Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Nemesio Camacho El CampínData current as of 17 October 2026

Santa Fe vs Millonarios: match statistics

Santa Fe crest
Santa Fe
3 : 2half-time 1:1
Millonarios crest
Millonarios

Santa Fe vs Millonarios: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Santa Fe played Millonarios in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 3 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Santa Fe: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Millonarios: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Santa Fe scores 1.46 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Millonarios scores 1.48 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Santa Fe 71%, Millonarios 52%. Over 2.5: Santa Fe 46%, Millonarios 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Millonarios has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.39. Santa Fe: 13.0 shots per match, Millonarios: 15.8.

Match halves

Santa Fe: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.93. Millonarios: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Santa Fe: 76-90+ (12 goals). Millonarios: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 43%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Santa Fe have a clearly stronger home profile: they average 1.86 goals scored and concede just 0.93, while Millonarios score 1.33 goals away from home and allow opponents 1.42. The hosts have lost only 14% of their home matches and boast a +13 goal difference, whereas the visitors lose 50% of their away fixtures and have a -1 goal difference. Santa Fe’s last five matches produced as many as four draws, but the team remained unbeaten and conceded just 2 goals during that period. Millonarios are in better current form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, but Santa Fe’s superior home efficiency—13% compared with the visitors’ 9% away from home—favours the hosts. The difference in the quality of chances created is minimal, with average xG of 1.48 for Santa Fe and 1.51 for Millonarios, so a draw remains a realistic alternative.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The stronger signal is BTTS - No, as Santa Fe kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches and conceded just 0.4 goals per game over its last 5 fixtures. Both teams are currently difficult to break down: Santa Fe and Millonarios have conceded only 2 goals each in their last five outings, while Millonarios has recorded BTTS in just 20% of its matches during this period. Santa Fe has scored only 0.8 goals per game recently, increasing the risk that, despite home advantage, it will fail to breach the opponent’s well-organized defence. Seasonal data is more mixed, with Millonarios recording BTTS in 67% of matches and averaging 1.33 goals, but the low current scoring rate and the defensive form of both sides outweigh this, favouring a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The last five matches for both teams ended with fewer than 2.5 goals, while Santa Fe and Millonarios conceded just 0.4 goals per match each during this period. Santa Fe have recently scored only 0.8 goals per game, significantly reducing the hosts’ attacking potential despite their season average of 1.75. Millonarios average 1.2 goals scored across their last five outings, but they face a Santa Fe defense that concedes an average of just 0.67 goals per match this season and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of games. On a seasonal basis, Santa Fe matches have finished with fewer than 3.5 goals in 83% of cases, compared with 67% for Millonarios, making Under 3.5 goals the clearest value option.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Santa Fe victory at the final whistle. The hosts have been level at the break in 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring and conceding no goals before half-time, while Millonarios were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their recent fixtures. Across the season, however, Santa Fe have been clearly stronger at home: they average 2.00 points per match, score 1.75 goals and concede only 0.67, whereas Millonarios average 1.00 point away from home and concede 1.42 goals. The hosts’ advantage is also supported by the xG metrics: Santa Fe create 1.73 xG compared with the visitors’ 1.51, while boasting a significantly stronger defence that allows an average of just 0.91 xG. After the break, Santa Fe concede an average of only 0.42 goals, while Millonarios concede as many as 0.92 away from home, favouring a turnaround in the hosts’ favour after an even opening period.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Santa FeMillonarios
12Shots20
Santa FeMillonarios
6Shots on target9
Santa FeMillonarios
1.37xG2.18
Santa FeMillonarios
7Corners8
Santa FeMillonarios
26Dangerous attacks40
Santa FeMillonarios
5Fouls12
Santa FeMillonarios
3Cards5
Santa FeMillonarios

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Santa FeMillonarios
1.46Goals scored / match1.48
Santa FeMillonarios
1.04Goals conceded / match1
Santa FeMillonarios
47%Average possession48%
Santa FeMillonarios
4.89Shots on target / match5.6
Santa FeMillonarios

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.04Shots per match15.76
Santa FeMillonarios
4.89Shots on target5.6
Santa FeMillonarios
11.2%Shot conversion9.4%
Santa FeMillonarios
47%Possession48%
Santa FeMillonarios
1.39xG for1.62
Santa FeMillonarios
1.39xG against1.07
Santa FeMillonarios

Shooting quality

Santa Fe: BalancedMillonarios: Attacking
Santa FeMillonarios
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Millonarios is 83% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Santa Fe · 2.2 pts / match - Millonarios

Santa Fe
LDWDD
Season result split
32% W50% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-14-5
1.46 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-2
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Millonarios
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
40% W28% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-8
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 0.79BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Santa Fe scoring profile: very strong

Santa Fe scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).

