SC Villa vs Mbarara City: match statistics
SC Villa presents decidedly better form and position in the table (4th place) compared to Mbarara City (14th place). The hosts can boast an impressive home record – 83% won matches at home, with just 0% losses and an average of only 0.5 goals conceded per match. Additionally, SC Villa maintains 50% clean sheets in home matches, which testifies to a solid defense. Mbarara City, on the other hand, presents very poor away form – only 17% wins and as much as 50% losses, with an average of 2 goals conceded per match away. Given the goal difference (+7 for the hosts in home matches vs -5 for the guests away) and the recent form of both teams, SC Villa is the decided favorite of this meeting. The xG statistics also favor the hosts, who create more chances in home matches (1.44 xG) than they concede (1.43 xG), while Mbarara City generates only 1.37 xG away while conceding 2.04 xG.
SC Villa vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SC Villa played Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 28 January 2026. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
SC Villa: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Mbarara City: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
SC Villa scores 1.38 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 0.85 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SC Villa 46%, Mbarara City 62%. Over 2.5: SC Villa 46%, Mbarara City 31%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Mbarara City has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.31. SC Villa: 8.2 shots per match, Mbarara City: 7.6.
Match halves
SC Villa: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.92. Mbarara City: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
SC Villa: 61-75 (7 goals). Mbarara City: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SC Villa presents decidedly better form and position in the table (4th place) compared to Mbarara City (14th place). The hosts can boast an impressive home record – 83% won matches at home, with just 0% losses and an average of only 0.5 goals conceded per match. Additionally, SC Villa maintains 50% clean sheets in home matches, which testifies to a solid defense. Mbarara City, on the other hand, presents very poor away form – only 17% wins and as much as 50% losses, with an average of 2 goals conceded per match away. Given the goal difference (+7 for the hosts in home matches vs -5 for the guests away) and the recent form of both teams, SC Villa is the decided favorite of this meeting. The xG statistics also favor the hosts, who create more chances in home matches (1.44 xG) than they concede (1.43 xG), while Mbarara City generates only 1.37 xG away while conceding 2.04 xG.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SC Villa | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SC Villa is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - SC Villa · 1.2 pts / match - Mbarara City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SC Villa is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - SC Villa · 0.85 goals / match - Mbarara City
SC Villa is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.69 goals / match - SC Villa · 1.38 goals / match - Mbarara City
SC Villa scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Mbarara City scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SC Villa
Over / Under - Mbarara City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SC Villa is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - SC Villa · 0.85 pts / match - Mbarara City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SC Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SC Villa
Mbarara City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| SC Villa | Liga | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.28 | • 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 44% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 41% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 34% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SC VillaGoalFrank Ssebuufu
- SC VillaGoalNajib Yiga
FAQ
What was the result of SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
The Uganda Premier League match finished SC Villa 6:1 Mbarara City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
SC Villa score 1.38 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 0.85. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 46% of SC Villa's matches and 62% of Mbarara City's.
What form are SC Villa and Mbarara City in?
Over the last 5 games SC Villa have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mbarara City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for SC Villa vs Mbarara City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.