri
30%Scored in both halves20%
SamguraliSpaeri

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
SamguraliSpaeri
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
SamguraliSpaeri
40%BTTS - last 560%
SamguraliSpaeri

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
SamguraliSpaeri
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
SamguraliSpaeri
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
SamguraliSpaeri

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
SamguraliSpaeri
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
SamguraliSpaeri
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
SamguraliSpaeri

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Spaeri is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / match - Samgurali · 1 pts / match - Spaeri

Samgurali - half-time state
20% leading33% draw47% trailing
Spaeri - half-time state
23% leading30% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per match (1st half)1
SamguraliSpaeri
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.53
SamguraliSpaeri
1Goals conceded (1st half)1
SamguraliSpaeri
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.53
SamguraliSpaeri
40%Clean sheet before half-time43%
SamguraliSpaeri
57%No goal before half-time57%
SamguraliSpaeri

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.47
SamguraliSpaeri
0.87Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
SamguraliSpaeri
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
SamguraliSpaeri
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.37
SamguraliSpaeri
47%Clean sheet after half-time53%
SamguraliSpaeri
37%No goal after half-time50%
SamguraliSpaeri

Samgurali - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
28
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding185%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Spaeri - second-half results

37% W37% D27% L
30
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding74%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Samgurali - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Spaeri - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Samgurali
ScoredConceded
6
9
0-15
2
10
16-30
9
11
31-45
7
5
46-60
4
10
61-75
15
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Spaeri
ScoredConceded
6
11
0-15
1
8
16-30
9
11
31-45
5
2
46-60
6
9
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Samgurali

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
146%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Spaeri

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).

Teams vs league

SamguraliLigaSpaeri
Average goals in match▲ 3.272.68▲ 2.90
Both teams scored▲ 63%57%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%54%▲ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 23%26%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%70%▲ 77%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%74%• 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SpaeriYellow cardTamaz Tsetskhladze
  2. SamguraliSubstitutionOn: Pabulo Ryan Lopes VieiraOff: Omar Patarkatsishvili
  3. SpaeriYellow cardGiga Samkharadze
  4. SpaeriSubstitutionOn: Revaz InjgiaOff: Tornike Askurava
  5. SpaeriSubstitutionOn: Giorgi PirtakhiaOff: Giga Samkharadze
  6. SpaeriYellow cardSaba Maisuradze
  7. SamguraliSubstitutionOn: Davit KrasovskiOff: Irakli Siradze
  8. SamguraliYellow cardPabulo Ryan Lopes Vieira

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Samgurali 1 - 1 - 1 Spaeri. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Samgurali vs Spaeri?

The Erovnuli Liga match finished Samgurali 1:0 Spaeri. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Samgurali and Spaeri?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 1, Spaeri won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Samgurali vs Spaeri?

Samgurali score 1.43 goals per game on average and Spaeri 1.27. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Samgurali's matches and 67% of Spaeri's.

What form are Samgurali and Spaeri in?

Over the last 5 games Samgurali have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Spaeri 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samgurali vs Spaeri?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.