Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarpsborg 08 play Rosenborg in Eliteserien (Norway). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion.
Current form
Sarpsborg 08: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Rosenborg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarpsborg 08 scores 1.27 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Rosenborg scores 1.82 and concedes 1.41. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarpsborg 08 64%, Rosenborg 45%. Over 2.5: Sarpsborg 08 55%, Rosenborg 59%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Rosenborg has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.52. Sarpsborg 08: 13.4 shots per match, Rosenborg: 13.9.
Match halves
Sarpsborg 08: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.41. Rosenborg: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Sarpsborg 08: 31-45+ (9 goals). Rosenborg: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-1. Average goals 3.80, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarpsborg 08 | Rosenborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rosenborg is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 2 pts / match - Rosenborg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rosenborg is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1.82 goals / match - Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Rosenborg keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Rosenborg scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Sarpsborg 08 keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarpsborg 08
Over / Under - Rosenborg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rosenborg is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1.59 pts / match - Rosenborg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarpsborg 08 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rosenborg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Sarpsborg 08 | Liga | Rosenborg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.68 | 3.18 | • 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 62% | ▼ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 22% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 86% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Sarpsborg 08 2 - 2 - 1 Rosenborg. Average goals 3.80, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Sarpsborg 08 and Rosenborg play?
Sarpsborg 08 face Rosenborg on 18 October 2026 in Eliteserien at Sarpsborg Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 and Rosenborg?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 08 won 2, Rosenborg won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?
Sarpsborg 08 score 1.27 goals per game on average and Rosenborg 1.82. The Eliteserien average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Sarpsborg 08's matches and 45% of Rosenborg's.
What form are Sarpsborg 08 and Rosenborg in?
Over the last 5 games Sarpsborg 08 have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Rosenborg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.