São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
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São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
São Paulo play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo.
Current form
São Paulo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
São Paulo scores 1.21 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: São Paulo 63%, Atlético Mineiro 46%. Over 2.5: São Paulo 42%, Atlético Mineiro 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
São Paulo has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.44. São Paulo: 13.0 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.4.
Match halves
São Paulo: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.71. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
São Paulo: 61-75 (7 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| São Paulo | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Mineiro is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - São Paulo · 2.2 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - São Paulo · 1.33 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
São Paulo scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - São Paulo
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - São Paulo · 1.63 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
São Paulo
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| São Paulo | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): São Paulo 1 - 1 - 1 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro play?
São Paulo face Atlético Mineiro on 5 September 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro?
São Paulo score 1.21 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of São Paulo's matches and 46% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games São Paulo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro?
The statistical background for São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.