Millonarios scoring profile: very strong

Millonarios scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).

41Goals scored (season)37
Santa FeMillonarios
29Goals conceded (season)25
Santa FeMillonarios
2.5Average goals in match2.48
Santa FeMillonarios
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Santa FeMillonarios
5Goals conceded (last 5)1
Santa FeMillonarios

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal80%
Santa FeMillonarios
39%2 goals44%
Santa FeMillonarios
11%3 goals12%
Santa FeMillonarios
7%4 goals8%
Santa FeMillonarios

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal60%
Santa FeMillonarios
21%2 goals32%
Santa FeMillonarios
4%3 goals8%
Santa FeMillonarios
0%4 goals0%
Santa FeMillonarios

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time12%
Santa FeMillonarios
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Santa FeMillonarios
21%Scored in both halves28%
Santa FeMillonarios

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Santa FeMillonarios
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Santa FeMillonarios
60%BTTS - last 520%
Santa FeMillonarios

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
Santa FeMillonarios
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Santa FeMillonarios
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Santa FeMillonarios

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Santa FeMillonarios
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Santa FeMillonarios
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Santa FeMillonarios

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Santa Fe - half-time state
32% leading54% draw14% trailing
Millonarios - half-time state
36% leading48% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.56
Santa FeMillonarios
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Santa FeMillonarios
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Santa FeMillonarios
0.79Average goals (1st half)0.96
Santa FeMillonarios
75%Clean sheet before half-time76%
Santa FeMillonarios
61%No goal before half-time56%
Santa FeMillonarios

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.56
Santa FeMillonarios
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Santa FeMillonarios
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
Santa FeMillonarios
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.52
Santa FeMillonarios
36%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Santa FeMillonarios
32%No goal after half-time36%
Santa FeMillonarios

Santa Fe - second-half results

39% W25% D36% L
42
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Millonarios - second-half results

40% W36% D24% L
39
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Santa Fe - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.22.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Millonarios - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.41.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Santa Fe
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
9
46-60
8
6
61-75
12
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Millonarios
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
3
16-30
7
4
31-45
11
6
46-60
4
5
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.49
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Santa Fe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Millonarios

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Santa FeLigaMillonarios
Average goals in match• 2.502.51• 2.48
Both teams scored▲ 71%54%▼ 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 46%46%▲ 48%
Clean sheets▼ 21%27%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▼ 54%67%▼ 56%
Goal after half-time▲ 93%78%▲ 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MillonariosYellow cardSebastián Valencia Isaza
  2. MillonariosSubstitutionOn: Mateo García RojasOff: Leonai Souza de Almeida
  3. Santa FeGoalJohan Torres
  4. MillonariosYellow cardSergio Andrés Mosquera Zapata
  5. MillonariosYellow cardJhomier Javier Guerrero González
  6. MillonariosYellow cardMateo García Rojas
  7. Santa FeYellow cardIván René Scarpeta Silgado
  8. Santa FeYellow cardHelibelton Palacios Zapata
  9. Santa FeYellow cardHelibelton Palacios Zapata
  10. MillonariosYellow cardSamuel Martín Díaz

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Santa Fe 2 - 2 - 3 Millonarios. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 43% matches.

Millonarios
1 : 1
Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe SA
0 : 1
Millonarios FC SA
Millonarios FC SA
0 : 0
Independiente Santa Fe SA
Millonarios FC SA
1 : 2
Independiente Santa Fe SA
Independiente Santa Fe SA
0 : 1
Millonarios FC SA
Millonarios FC SA
2 : 0
Independiente Santa Fe SA
Independiente Santa Fe SA
3 : 2
Millonarios FC SA

FAQ

What was the result of Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

The Categoria Primera A match finished Santa Fe 3:2 Millonarios. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Santa Fe and Millonarios?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 2, Millonarios won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Santa Fe score 1.46 goals per game on average and Millonarios 1.48. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Santa Fe's matches and 52% of Millonarios's.

What form are Santa Fe and Millonarios in?

Over the last 5 games Santa Fe have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Millonarios 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

The statistical background for Santa Fe vs Millonarios — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.