Brazil - Serie AEstádio Cícero Pompeu de ToledoData current as of 13 August 2026

São Paulo vs Coritiba: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

São Paulo vs Coritiba: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

São Paulo play Coritiba in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo.

Current form

São Paulo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Coritiba: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

São Paulo scores 1.24 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Coritiba scores 1.23 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: São Paulo 62%, Coritiba 45%. Over 2.5: São Paulo 43%, Coritiba 45%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

São Paulo has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.16. São Paulo: 12.1 shots per match, Coritiba: 10.9.

Match halves

São Paulo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.81. Coritiba: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

São Paulo: 61-75 (7 goals). Coritiba: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.71)
(3.71)
(5.35)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

São PauloCoritiba
1.24Goals scored / match1.23
São PauloCoritiba
1.19Goals conceded / match1.32
São PauloCoritiba
54%Average possession40%
São PauloCoritiba
3.9Shots on target / match3.36
São PauloCoritiba

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.1Shots per match10.86
São PauloCoritiba
3.9Shots on target3.36
São PauloCoritiba
10.2%Shot conversion11.3%
São PauloCoritiba
54%Possession40%
São PauloCoritiba
1.36xG for1.16
São PauloCoritiba
1.32xG against1.78
São PauloCoritiba

Shooting quality

São Paulo: BalancedCoritiba: Balanced
São PauloCoritiba
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Coritiba is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - São Paulo · 0.8 pts / match - Coritiba

São Paulo
DLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W24% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-9
1.24 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Coritiba
LLDLW
Season result split
36% W27% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-8
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

São Paulo is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - São Paulo · 1.32 goals / match - Coritiba

São Paulo scoring profile: very strong

São Paulo scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Coritiba keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

Coritiba scoring profile: very strong

Coritiba scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).

26Goals scored (season)27
São PauloCoritiba
25Goals conceded (season)29
São PauloCoritiba
2.43Average goals in match2.55
São PauloCoritiba
4Goals scored (last 5)3
São PauloCoritiba
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
São PauloCoritiba

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal68%
São PauloCoritiba
33%2 goals41%
São PauloCoritiba
5%3 goals14%
São PauloCoritiba
5%4 goals0%
São PauloCoritiba

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal73%
São PauloCoritiba
33%2 goals36%
São PauloCoritiba
5%3 goals18%
São PauloCoritiba
0%4 goals5%
São PauloCoritiba

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time14%
São PauloCoritiba
5%BTTS in both halves5%
São PauloCoritiba
19%Scored in both halves32%
São PauloCoritiba

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
São PauloCoritiba
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
São PauloCoritiba
80%BTTS - last 540%
São PauloCoritiba

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
São PauloCoritiba
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
São PauloCoritiba
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
São PauloCoritiba

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
São PauloCoritiba
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
São PauloCoritiba
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
São PauloCoritiba

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

São Paulo is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - São Paulo · 1.32 pts / match - Coritiba

São Paulo - half-time state
33% leading38% draw29% trailing
Coritiba - half-time state
32% leading36% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.32
São PauloCoritiba
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.55
São PauloCoritiba
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
São PauloCoritiba
0.81Average goals (1st half)1.05
São PauloCoritiba
67%Clean sheet before half-time59%
São PauloCoritiba
62%No goal before half-time55%
São PauloCoritiba

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per match (2nd half)1.18
São PauloCoritiba
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
São PauloCoritiba
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
São PauloCoritiba
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.5
São PauloCoritiba
43%Clean sheet after half-time41%
São PauloCoritiba
38%No goal after half-time45%
São PauloCoritiba

São Paulo - second-half results

48% W10% R43% P
29
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Coritiba - second-half results

27% W36% R36% P
29
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Paulo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.20
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+3-6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Coritiba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

São Paulo
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
5
8
46-60
7
3
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Coritiba
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
3
6
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
5
46-60
5
6
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.49
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

São Paulo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Coritiba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

São PauloLigaCoritiba
Average goals in match 2.432.57 2.55
Both teams scored 62%57% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%48% 45%
Clean sheets 19%24% 27%
Goal before half-time 67%75% 73%
Goal after half-time 95%77% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: São Paulo 1 - 0 - 0 Coritiba. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do São Paulo and Coritiba play?

São Paulo face Coritiba on 16 August 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before São Paulo vs Coritiba?

São Paulo score 1.24 goals per game on average and Coritiba 1.23. The Serie A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of São Paulo's matches and 45% of Coritiba's.

What form are São Paulo and Coritiba in?

Over the last 5 games São Paulo have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Coritiba 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Paulo vs Coritiba?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for São Paulo vs Coritiba: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.