San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance: match statistics
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Jose Earthquakes II played Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: PayPal Park. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
San Jose Earthquakes II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Tacoma Defiance: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Jose Earthquakes II scores 1.79 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Tacoma Defiance scores 1.48 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Jose Earthquakes II 63%, Tacoma Defiance 48%. Over 2.5: San Jose Earthquakes II 54%, Tacoma Defiance 64%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
San Jose Earthquakes II has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.37. San Jose Earthquakes II: 13.6 shots per match, Tacoma Defiance: 11.6.
Match halves
San Jose Earthquakes II: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.83. Tacoma Defiance: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
San Jose Earthquakes II: 31-45+ (10 goals). Tacoma Defiance: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-3. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
San Jose Earthquakes II has a clearly stronger home profile: they win 55% of their matches, average 2.18 goals scored, and concede just 1.00 goal per game. Tacoma Defiance lose 58% of their away fixtures and, while conceding an average of 2.17 goals, have a negative goal difference of -10. The hosts also create higher-quality chances, as reflected by their average xG of 1.63 compared with 1.28 for the visitors, and register more shots on target: 5.45 to 3.50. San Jose’s last five matches have not been ideal, with just 5 goals scored and one win, but Tacoma have conceded as many as 12 goals over the same period. The hosts’ attacking strength at home, combined with Defiance’s clear defensive problems away from home, points to a San Jose Earthquakes II victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have landed BTTS - Yes in 60% of their last five matches, which is a notably stronger signal than their season averages of 46% and 50%, respectively. Tacoma have averaged 2.4 goals scored during this period, but have also conceded 2.4, while their defence has kept a clean sheet in only 17% of their matches this season. San Jose average 1.62 goals at home and record 4.92 shots on target per match, while Tacoma allow opponents an average of 2.17 goals per game. The hosts have scored just 5 goals in their last five matches, but have created chances worth 1.40 xG per game, while the visitors have allowed opponents 1.76 xG. The balance of signals pointing to Tacoma’s defensive weakness and the visitors’ strong current finishing form offers slight support for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
San Jose averages 1.62 goals at home, while Tacoma concedes as many as 2.17 goals per away match, clearly strengthening the hosts’ attacking potential. Tacoma have scored 12 goals and conceded 12 in their last five matches, meaning their games averaged 4.8 goals. Over 1.5 goals landed in 62% of San Jose’s matches and 83% of Tacoma’s, compared with the high league average of 3.33 goals. The hosts average 4.92 shots on target per match versus Tacoma’s 3.50, while the teams’ season xG figures stand at 1.46 and 1.28, respectively. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the combination of the visitors’ defensive weakness, Tacoma’s high-scoring profile, and the league’s overall goal trends gives a very high probability of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a San Jose Earthquakes II win at full-time. Tacoma were level at the break in 67% of their matches, while the hosts recorded the same outcome in 38% of games, with a low average of 1.15 goals before half-time in their fixtures. San Jose nevertheless hold a clear full-season advantage: they win 54% of their matches compared with Tacoma’s 25%, score 1.62 goals per game and concede just 1.00, whereas their opponents allow 2.17 goals. The second half is crucial, with Tacoma conceding an average of 1.50 goals, while their matches produce at least two second-half goals in as many as 83% of cases. The hosts are also more effective in chance creation, averaging 4.92 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 3.50, so after an even start they should turn the result in their favour.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tacoma Defiance is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - San Jose Earthquakes II · 1.2 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Jose Earthquakes II is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - San Jose Earthquakes II · 1.48 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
San Jose Earthquakes II is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - San Jose Earthquakes II · 1.56 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
San Jose Earthquakes II scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Tacoma Defiance keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Tacoma Defiance scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while San Jose Earthquakes II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Jose Earthquakes II
Over / Under - Tacoma Defiance
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Jose Earthquakes II is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - San Jose Earthquakes II · 1.24 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Jose Earthquakes II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tacoma Defiance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Jose Earthquakes II
Tacoma Defiance
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Liga | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.08 | 3.33 | ▼ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 62% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▼ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): San Jose Earthquakes II 0 - 2 - 3 Tacoma Defiance. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance?
The MLS Next Pro match finished San Jose Earthquakes II 1:2 Tacoma Defiance. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches San Jose Earthquakes II won 0, Tacoma Defiance won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance?
San Jose Earthquakes II score 1.79 goals per game on average and Tacoma Defiance 1.48. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of San Jose Earthquakes II's matches and 48% of Tacoma Defiance's.
What form are San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance in?
Over the last 5 games San Jose Earthquakes II have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tacoma Defiance 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.