Sarmiento vs Estudiantes: match statistics
Sarmiento vs Estudiantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarmiento played Estudiantes in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 23 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Sarmiento: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Estudiantes: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarmiento scores 1.10 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Estudiantes scores 1.18 and concedes 0.59. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarmiento 48%, Estudiantes 18%. Over 2.5: Sarmiento 52%, Estudiantes 27%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.27. Sarmiento: 10.5 shots per match, Estudiantes: 13.4.
Match halves
Sarmiento: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.52. Estudiantes: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Sarmiento: 31-45+ (5 goals). Estudiantes: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sarmiento win 64% of their home matches and average 1.36 goals, while Estudiantes score just 0.80 goals per away game. The hosts are also in better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 10 goals in that run, compared with 2 wins and 8 goals for the visitors. Estudiantes do, however, stand out defensively away from home, conceding just 0.60 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their games, which increases the likelihood of a closely contested encounter. The visitors’ low attacking efficiency on the road is crucial: they have failed to score in 50% of away matches, with just a 7% shot-conversion rate, whereas Sarmiento fail to score in only 9% of home games. The hosts also hold a slight edge in the quality of chances created, with an average xG of 1.48 compared with Estudiantes’ 1.30, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest seasonal signal points to at least one team failing to score: Sarmiento matches produced BTTS - Yes in only 17% of cases, while Estudiantes recorded it in 20%, well below the league average of 43%. Estudiantes score just 0.8 goals on average, while Sarmiento concede only 0.58 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches. The visitors also failed to score in 50% of their games, with a shot conversion rate of 7%, compared with 10% for the hosts. Sarmiento’s recent form has been more open, with BTTS - Yes in 80% of their last five matches, but Estudiantes recorded BTTS - Yes in only 20% of games over the same period and conceded just 0.8 goals on average. Therefore, BTTS - No remains the more likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estudiantes average just 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match in the competition, with as many as 90% of their games finishing under 2.5 goals and 100% under 3.5. Sarmiento are slightly more goal-oriented, but they have also kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while both teams have recorded clean sheets in 50% of their appearances. The low potential for an end-to-end game is further confirmed by the percentages of matches in which both teams scored: just 17% for Sarmiento and 20% for Estudiantes. Sarmiento’s last five matches were noticeably more open, with 80% finishing over 2.5 goals; however, Estudiantes exceeded this line in only 40% of cases over the same period and conceded an average of 0.8 goals. The projected total of 2.00 goals still strongly supports Under 3.5, as at least four goals are required for this bet to lose.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sarmiento has a clearly more favourable home profile: they score an average of 1.5 goals and concede just 0.58, while their xG stands at 1.79 compared with Estudiantes’ 1.43 away xGA. The visitors score only 0.8 goals per away match and have not found the net before half-time in any match, whereas Sarmiento concede just 0.08 goals in the first half. The hosts led at the break in 3 of 12 matches but drew at half-time in as many as 8, making the X/1 scenario a strong alternative. However, the strongest individual outcome is 1/1, as Estudiantes were trailing at half-time in 50% of their away matches, while Sarmiento win 58% of their home games and average 5.67 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 4.0.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarmiento | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarmiento is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Sarmiento · 1.2 pts / match - Estudiantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Sarmiento · 1.18 goals / match - Estudiantes
Estudiantes is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Sarmiento · 0.59 goals / match - Estudiantes
Sarmiento scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 matches).
Estudiantes scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarmiento
Over / Under - Estudiantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarmiento is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Sarmiento · 1 pts / match - Estudiantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarmiento
Estudiantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Sarmiento | Liga | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 2.06 | ▼ 1.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 43% | ▼ 18% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▼ 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sarmiento 0 - 0 - 2 Estudiantes. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarmiento vs Estudiantes?
The Primera División match finished Sarmiento 2:0 Estudiantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarmiento and Estudiantes?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 0, Estudiantes won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarmiento vs Estudiantes?
Sarmiento score 1.10 goals per game on average and Estudiantes 1.18. The Primera División average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Sarmiento's matches and 18% of Estudiantes's.
What form are Sarmiento and Estudiantes in?
Over the last 5 games Sarmiento have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Estudiantes 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarmiento vs Estudiantes?
The statistical background for Sarmiento vs Estudiantes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.