Sarajevo vs Željezničar: match statistics
Sarajevo vs Željezničar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarajevo played Željezničar in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 25 May 2026. Venue: Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sarajevo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Željezničar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarajevo scores 1.51 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Željezničar scores 0.97 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarajevo 40%, Željezničar 34%. Over 2.5: Sarajevo 49%, Željezničar 34%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Sarajevo has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.22. Sarajevo: 11.0 shots per match, Željezničar: 9.5.
Match halves
Sarajevo: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.89. Željezničar: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Sarajevo: 46-60 (14 goals). Željezničar: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win. Sarajevo has a clear home-edge: 65% home wins, averaging 1.88 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded per match, and 59% of home games with a clean sheet, which has produced a +20 goal differential at the stadium. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 goals and averaged 2 points per game (3-1-1), while Željezničar managed 5 goals and only 1 point per game in their last 5 (1-2-2) and average 0.76 goals on the road with 47% of away matches goalless for them. The gap in chance creation is significant: Sarajevo averages 11.82 shots and 4.59 on target at home versus 7.88 shots and 2.82 on target for Željezničar away, with conversion rates of 16% vs 10%. xG analysis confirms the home advantage — 1.47 xG at home versus 1.02 xG for the visitors on the road, and Sarajevo’s defense concedes only 0.97 xG, all factors favoring a home triumph.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis indicates a higher probability for BTTS - Yes: 60% vs 40% No. Sarajevo at home generates xG 1.40 and scores on average 1.17 goals this season (53 goals), with 11.06 shots and 3.5 shots on target per match, which increases their chance to score. The opponent has a weaker seasonal scoring average of 0.76 (34 goals) and only 24% of matches with BTTS, but as the away side concedes xG 1.44 and in the last 5 matches records xG_for 1.29 and an average of 1.0 goals scored, so they can create scoring opportunities. The counterargument is that Sarajevo keeps a clean sheet in 44% of home matches and the visitors had BTTS in only 20% of their last 5 matches, which reduces the bet certainty. Considering the hosts' offensive advantage (xG_for 1.40 vs 1.02 for the visitors) and the visitors' defensive vulnerability (xG_against 1.44), the Both Teams To Score scenario looks moderately strong.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and statistics I expect 1.42 goals for Sarajevo (xG 1.40 vs opponent xG 1.44) and 1.12 for Želje (xG 1.02 vs home side xG 1.21), yielding a total of 2.54. Seasonally Sarajevo had Over 1.5 in 67% of home games, Želje in 47%, and in the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 2.0 goals, so Over 1.5 has strong backing and I assess its probability at 75%. The 2.5 line is more balanced — seasonal Over 2.5 rates are 39% (Sarajevo) and 29% (Želje), but Sarajevo’s recent form (60% Over 2.5 in 5 games) and the combined xG = 2.54 give a slight edge to Over 2.5 (53%). Over 3.5 has weak justification (seasonally 22% for Sarajevo and 6% for Želje and a last-5 goals average of 3.0), so I price Over 3.5 at only 16% and prefer the Under on that line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal concerns a draw at half-time: Sarajevo were level at the break in 61% of their home matches, and Želje in 53%, which together gives roughly a 57% chance of an HT draw. However, after the break the home side’s advantage is clear — Sarajevo average 0.83 goals in the second half versus 0.41 for the visitors and have higher xG (1.40 vs 1.02), which favors a turnaround. In the last five matches Sarajevo have won 60% of games and averaged 2.0 goals per match, while Želje have a 20% win rate and 1.0 goals per match, further supporting a home victory after the break. Considering also the greater number of shots by the hosts (11.06 vs 7.88) and shots on target (3.5 vs 2.82), I rate the best pick as a Half-Time draw and Sarajevo to win Full-Time (X/1) with a probability of 34%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarajevo | Željezničar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarajevo is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sarajevo · 1 pts / match - Željezničar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sarajevo is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.51 goals / match - Sarajevo · 0.97 goals / match - Željezničar
Sarajevo scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Željezničar keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 matches).
Željezničar scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Sarajevo keeps a clean sheet in 46% (16 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarajevo
Over / Under - Željezničar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarajevo is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Sarajevo · 1 pts / match - Željezničar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarajevo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Željezničar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarajevo
Željezničar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Sarajevo | Liga | Željezničar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.57 | 2.17 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 37% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 49% | 38% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 59% | ▼ 49% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Sarajevo 1 - 1 - 1 Željezničar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarajevo vs Željezničar?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Sarajevo 1:1 Željezničar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarajevo and Željezničar?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sarajevo won 1, Željezničar won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarajevo vs Željezničar?
Sarajevo score 1.51 goals per game on average and Željezničar 0.97. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Sarajevo's matches and 34% of Željezničar's.
What form are Sarajevo and Željezničar in?
Over the last 5 games Sarajevo have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Željezničar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarajevo vs Željezničar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.