Costa Rica - Primera División FPDEstadio Carlos Ugalde ÁlvarezData current as of 16 October 2026

San Carlos vs Herediano: match statistics

San Carlos crest
San Carlos
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Herediano crest
Herediano

San Carlos vs Herediano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

San Carlos played Herediano in Primera División FPD (Costa Rica). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

San Carlos: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match. Herediano: 0-2-1, 0.67 points/match.

Goal statistics

San Carlos scores 0.33 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Herediano scores 0.67 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.53 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: San Carlos 33%, Herediano 67%. Over 2.5: San Carlos 67%, Herediano 33%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Herediano has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.58. San Carlos: 9.3 shots per match, Herediano: 15.3.

Match halves

San Carlos: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. Herediano: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

San Carlos: 76-90+ (1 goals). Herediano: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División FPD: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

San Carlos have lost all three of their matches so far this season, scoring just 1 goal and conceding 7, while their goal difference across the last five games stands at 3:10. At home, the hosts lost their only match played 0:3, failed to register a shot on target and did not score, which significantly reduces their chances of ending this poor run. Herediano remain unbeaten away from home, drawing 100% of their matches, but they create considerably more chances: averaging 21 shots, 7 shots on target and 2.31 xG per game. Although the visitors score just 1 goal per away match, San Carlos’s defence concedes an average of 3 goals, so the superior quality of chances created should give them enough to secure the win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by the poor finishing of both teams: San Carlos averages 0.5 goals per game this season and 0.6 over their last five matches, while Herediano has scored just 0.4 goals per game in that same period. The hosts have lost four of their last five games, scoring a total of 3 goals, while the visitors have managed only 2 goals across five matches. Herediano does create more chances, recording 2.31 xG and 7 shots on target per match compared with San Carlos’ 1.71 xG and 4.5 shots, but their current goal output does not support these numbers. San Carlos concedes an average of 2.0 goals per match, so the most likely scenario is a Herediano goal combined with another limited attacking return from the hosts. Although neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, the combination of poor scoring form and conversion rates of 4% and 5% suggests that at least one of the teams will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as both teams have had every league match this season finish with a maximum of three goals. Herediano have averaged just 0.4 goals in their last five matches, while San Carlos have averaged 0.6, despite the hosts conceding as many as 2.0 goals per game during this period. The visitors’ attacking potential remains higher: they have created an average of 1.68 xG in their last five matches compared with San Carlos’ 1.18 xG, making a narrow Herediano win the most likely scenario. At the same time, both sides have a low conversion rate—4% for the hosts and 5% for the visitors—which reduces the risk of the scoreline escalating. The 3.5 line receives additional support from the fact that the percentage of matches finishing Under 3.5 goals stands at 100% for each team in the current season data.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: San Carlos were level at the break in 75% of their recent matches, while Herediano recorded a half-time draw in 80%, with neither team leading at the break in any of those games. The first halves have also been relatively low-scoring, averaging 1.25 goals in San Carlos matches and 1.0 in Herediano matches over the latest sample. After the final whistle, Herediano have still most frequently shared the points, drawing 60% of their last five matches, while San Carlos won 0% and lost 80% of those fixtures. The visitors hold an edge in chance creation, with average xG of 2.31 compared with 1.71 for the hosts, and they average 7.0 shots on target against San Carlos's 4.5. However, their current finishing form is poor, as they are scoring only 0.4 goals per match across their last five appearances. This limits confidence in an away win, making the draw/draw scenario the most likely HT/FT outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
San CarlosHerediano
8Shots8
San CarlosHerediano
3Shots on target1
San CarlosHerediano
1.14xG1.01
San CarlosHerediano
2Corners4
San CarlosHerediano
58Dangerous attacks60
San CarlosHerediano
22Fouls10
San CarlosHerediano
3Cards2
San CarlosHerediano

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.33Goals scored / match0.67
San CarlosHerediano
2.33Goals conceded / match1.67
San CarlosHerediano
42%Average possession60%
San CarlosHerediano
2Shots on target / match5.33
San CarlosHerediano

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.33Shots per match15.33
San CarlosHerediano
2Shots on target5.33
San CarlosHerediano
3.6%Shot conversion4.3%
San CarlosHerediano
42%Possession60%
San CarlosHerediano
1.58xG for1.91
San CarlosHerediano
1.33xG against1.62
San CarlosHerediano

Shooting quality

San Carlos: BalancedHerediano: Dominant
San CarlosHerediano
Accuracy (shots on target)21%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.13

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

San Carlos
LLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 2.3xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%
Herediano
DDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W67% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.7Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Herediano is 103% better for: goals scored per match.

