Santa Fe vs Millonarios: match statistics
Santa Fe vs Millonarios: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Santa Fe played Millonarios in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 3 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Santa Fe: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Millonarios: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Santa Fe scores 1.46 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Millonarios scores 1.48 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Santa Fe 71%, Millonarios 52%. Over 2.5: Santa Fe 46%, Millonarios 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Millonarios has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.39. Santa Fe: 13.0 shots per match, Millonarios: 15.8.
Match halves
Santa Fe: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.93. Millonarios: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Santa Fe: 76-90+ (12 goals). Millonarios: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 43%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Santa Fe have a clearly stronger home profile: they average 1.86 goals scored and concede just 0.93, while Millonarios score 1.33 goals away from home and allow opponents 1.42. The hosts have lost only 14% of their home matches and boast a +13 goal difference, whereas the visitors lose 50% of their away fixtures and have a -1 goal difference. Santa Fe’s last five matches produced as many as four draws, but the team remained unbeaten and conceded just 2 goals during that period. Millonarios are in better current form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, but Santa Fe’s superior home efficiency—13% compared with the visitors’ 9% away from home—favours the hosts. The difference in the quality of chances created is minimal, with average xG of 1.48 for Santa Fe and 1.51 for Millonarios, so a draw remains a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal is BTTS - No, as Santa Fe kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches and conceded just 0.4 goals per game over its last 5 fixtures. Both teams are currently difficult to break down: Santa Fe and Millonarios have conceded only 2 goals each in their last five outings, while Millonarios has recorded BTTS in just 20% of its matches during this period. Santa Fe has scored only 0.8 goals per game recently, increasing the risk that, despite home advantage, it will fail to breach the opponent’s well-organized defence. Seasonal data is more mixed, with Millonarios recording BTTS in 67% of matches and averaging 1.33 goals, but the low current scoring rate and the defensive form of both sides outweigh this, favouring a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The last five matches for both teams ended with fewer than 2.5 goals, while Santa Fe and Millonarios conceded just 0.4 goals per match each during this period. Santa Fe have recently scored only 0.8 goals per game, significantly reducing the hosts’ attacking potential despite their season average of 1.75. Millonarios average 1.2 goals scored across their last five outings, but they face a Santa Fe defense that concedes an average of just 0.67 goals per match this season and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of games. On a seasonal basis, Santa Fe matches have finished with fewer than 3.5 goals in 83% of cases, compared with 67% for Millonarios, making Under 3.5 goals the clearest value option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Santa Fe victory at the final whistle. The hosts have been level at the break in 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring and conceding no goals before half-time, while Millonarios were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their recent fixtures. Across the season, however, Santa Fe have been clearly stronger at home: they average 2.00 points per match, score 1.75 goals and concede only 0.67, whereas Millonarios average 1.00 point away from home and concede 1.42 goals. The hosts’ advantage is also supported by the xG metrics: Santa Fe create 1.73 xG compared with the visitors’ 1.51, while boasting a significantly stronger defence that allows an average of just 0.91 xG. After the break, Santa Fe concede an average of only 0.42 goals, while Millonarios concede as many as 0.92 away from home, favouring a turnaround in the hosts’ favour after an even opening period.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Santa Fe | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millonarios is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Santa Fe · 2.2 pts / match - Millonarios
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Santa Fe scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
Millonarios scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Santa Fe
Over / Under - Millonarios
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Santa Fe
Millonarios
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Santa Fe | Liga | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.51 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Santa Fe 2 - 2 - 3 Millonarios. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 43% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Santa Fe vs Millonarios?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Santa Fe 3:2 Millonarios. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Fe and Millonarios?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 2, Millonarios won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Santa Fe vs Millonarios?
Santa Fe score 1.46 goals per game on average and Millonarios 1.48. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Santa Fe's matches and 52% of Millonarios's.
What form are Santa Fe and Millonarios in?
Over the last 5 games Santa Fe have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Millonarios 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?
The statistical background for Santa Fe vs Millonarios — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


