Brazil - Serie BEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo BrancoData current as of 21 October 2026

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova: match statistics

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São Bernardo vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

São Bernardo play Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco.

Current form

São Bernardo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Vila Nova: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

São Bernardo scores 1.35 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Vila Nova scores 1.41 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: São Bernardo 59%, Vila Nova 38%. Over 2.5: São Bernardo 47%, Vila Nova 35%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Vila Nova has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.31. São Bernardo: 12.3 shots per match, Vila Nova: 13.5.

Match halves

São Bernardo: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.88. Vila Nova: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

São Bernardo: 76-90+ (14 goals). Vila Nova: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.40)
(3.08)
(2.97)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

São BernardoVila Nova
1.35Goals scored / match1.41
São BernardoVila Nova
1.09Goals conceded / match0.97
São BernardoVila Nova
50%Average possession51%
São BernardoVila Nova
4.26Shots on target / match4.26
São BernardoVila Nova

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.29Shots per match13.47
São BernardoVila Nova
4.26Shots on target4.26
São BernardoVila Nova
11%Shot conversion10.5%
São BernardoVila Nova
50%Possession51%
São BernardoVila Nova
1.31xG for1.45
São BernardoVila Nova
1.62xG against1.28
São BernardoVila Nova

Shooting quality

São Bernardo: BalancedVila Nova: Balanced
São BernardoVila Nova
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vila Nova is 120% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - São Bernardo · 2.2 pts / match - Vila Nova

São Bernardo
DWLDL
Season result split
35% W29% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-12
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Vila Nova
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
53% W24% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-8-8
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-7
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vila Nova is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - São Bernardo · 0.97 goals / match - Vila Nova

São Bernardo scoring profile: strong

São Bernardo scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).

Vila Nova scoring profile: very strong

Vila Nova scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

46Goals scored (season)48
São BernardoVila Nova
37Goals conceded (season)33
São BernardoVila Nova
2.44Average goals in match2.38
São BernardoVila Nova
6Goals scored (last 5)7
São BernardoVila Nova
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
São BernardoVila Nova

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal74%
São BernardoVila Nova
35%2 goals47%
São BernardoVila Nova
21%3 goals9%
São BernardoVila Nova
0%4 goals6%
São BernardoVila Nova

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal59%
São BernardoVila Nova
29%2 goals24%
São BernardoVila Nova
3%3 goals9%
São BernardoVila Nova
3%4 goals3%
São BernardoVila Nova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time15%
São BernardoVila Nova
6%BTTS in both halves0%
São BernardoVila Nova
21%Scored in both halves21%
São BernardoVila Nova

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
São BernardoVila Nova
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
São BernardoVila Nova
60%BTTS - last 520%
São BernardoVila Nova

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
São BernardoVila Nova
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
São BernardoVila Nova
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
São BernardoVila Nova

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
São BernardoVila Nova
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
São BernardoVila Nova
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
São BernardoVila Nova

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vila Nova is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.12 pts / match - São Bernardo · 1.47 pts / match - Vila Nova

São Bernardo - half-time state
18% leading59% draw24% trailing
Vila Nova - half-time state
38% leading32% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.12Points per match (1st half)1.47
São BernardoVila Nova
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.74
São BernardoVila Nova
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
São BernardoVila Nova
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.29
São BernardoVila Nova
53%Clean sheet before half-time59%
São BernardoVila Nova
59%No goal before half-time50%
São BernardoVila Nova

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.5
São BernardoVila Nova
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
São BernardoVila Nova
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.41
São BernardoVila Nova
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.09
São BernardoVila Nova
50%Clean sheet after half-time65%
São BernardoVila Nova
41%No goal after half-time56%
São BernardoVila Nova

São Bernardo - second-half results

38% W38% D24% L
38
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vila Nova - second-half results

35% W44% D21% L
50
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

São Bernardo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Vila Nova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

São Bernardo
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
12
3
46-60
4
10
61-75
14
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Vila Nova
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
7
5
16-30
11
9
31-45
4
1
46-60
14
2
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

São Bernardo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Vila Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

São BernardoLigaVila Nova
Average goals in match▲ 2.442.33• 2.38
Both teams scored▲ 59%47%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 47%43%▼ 35%
Clean sheets▼ 26%31%▲ 41%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%67%▲ 76%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%74%▼ 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: São Bernardo 0 - 0 - 1 Vila Nova. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do São Bernardo and Vila Nova play?

São Bernardo face Vila Nova on 24 October 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

São Bernardo score 1.35 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.41. The Serie B average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 59% of São Bernardo's matches and 38% of Vila Nova's.

What form are São Bernardo and Vila Nova in?

Over the last 5 games São Bernardo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vila Nova 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for São Bernardo vs Vila Nova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.