0.33 goals / match - San Carlos · 0.67 goals / match - Herediano

Herediano is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.33 goals / match - San Carlos · 1.67 goals / match - Herediano

San Carlos scoring profile: strong

San Carlos scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Herediano keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

Herediano scoring profile: very strong

Herediano scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while San Carlos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

1Goals scored (season)2
San CarlosHerediano
7Goals conceded (season)5
San CarlosHerediano
2.67Average goals in match2.33
San CarlosHerediano
1Goals scored (last 5)2
San CarlosHerediano
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
San CarlosHerediano

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal67%
San CarlosHerediano
0%2 goals0%
San CarlosHerediano
0%3 goals0%
San CarlosHerediano
0%4 goals0%
San CarlosHerediano

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
San CarlosHerediano
100%2 goals33%
San CarlosHerediano
33%3 goals33%
San CarlosHerediano
0%4 goals0%
San CarlosHerediano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time67%
San CarlosHerediano
0%BTTS in both halves0%
San CarlosHerediano
0%Scored in both halves0%
San CarlosHerediano

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
San CarlosHerediano
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
San CarlosHerediano
33%BTTS - last 567%
San CarlosHerediano

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
San CarlosHerediano
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
San CarlosHerediano
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
San CarlosHerediano

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
San CarlosHerediano
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
San CarlosHerediano
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
San CarlosHerediano

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

San Carlos - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
Herediano - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)0.67
San CarlosHerediano
0Goals scored (1st half)0.67
San CarlosHerediano
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)1
San CarlosHerediano
0.33Average goals (1st half)1.67
San CarlosHerediano
67%Clean sheet before half-time0%
San CarlosHerediano
100%No goal before half-time33%
San CarlosHerediano

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)0.67
San CarlosHerediano
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0
San CarlosHerediano
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
San CarlosHerediano
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.67
San CarlosHerediano
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
San CarlosHerediano
67%No goal after half-time100%
San CarlosHerediano

San Carlos - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Herediano - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
2
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

San Carlos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.670.33
Goals scored / match0.00.3
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match0.31.3
1 goal33%67%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal100%67%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Herediano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.670.67
Goals scored / match0.70.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.7
Average goals in match1.70.7
1 goal100%33%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%67%
No goal33%100%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

San Carlos
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Herediano
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
22%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

San Carlos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-2.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
24%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
206%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

Herediano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División FPD).

Teams vs league

San CarlosLigaHerediano
Average goals in match▲ 2.672.53▼ 2.33
Both teams scored▼ 33%60%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%47%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 0%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%60%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 67%60%▼ 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
20%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. HeredianoYellow cardReggy Rivera Angulo
  2. HeredianoSubstitutionOn: Ronaldo ArayaOff: Kionell Estrada Bennett
  3. HeredianoSubstitutionOn: Darrel ArayaOff: Randall Enrique Leal Arley
  4. HeredianoYellow cardJesús Everardo Rubio Quintero
  5. HeredianoSubstitutionOn: Keysher Fuller SpenceOff: Reggy Rivera Angulo
  6. San CarlosYellow cardEmmanuel Hernández Porras

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): San Carlos 1 - 1 - 2 Herediano. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of San Carlos vs Herediano?

The Primera División FPD match finished San Carlos 1:0 Herediano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between San Carlos and Herediano?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches San Carlos won 1, Herediano won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before San Carlos vs Herediano?

San Carlos score 0.33 goals per game on average and Herediano 0.67. The Primera División FPD average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of San Carlos's matches and 67% of Herediano's.

What form are San Carlos and Herediano in?

Over the last 5 games San Carlos have a 0-0-3 record (0.00 points per game) and Herediano 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Carlos vs Herediano?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.