Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity: match statistics
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Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarasota Paradise play Spokane Velocity in USL League One (United States). The match date is 5 September 2026.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Spokane Velocity: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarasota Paradise scores 1.05 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Spokane Velocity scores 1.52 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarasota Paradise 59%, Spokane Velocity 52%. Over 2.5: Sarasota Paradise 55%, Spokane Velocity 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Sarasota Paradise has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.45. Sarasota Paradise: 12.9 shots per match, Spokane Velocity: 12.1.
Match halves
Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64. Spokane Velocity: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Sarasota Paradise: 31-45+ (5 goals). Spokane Velocity: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarasota Paradise | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spokane Velocity is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 2.4 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spokane Velocity is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.52 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
Spokane Velocity is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.29 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
Sarasota Paradise scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Spokane Velocity scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
Over / Under - Spokane Velocity
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spokane Velocity is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.62 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarasota Paradise
Spokane Velocity
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Sarasota Paradise | Liga | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.68 | 2.96 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sarasota Paradise 0 - 0 - 1 Spokane Velocity. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Sarasota Paradise and Spokane Velocity play?
Sarasota Paradise face Spokane Velocity on 5 September 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?
Sarasota Paradise score 1.05 goals per game on average and Spokane Velocity 1.52. The USL League One average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Sarasota Paradise's matches and 52% of Spokane Velocity's.
What form are Sarasota Paradise and Spokane Velocity in?
Over the last 5 games Sarasota Paradise have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Spokane Velocity 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.