Sarmiento vs Rosario Central: match statistics
Sarmiento vs Rosario Central: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarmiento played Rosario Central in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sarmiento: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Rosario Central: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarmiento scores 1.17 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Rosario Central scores 1.42 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarmiento 53%, Rosario Central 58%. Over 2.5: Sarmiento 47%, Rosario Central 48%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Rosario Central has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.24. Sarmiento: 10.6 shots per match, Rosario Central: 14.0.
Match halves
Sarmiento: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.53. Rosario Central: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Sarmiento: 76-90+ (9 goals). Rosario Central: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rosario Central hold a slight edge based on current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 4, while Sarmiento have won just once, scoring 6 and conceding 8. The visitors also have the better record over the full season, with 18 wins and 7 losses compared with the hosts’ 12 wins and 14 losses. However, this remains a closely matched contest: Sarmiento win 53% of their home matches and concede an average of 0.87 goals, while Rosario win 50% of their away matches and score an average of 1.25 goals on the road. The quality of chances created is almost identical, with an average xG of 1.37 for the hosts at home and 1.33 for the visitors away, so Rosario’s selection is driven primarily by their considerably stronger recent run.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 59% of Sarmiento’s matches and 56% of Rosario Central’s, both above the league average of 47%. The hosts average 1.59 goals from an xG of 1.90, while the visitors average 1.25 goals from an xG of 1.33, giving both teams a solid basis to find the net. Rosario’s recent form also supports a goal for the visitors: they averaged 2.2 goals across their last five matches, while Sarmiento conceded 1.6. The bet carries some added risk, however, as Rosario kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5 matches; across the season, they failed to score in 19% of games, compared with 18% for Sarmiento. Overall, the data points to BTTS - Yes, although the case for this outcome is not decisive.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 88% of Sarmiento’s matches and 81% of Rosario Central’s. Although Rosario averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches and Sarmiento conceded 1.6, both teams went Over 2.5 goals in only 40% of their matches during that period. The hosts’ attacking potential is reflected in an average xG of 1.90, but their actual average of 1.59 goals scored, alongside the visitors’ 1.25, points to a moderate total rather than a goal fest. The forecast of 2.40 total goals supports backing Under 3.5, which offers more margin than the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a realistic possibility: Sarmiento were level at the break in 41% of their matches, compared with 38% for Rosario Central, while their average first-half goals scored was almost identical — 0.53 versus 0.56. Although the hosts have better overall season statistics, they have won only 20% of their last five matches, whereas the visitors have won 60%. The clearest difference comes in the second halves of their most recent available matches: Rosario averaged 1.75 goals scored and conceded none, while Sarmiento scored 0.4 and conceded 1.0. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by an away win is the scenario best supported by current form, although Sarmiento’s season-long advantage tempers confidence in this pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarmiento | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rosario Central is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sarmiento · 2.6 pts / match - Rosario Central
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rosario Central is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Sarmiento · 1.42 goals / match - Rosario Central
Rosario Central is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Sarmiento · 0.91 goals / match - Rosario Central
Sarmiento scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Rosario Central keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
Rosario Central scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarmiento
Over / Under - Rosario Central
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarmiento is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Sarmiento · 1.48 pts / match - Rosario Central
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rosario Central - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarmiento
Rosario Central
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Sarmiento | Liga | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.53 | 2.16 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sarmiento 0 - 1 - 3 Rosario Central. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarmiento vs Rosario Central?
The Primera División match finished Sarmiento 1:2 Rosario Central. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarmiento and Rosario Central?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 0, Rosario Central won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarmiento vs Rosario Central?
Sarmiento score 1.17 goals per game on average and Rosario Central 1.42. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Sarmiento's matches and 58% of Rosario Central's.
What form are Sarmiento and Rosario Central in?
Over the last 5 games Sarmiento have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rosario Central 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarmiento vs Rosario Central?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.